$11.41
-3.4%The Simply Good Foods Company operates as a consumer packaged food and beverage company in North America and internationally. The company develops, markets, and sells snacks and meal replacements. It offers protein bars, ready-to-drink shakes, sweet and salty snacks, cookies, pizza, protein chips, recipes, and confectionery products, as well as licensed frozen meals under the Atkins, Atkins Endulge, and Quest brand names. The company distributes its products to various retail channels, such as mass merchandise, grocery and drug channels, club stores, convenience stores, gas stations, and other channels. It also sells its products through e-commerce channels, including atkins.com, questnutrition.com, and amazon.com. The Simply Good Foods Company is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $135.5M | $102.8M | $78.1M | $59.3M | $45.0M | $34.1M | $25.9M | $19.7M | $14.9M | $11.3M |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$3.1M | -$2.4M | -$1.8M | -$1.4M | -$1.0M | -$786.0K | -$596.7K | -$452.9K | -$343.8K | -$261.0K |
| Owner Earnings | $132.3M | $100.5M | $76.3M | $57.9M | $43.9M | $33.4M | $25.3M | $19.2M | $14.6M | $11.1M |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | $122.5M | $86.1M | $60.5M | $42.5M | $29.9M | $21.0M | $14.8M | $10.4M | $7.3M | $5.1M |
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