$20.18
-0.17%BNL is an internally-managed REIT that acquires, owns, and manages primarily single-tenant commercial real estate properties that are net leased on a long-term basis to a diversified group of tenants. The Company utilizes an investment strategy underpinned by strong fundamental credit analysis and prudent real estate underwriting. As of September 30, 2020, BNL's diversified portfolio consisted of 627 properties in 41 U.S. states and one property in Canada across the industrial, healthcare, restaurant, office, and retail property types, with an aggregate gross asset value of approximately $4.0 billion.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $311.4M | $323.8M | $336.7M | $350.1M | $364.1M | $378.6M | $393.6M | $409.3M | $425.6M | $442.6M |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$6.2M | -$6.4M | -$6.7M | -$6.9M | -$7.2M | -$7.5M | -$7.8M | -$8.1M | -$8.4M | -$8.8M |
| Owner Earnings | $305.2M | $317.4M | $330.0M | $343.2M | $356.8M | $371.1M | $385.8M | $401.2M | $417.2M | $433.8M |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | $282.6M | $272.1M | $262.0M | $252.2M | $242.9M | $233.8M | $225.1M | $216.8M | $208.7M | $200.9M |
Snapshot
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Value Model
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Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.