Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.

ULCCยทNASDAQ

$5.70

-1.2%
IndustrialsAirlines, Airports & Air Services

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc., a low-fare airline company, provides air transportation for passengers. The company operates an airline that serves approximately 120 airports throughout the United States and international destinations in the Americas. It offers its services through direct distribution channels, including its website, mobile app, and call center. As of December 31, 2021, the company had a fleet of 110 Airbus single-aisle aircraft comprising, 16 A320ceos, 73 A320neos, and 21 A321ceos. Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$1.31B
EPS-0.6000
P/E Ratio-9.50
Earnings Date08/04/2026
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Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. Street Expectations Map

ULCC ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that ULCC stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 6.67, with estimates ranging from a low of 6.00 to a high of 8.00.

Lowest Target
6.00
5.26%
Consensus Target
6.67
17.02%
Highest Target
8.00
40.35%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 6.67, with estimates ranging from a low of 6.00 to a high of 8.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+17.0%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

30.0% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

ULCC ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
3.72B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
4.25B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
4.05B - 4.54B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+14.1%

Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.

Analyst Coverage8 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread12%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

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Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

ULCC ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
-137.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-1.32M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-7.45M - 4.80M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+99.0%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage8 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread925%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

High forecast uncertainty: Wide estimate range indicates analysts struggling to predict outcomesโ€”suggests elevated risk and potential volatility.

ulcc

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

ULCC ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
-0.60
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$-0.01
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$-0.03 - $0.02
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+98.2%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread493%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

High forecast uncertainty: Wide estimate range indicates analysts struggling to predict outcomesโ€”suggests elevated risk and potential volatility.

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Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

ULCC ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
-149.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-281.94M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-301.57M - -268.86M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-89.2%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage8 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread12%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

ulcc

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

ULCC ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
-58.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-204.32M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-218.54M - -194.84M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-252.3%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage8 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread12%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

ULCC ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
159.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
218.71M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
208.56M - 233.93M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+37.6%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage8 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread12%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. Insider Positioning

ULCC ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $5.37M worth of ULCC shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

96.6K

513.77K

Net Activity

-514K

-$514K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

210.0K

1.20M

Net Activity

-1.2M

-$1.20M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

103.8K

524.38K

Net Activity

-524K

-$524K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

557.1K

3.14M

Net Activity

-3.1M

-$3.14M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
BB

Biffle Barry

Director, Officer: Ceo

723.9K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$4.03M

2
DH

Diamond Howard

Officer: Evp, Legal & Corporate Affairs

93.2K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$527K

3
STJ

Stedke Trevor J.

Officer: Sr. Vice President, Operations

83.1K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$450K

4
GRJ

Genise Robert J.

Director

30.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$166K

5
SS

Schuller Steve

Officer: Svp, Human Resources

20.0K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$120K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $5.37M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$514K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.