Advance Auto Parts, Inc.

Advance Auto Parts, Inc.

AAPยทNYSE

$57.12

-3.7%
Consumer CyclicalSpecialty Retail

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. provides automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries, and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars, vans, sport utility vehicles, and light and heavy duty trucks. The company offers battery accessories; belts and hoses; brakes and brake pads; chassis and climate control parts; clutches and drive shafts; engines and engine parts; exhaust systems and parts; hub assemblies; ignition components and wires; radiators and cooling parts; starters and alternators; and steering and alignment parts. It also offers air conditioning chemicals and accessories; air fresheners; antifreeze and washer fluids; electrical wires and fuses; electronics; floor mats, seat covers, and interior accessories; hand and specialty tools; lighting products; performance parts; sealants, adhesives and compounds; tire repair accessories; vent shades, mirrors and exterior accessories; washes, waxes and cleaning supplies; and wiper blades. In addition, the company offers air filters; fuel and oil additives; fuel filters; grease and lubricants; motor oils; oil filters, part cleaners and treatments; and transmission fluids for engine maintenance. Further, it offers battery and wiper installation; engine light scanning and checking; electrical system testing; video clinic; oil and battery recycling; and loaner tool program services. Additionally, the company sells its products through its website. It serves professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. The company operates stores under the Advance Auto Parts, Autopart International, and Carquest brands, as well as branches under the Worldpac name. As of April 23, 2022, it operated 4,687 stores and 311 branches in the United States, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and Canada; and served 1,318 independently owned Carquest branded stores in Mexico, Grand Cayman, the Bahamas, Turks and Caicos, and the British Virgin Islands. The company was founded in 1929 and is based in Raleigh, North Carolina.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$3.45B
EPS0.7300
P/E Ratio78.25
Earnings Date08/13/2026
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Advance Auto Parts, Inc. Street Expectations Map

AAP ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that AAP stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 59.64, with estimates ranging from a low of 54.00 to a high of 65.00.

Lowest Target
54.00
-5.46%
Consensus Target
59.64
4.41%
Highest Target
65.00
13.80%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 59.64, with estimates ranging from a low of 54.00 to a high of 65.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+4.4%

Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.

Analyst Agreement

18.4% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Risk-Reward Profile

2.53x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Efficient pricing: Stock trading at fair value with strong consensus suggests market has priced in expectations. Look for fundamental inflection points or new catalysts to drive meaningful moves.

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Advance Auto Parts, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

AAP ยท NYSE
Latest Revenue
8.60B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
8.58B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
8.56B - 8.60B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-0.2%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage17 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Advance Auto Parts, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

AAP ยท NYSE
Latest Net Income
44.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
109.77M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
108.25M - 111.29M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+149.5%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage17 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread3%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Advance Auto Parts, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

AAP ยท NYSE
Latest EPS
0.73
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$1.82
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$1.79 - $1.84
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+148.8%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage18 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread3%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Advance Auto Parts, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

AAP ยท NYSE
Latest EBIT
48.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
111.45M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
111.19M - 111.71M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+132.2%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage17 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Well-supported growth expectations: Strong analyst coverage combined with positive growth projections provides confidence in forward outlook.

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Advance Auto Parts, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

AAP ยท NYSE
Latest EBITDA
320.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
358.13M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
357.30M - 358.97M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+11.9%

Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.

Analyst Coverage17 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Well-supported growth expectations: Strong analyst coverage combined with positive growth projections provides confidence in forward outlook.

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Advance Auto Parts, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

AAP ยท NYSE
Latest SG&A Expense
3.57B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
3.48B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
3.47B - 3.49B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-2.6%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage17 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Advance Auto Parts, Inc. Insider Positioning

AAP ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $437K worth of AAP shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

7.7K

390.76K

Net Activity

-391K

-$391K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

948

45.99K

Net Activity

-46K

-$46K

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
SKL

Soler Kristen L

Officer: Evp, Chief Hr Officer

7.7K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$391K

2
HJ

Hand Jason

Officer: Svp, U.S. Stores

948 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$46K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $437K net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

2 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.