AVB - NYSE
AvalonBay Communities, Inc.
$189.19
+3.2%As of December 31, 2020, the Company owned or held a direct or indirect ownership interest in 291 apartment communities containing 86,025 apartment homes in 11 states and the District of Columbia, of which 18 communities were under development and one community was under redevelopment. The Company is an equity REIT in the business of developing, redeveloping, acquiring and managing apartment communities in leading metropolitan areas in New England, the New York/New Jersey Metro area, the Mid-Atlantic, the Pacific Northwest, and Northern and Southern California, as well as in the Company's expansion markets consisting of Southeast Florida and Denver, Colorado (the Expansion Markets).
At a Glance
Live SnapshotAvalonBay Communities, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that AVB stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 193.90, with estimates ranging from a low of 172.00 to a high of 209.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 193.90, with estimates ranging from a low of 172.00 to a high of 209.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Risk-Reward Profile
Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.
Analyst Conviction
Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.
Market Sentiment Insight
Efficient pricing: Stock trading at fair value with strong consensus suggests market has priced in expectations. Look for fundamental inflection points or new catalysts to drive meaningful moves.
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue
Forward Growth Analysis
Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income
Forward Growth Analysis
Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS
Forward Growth Analysis
Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Mixed signals—some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT
Forward Growth Analysis
Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA
Forward Growth Analysis
Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense
Forward Growth Analysis
Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $1.22M worth of AVB shares, with no buying activity reported.
3 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
3-6 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
6-9 Months
0
0.00
150
27.04K
-27K
-$27K
9-12 Months
0
0.00
5.8K
1.20M
-1.2M
-$1.20M
Top Buyers
No buying activity
Top Sellers
Schulman Edward M
Officer: Evp-General Counsel
$831K
O'Shea Kevin P.
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$337K
Willson Sean Thomas
Officer: Senior Vice President
$55K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $1.22M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Insider Participation
3 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Related Guides
Continue your AVB research with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.