Alexander's, Inc.

Alexander's, Inc.

ALXยทNYSE

$250.02

+1.3%
Real EstateREIT - Retail

Alexander's, Inc. is a real estate investment trust which has seven properties in the greater New York City metropolitan area.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$1.28B
EPS5.5000
P/E Ratio45.46
Earnings Date08/03/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 45.5).

Valuation inputs: P/E 45.5, earnings yield +2.2%, momentum +1.3%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +25.9%, ROIC +6.1%).

Profitability stack: net margin +13.2%, ROE +25.9%, ROIC +6.1%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +90.2%, momentum +1.3%, net margin +13.2%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Alexander's, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

ALX ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Alexander's, Inc.

Alexander's, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

ALX ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that ALX has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $250.02, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Alexander's, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $250.02
3Y-51.0%
5Y-33.0%
10Y-67.0%
3Y+4.0%
5Y+7.0%
10Y-6.0%
3Y-51.0%
5Y-33.0%
10Y-67.0%
3Y-28.0%
5Y-6.0%
10Y-44.0%
3Y-28.0%
5Y-6.0%
10Y-36.0%
3Y-21.0%
5Y-21.0%
10Y-23.0%
Alexander's, Inc.

Alexander's, Inc. Profit Bridge

ALX ยท NYSE
Revenue213.18M
Cost of Goods Sold (178.94M)
Gross Profit34.24M
Operating Expenses (-30.95M)
Operating Income65.19M
Interest Expense (51.62M)
Other Income/Expense-36.97M
Pretax Income28.22M
Income Tax (0.00)
Net Income28.22M
Net Income
28.22M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

16.1%

Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.

Operating Margin

30.6%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

13.2%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

0.0%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

16.06%
Gross Profit Margin
-84%
3Y-84.0%
5Y-71.0%
10Y-75.0%
30.58%
Operating Profit Margin
-15%
3Y-21.0%
5Y-42.0%
10Y-34.0%
13.24%
Net Profit Margin
-31%
3Y-53.0%
5Y-37.0%
10Y-65.0%
25.86%
Return on Equity
5%
3Y+6.0%
5Y+25.0%
10Y+6.0%
2.54%
Return on Assets
-22%
3Y-38.0%
5Y-15.0%
10Y-57.0%
6.07%
Return on Invested Capital
-3%
3Y+3.0%
5Y-21.0%
10Y-19.0%
ALX

Alexander's, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

ALX ยท NYSE
Net Income28.22M
Depreciation & Amortization38.74M
Stock-Based Compensation394.00K
Change in Working Capital-5.51M
Others11.59M
Capital Expenditures0.00
Free Cash Flow73.44M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

260.2%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

FCF Growth Trend

+35.7%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$5.51M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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Alexander's, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

ALX ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents-38.15M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets-38148000
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets0
Total Assets
-38.15M

Financial Health Analysis

Working Capital

-38148000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

0% Current

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Alexander's, Inc. Street Expectations Map

ALX ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that ALX stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 125.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 125.00 to a high of 125.00.

Lowest Target
125.00
-50.00%
Consensus Target
125.00
-50.00%
Highest Target
125.00
-50.00%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 125.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 125.00 to a high of 125.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-50.0%

Significant downside risk. Stock trading well above analyst consensus suggests elevated valuation concerns and potential correction.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Risk-Reward Profile

1.00x

Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.

Analyst Conviction

Low

Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.

Market Sentiment Insight

Consensus overvaluation: Analysts agree the stock is richly valued with limited upside. Consider booking profits or defensive positioning unless you have contrarian conviction in unrecognized catalysts.

alx

Alexander's, Inc. Insider Positioning

ALX ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for ALX.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Neutral

No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.

Insider Participation

No Activity

No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.

1.90%
Dividend Yield
-8%
3Y-18.0%
5Y+17.0%
10Y+95.0%
ย 

alx Dividend History

ALX
10Y CAGR +1%
Latest $4.5
Annual $22.5
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%