Allegion plc

Allegion plc

ALLEยทNYSE

$130.11

+0.20%
IndustrialsSecurity & Protection Services

Allegion plc manufactures and sells mechanical and electronic security products and solutions worldwide. The company offers door closers, controls, and exit devices; locks, locksets, portable locks, and key systems and services; electronic security products and access control systems; time, attendance, and workforce productivity systems; doors and door systems; and other accessories. The company sells its products and solutions to end-users in commercial, institutional, and residential facilities, including education, healthcare, government, hospitality, commercial office, and single and multi-family residential markets under the CISA, Interflex, LCN, Schlage, SimonsVoss, and Von Duprin brands. It sells its products and solutions through distribution and retail channels, such as specialty distribution, e-commerce, and wholesalers, as well as through various retail channels comprising do-it-yourself home improvement centers, on-line and e-commerce platforms, and small specialty showroom outlets. Allegion plc was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$11.18B
EPS7.4900
P/E Ratio17.37
Earnings Date07/23/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 17.4).

Valuation inputs: P/E 17.4, earnings yield +5.8%, momentum +0.2%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +31.1%, ROIC +16.0%).

Profitability stack: net margin +15.8%, ROE +31.1%, ROIC +16.0%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +60.4%, momentum +0.2%, net margin +15.8%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Allegion plc Market vs Earnings Trajectory

ALLE ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Allegion plc

Allegion plc Fair Value Envelope

ALLE ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that ALLE has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $130.11, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Allegion plc.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $130.11
3Y+44.0%
5Y+120.0%
10Y+213.0%
3Y+24.0%
5Y+50.0%
10Y+82.0%
3Y+41.0%
5Y+105.0%
10Y+181.0%
3Y+71.0%
5Y+60.0%
10Y+108.0%
3Y+73.0%
5Y+55.0%
10Y+105.0%
3Y+31.0%
5Y+70.0%
10Y+132.0%
Allegion plc

Allegion plc Profit Bridge

ALLE ยท NYSE
Revenue4.07B
Cost of Goods Sold (2.23B)
Gross Profit1.84B
Operating Expenses (978.80M)
Operating Income859.50M
Interest Expense (101.00M)
Other Income/Expense-91.10M
Pretax Income768.40M
Income Tax (124.60M)
Net Income643.80M
Net Income
643.80M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

45.2%

Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.

Operating Margin

21.1%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

15.8%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

16.2%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

45.20%
Gross Profit Margin
2%
3Y+12.0%
5Y+4.0%
10Y+2.0%
21.13%
Operating Profit Margin
2%
3Y+18.0%
5Y+42.0%
10Y+9.0%
15.83%
Net Profit Margin
3Y+13.0%
5Y+37.0%
10Y+55.0%
31.14%
Return on Equity
-22%
3Y-36.0%
5Y-18.0%
10Y-85.0%
12.32%
Return on Assets
-7%
3Y+7.0%
5Y+20.0%
10Y+21.0%
15.97%
Return on Invested Capital
-8%
3Y+1.0%
5Y+17.0%
10Y-12.0%
ALLE

Allegion plc Cash Conversion Engine

ALLE ยท NYSE
Net Income643.80M
Depreciation & Amortization133.20M
Stock-Based Compensation29.80M
Change in Working Capital6.80M
Others-19.60M
Capital Expenditures-98.10M
Free Cash Flow685.70M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

106.5%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

12.5%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+17.6%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$6.80M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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Allegion plc Funding & Solvency Profile

ALLE ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents308.90M
Net Receivables512.30M
Inventory537.20M
Other Current Assets64.60M
Total Current Assets1 B
Property, Plant & Equipment450.10M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets2.77B
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets671.90M
Total Non-Current Assets1 B
Total Assets
5.31B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.91x

Strong liquidity. The company has adequate resources to meet short-term liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.53x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

677 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

27% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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Allegion plc Street Expectations Map

ALLE ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that ALLE stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 172.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 165.00 to a high of 180.00.

Lowest Target
165.00
26.82%
Consensus Target
172.50
32.58%
Highest Target
180.00
38.34%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 172.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 165.00 to a high of 180.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+32.6%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

8.7% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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Allegion plc Insider Positioning

ALLE ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $90K and sold $548K worth of ALLE shares, resulting in $458K of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

600

90.03K

Sold

4.0K

547.64K

Net Activity

-458K

-$458K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
MS

Main Sue

Director

600 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$90K

Top Sellers

1
MRC

Martens Robert C.

Officer: Svp-Chief Innovation & Design

4.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$548K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $458K net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.16:1

Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buyingโ€”monitor for potential fundamental concerns.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$458K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

Balanced

1 insider buyers and 1 sellers. Equal participation suggests mixed or neutral insider views.

Insider Activity Insight

Persistent selling pressure: Consistent insider selling with weak buy/sell ratio suggests insiders may be capitalizing on current valuation. Exercise caution and review recent earnings quality and management commentary.

0.38%
Dividend Yield
20%
3Y-10.0%
5Y+33.0%
10Y+119.0%
ย 

alle Dividend History

ALLE
10Y CAGR +16%
Latest $0.55
Annual $2.12
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%