Viasat, Inc.

Viasat, Inc.

VSATยทNASDAQ

$69.62

-4.2%
TechnologyCommunication Equipment

Viasat, Inc. provides broadband and communications products and services worldwide. The company's Satellite Services segment offers satellite-based fixed broadband services, including broadband internet access and voice over internet protocol services to consumers and businesses; in-flight entertainment and aviation software services to commercial airlines; community internet services; mobile broadband services, including satellite-based internet services to energy offshore vessels, cruise ships, consumer ferries, and yachts; and energy services, which include ultra-secure solutions IP connectivity, bandwidth-optimized over-the-top applications, industrial internet-of-things big data enablement, and industry-leading machine learning analytics. Its Commercial Networks segment offers fixed broadband satellite communication systems comprising satellite network infrastructure and ground terminals; mobile broadband satellite communication systems; antenna systems for terrestrial and satellite applications, such as earth imaging, remote sensing, mobile satellite communication, Ka-band earth stations, and other multi-band antennas; design and technology services comprising analysis, design, and development of satellites and ground systems; application specific integrated circuit and monolithic microwave integrated circuit chips; and network function virtualization, as well as space system design and development products and services include architectures for GEO, MEO, LEO satellites, and other satellite platforms. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$9.51B
EPS0.0000
P/E Ratioโ€”
Earnings Date08/04/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Low confidence

Valuation lens is waiting for P/E and earnings-yield data.

Valuation inputs: P/E N/A, earnings yield N/A, momentum -4.2%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +4.7%, ROIC -8.7%).

Profitability stack: net margin +4.8%, ROE +4.7%, ROIC -8.7%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

Medium confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets N/A, momentum -4.2%, net margin +4.8%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

vsat

Viasat, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

VSAT ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Viasat, Inc.

Viasat, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

VSAT ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that VSAT has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $69.62, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Viasat, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $69.62
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
3Y+82.0%
5Y+142.0%
10Y+198.0%
3Y-80.0%
5Y+5888.0%
10Y+830.0%
3Y+80.0%
5Y+108.0%
10Y+206.0%
3Y-75.0%
5Y-62.0%
10Y-21.0%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
Viasat, Inc.

Viasat, Inc. Profit Bridge

VSAT ยท NASDAQ
Revenue4.64B
Cost of Goods Sold (2.13B)
Gross Profit2.51B
Operating Expenses (1.16B)
Operating Income108.12M
Interest Expense (-154.40M)
Other Income/Expense-3.32M
Pretax Income104.80M
Income Tax (-116.22M)
Net Income221.02M
Net Income
221.02M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

54.2%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

2.3%

Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.

Net Profit Margin

4.8%

Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

Effective Tax Rate

-110.9%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

54.17%
Gross Profit Margin
64%
3Y+92.0%
5Y+84.0%
10Y+66.0%
2.33%
Operating Profit Margin
-208%
3Y-138.0%
5Y-197.0%
10Y-
4.76%
Net Profit Margin
-137%
3Y-89.0%
5Y+2378.0%
10Y+213.0%
4.74%
Return on Equity
-138%
3Y-83.0%
5Y+2921.0%
10Y+246.0%
0.00%
Return on Assets
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
-8.72%
Return on Invested Capital
1186%
3Y+284.0%
5Y+947.0%
10Y-834.0%
VSAT

Viasat, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

VSAT ยท NASDAQ
Net Income-531.12M
Depreciation & Amortization1.36B
Stock-Based Compensation80.39M
Change in Working Capital-147.64M
Others252.71M
Capital Expenditures-1.03B
Free Cash Flow-122.00M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

23.0%

Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cashโ€”review working capital trends and capital intensity.

CapEx Intensity

113.4%

Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.

FCF Growth Trend

+85.7%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$147.64M

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.

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Viasat, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

VSAT ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents0.00
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets0
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets0
Total Assets
0.00

Financial Health Analysis

Working Capital

-1297099000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

0% Current

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Viasat, Inc. Street Expectations Map

VSAT ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that VSAT stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 76.83, with estimates ranging from a low of 49.00 to a high of 100.00.

Lowest Target
49.00
-29.62%
Consensus Target
76.83
10.36%
Highest Target
100.00
43.64%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 76.83, with estimates ranging from a low of 49.00 to a high of 100.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+10.4%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

66.4% spread

High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analystsโ€”major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.

Risk-Reward Profile

1.47x

Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.

Analyst Conviction

Low

High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuationโ€”proceed with caution and independent analysis.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Viasat, Inc. Insider Positioning

VSAT ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $15.86M worth of VSAT shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

31.8K

1.55M

Net Activity

-1.6M

-$1.55M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

216.8K

8.54M

Net Activity

-8.5M

-$8.54M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

180.0K

5.76M

Net Activity

-5.8M

-$5.76M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
DMD

Dankberg Mark D

Director, Officer: Chairman And Ceo

133.7K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$5.19M

2
BRA

Baldridge Richard A

Director

100.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$3.10M

3
DSL

Duffy Shawn Lynn

Officer: Svp, Chief Accounting Officer

90.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$3.09M

4
MCA

Miller Craig Andrew

Officer: Svp, Pres Viasat Government

39.5K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$1.80M

5
CGL

Chase Garrett L.

Officer: Svp, Chief Financial Officer

30.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$1.01M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $15.86M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$1.55M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
3Y-
5Y-100.0%
10Y-
ย 

vsat Dividend History

VSAT
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%