AMBC - NYSE

Ambac Financial Group, Inc.

Ambac Financial Group, Inc.

AMBCยทNYSE

$8.29

+0.0000%
Financial ServicesInsurance - Specialty

Ambac Financial Group, Inc., a financial services holding company, provides financial guarantees in the United States, the United Kingdom, Italy, Austria, Australia, France, and Internationally. It offers financial guarantee insurance policies; specialty property & casualty program insurance; credit derivative contracts; and interest rate derivative transactions, as well as managing general agency / underwriting services. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

StatementsValue Model

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$397.37M
EPS-10.7100
P/E Ratio-0.77
Earnings Date02/24/2026
Ambac Financial Group, Inc.

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

AMBC ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that AMBC has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $8.29, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Ambac Financial Group, Inc..

HIDDEN
Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $8.29

Owner Earnings Valuation Tool

Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation

Historical Financial Data

Base year metrics used for projections

$
%
$
%
$
$

Projection Settings

Forecast period and terminal assumptions

%
%

DCF Valuation Summary

Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share

Present Value$662.5K
+ Cash & Equivalents$47.3M
Firm Value$47.9M
- Debt$150.0M
Equity Value-$102.1M
/ Shares Outstanding46,401,736B
DCF Value-$2
OVERVALUED BY 127%

Owner Earnings Projections

Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings

Metric
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Operating Cash Flow
$381.0K
$190.5K
$95.3K
$47.6K
$23.8K
$11.9K
$6.0K
$3.0K
$1.5K
$744
Maintenance CapEx
-$0
-$0
-$0
-$0
-$0
-$0
-$0
-$0
-$0
-$0
Owner Earnings
$381.0K
$190.5K
$95.3K
$47.6K
$23.8K
$11.9K
$6.0K
$3.0K
$1.5K
$744
Discount Factor
0.926
0.857
0.794
0.735
0.681
0.630
0.583
0.540
0.500
0.463
Present Value
$352.8K
$163.3K
$75.6K
$35.0K
$16.2K
$7.5K
$3.5K
$1.6K
$745
$345
Terminal Value represents 0.9% of Enterprise Value

Related Guides

Blog Categories

Continue your AMBC research with focused valuation guides.

DCF Modeling

Improve assumptions for intrinsic value accuracy.

Forecasting

Calibrate growth paths and terminal value behavior.

WACC

Refine discount-rate logic for valuation quality.

Cost of Capital

Match risk profile to expected return assumptions.

Research Paths

Pick your next lens
1

Snapshot

Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.

2

Value Model

Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.

3

Statements

Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.

4

Earnings Call

Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.

5

Dividends

Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.

6

Analyst Expectations

Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.