Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.

TCBIยทNASDAQ

$98.94

-0.57%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Texas Capital Bank, is a full-service financial services firm that delivers customized solutions to businesses, entrepreneurs, and individual customers. The company offers commercial banking, consumer banking, investment banking, and wealth management services. It offers business deposit products and services, including commercial checking accounts, lockbox accounts, and cash concentration accounts, as well as information, wire transfer initiation, ACH initiation, account transfer, and service integration services; and consumer deposit products, such as checking accounts, savings accounts, money market accounts, and certificates of deposit. The company also provides commercial loans for general corporate purposes comprising financing working capital, internal growth, acquisitions, and business insurance premiums, as well as consumer loans; loans to exploration and production companies; mortgage finance loans; commercial real estate and residential homebuilder finance loans; first and second lien loans for the purpose of purchasing or constructing 1-4 family residential dwellings, as well as home equity revolving lines of credit and loans to purchase lots for future construction of 1-4 family residential dwellings; and real estate loans originated through a small business administration program, as well as equipment finance and leasing services, and letters of credit. In addition, it offers online and mobile banking, and debit and credit card services; escrow services; personal wealth management and trust services; and depositors American Airlines AAdvantage miles. It operates in Austin, Fort Worth, Dallas, Houston, and San Antonio metropolitan areas of Texas. Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$4.32B
EPS6.8700
P/E Ratio14.40
Earnings Date07/16/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 14.4).

Valuation inputs: P/E 14.4, earnings yield +6.9%, momentum -0.6%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +9.1%, ROIC +6.7%).

Profitability stack: net margin +16.5%, ROE +9.1%, ROIC +6.7%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +88.5%, momentum -0.6%, net margin +16.5%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

TCBI ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

TCBI ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that TCBI has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $98.94, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $98.94
3Y+10.0%
5Y+513.0%
10Y+119.0%
3Y+61.0%
5Y+70.0%
10Y+162.0%
3Y-1.0%
5Y+398.0%
10Y+113.0%
3Y+143.0%
5Y-86.0%
10Y-150.0%
3Y+154.0%
5Y-87.0%
10Y-148.0%
3Y+11.0%
5Y-16.0%
10Y+45.0%
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Profit Bridge

TCBI ยท NASDAQ
Revenue2.00B
Cost of Goods Sold (787.15M)
Gross Profit1.21B
Operating Expenses (768.07M)
Operating Income443.71M
Interest Expense (743.15M)
Other Income/Expense-11.00M
Pretax Income432.71M
Income Tax (102.47M)
Net Income330.24M
Net Income
330.24M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

60.6%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

22.2%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

16.5%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

23.7%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

60.62%
Gross Profit Margin
23%
3Y-17.0%
5Y-2.0%
10Y-26.0%
22.20%
Operating Profit Margin
265%
3Y-36.0%
5Y+184.0%
10Y-30.0%
16.52%
Net Profit Margin
275%
3Y-38.0%
5Y+194.0%
10Y-19.0%
9.09%
Return on Equity
295%
3Y-16.0%
5Y+294.0%
10Y+18.0%
1.05%
Return on Assets
315%
3Y-11.0%
5Y+496.0%
10Y+46.0%
6.66%
Return on Invested Capital
370%
3Y+11.0%
5Y+575.0%
10Y+101.0%
TCBI

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

TCBI ยท NASDAQ
Net Income330.24M
Depreciation & Amortization52.17M
Stock-Based Compensation36.76M
Change in Working Capital-126.69M
Others51.79M
Capital Expenditures-12.57M
Free Cash Flow347.58M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

105.3%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

3.5%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-16.5%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$126.69M

Moderate working capital outflow. Typical for growing businesses, but ensure it's supporting revenue growth, not inefficiency.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

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Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

TCBI ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents2.96B
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets3 B
Property, Plant & Equipment85.70M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets1.50M
Long-Term Investments29.60B
Other Non-Current Assets838.77M
Total Non-Current Assets31 B
Total Assets
33.49B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.10x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

8.29x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

-25561615000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

9% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Financial stress indicators: Both liquidity and leverage metrics raise concerns. The company may face challenges meeting obligations and should focus on strengthening its balance sheet.

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Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Street Expectations Map

TCBI ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that TCBI stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 106.17, with estimates ranging from a low of 100.00 to a high of 114.00.

Lowest Target
100.00
1.07%
Consensus Target
106.17
7.31%
Highest Target
114.00
15.22%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 106.17, with estimates ranging from a low of 100.00 to a high of 114.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+7.3%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

13.2% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Insider Positioning

TCBI ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $4.25M worth of TCBI shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

6.5K

216.90K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+217K

+$217K

3-6 Months

Bought

151.0K

3.41M

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+3.4M

+$3.41M

6-9 Months

Bought

20.0K

413.65K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+414K

+$414K

9-12 Months

Bought

10.5K

212.94K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+213K

+$213K

Top Buyers

1
SRW

Stallings Robert W

Director

186.0K sharesโ€ข20 transactions

$4.06M

2
WLL

Whitley Laura L

Director

1.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$98K

3
APM

Arbour Paola M

Director

1.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$92K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $4.25M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$217K

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

High Buying

3 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Strong confluence of bullish signals: High buy/sell ratio, multiple insiders participating, and recent buying momentum all point to significant insider confidence. This level of coordinated buying often precedes positive developments.

0.10%
Dividend Yield
-5%
3Y-45.0%
5Y-4.0%
10Y-11.0%
ย 

tcbi Dividend History

TCBI
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0.2
Annual $0.2
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%