Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc.

Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc.

SMBCยทNASDAQ

$67.50

-3.0%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Southern Bank that provides banking and financial services to individuals and corporate customers in the United States. The company offers business banking, business financing, and business services. It also provides personal banking services, which include online and mobile banking, checking and savings, mortgage and refinance, and loans and credit services. In addition, the company offers investing and insurance services. Further, it provides accounts and digital banking services; and debit or credit cards. As of June 30, 2021, the company operated 46 full-service branch offices, and two limited-service branch offices located in Poplar Bluff, Van Buren, Dexter, Kennett, Doniphan, Sikeston, Qulin, Matthews, Springfield, Thayer, West Plains, Alton, Clever, Forsyth, Fremont Hills, Kimberling City, Ozark, Nixa, Rogersville, Marshfield, Cape Girardeau, Jackson, Gideon, Chaffee, Benton, Advance, Bloomfield, Essex, and Rolla, Missouri; Jonesboro, Paragould, Batesville, Searcy, Bald Knob, Bradford, and Cabot, Arkansas; and Anna, Cairo, and Tamms, Illinois. Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Poplar Bluff, Missouri.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$743.56M
EPS5.1900
P/E Ratio13.01
Earnings Date07/22/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 13.0).

Valuation inputs: P/E 13.0, earnings yield +7.7%, momentum -3.0%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is acceptable (ROE +10.7%, ROIC +10.2%).

Profitability stack: net margin +19.1%, ROE +10.7%, ROIC +10.2%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +89.1%, momentum -3.0%, net margin +19.1%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

SMBC ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc.

Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

SMBC ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that SMBC has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $67.5, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $67.5
3Y-1.0%
5Y+73.0%
10Y+161.0%
3Y+121.0%
5Y+151.0%
10Y+369.0%
3Y+24.0%
5Y+112.0%
10Y+293.0%
3Y+21.0%
5Y+102.0%
10Y+362.0%
3Y+20.0%
5Y+109.0%
10Y+859.0%
3Y+56.0%
5Y+97.0%
10Y+258.0%
Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc.

Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. Profit Bridge

SMBC ยท NASDAQ
Revenue305.25M
Cost of Goods Sold (129.27M)
Gross Profit176.08M
Operating Expenses (102.08M)
Operating Income73.99M
Interest Expense (122.75M)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income73.99M
Income Tax (15.41M)
Net Income58.31M
Net Income
58.31M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

57.7%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

24.2%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

19.1%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

20.8%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

57.68%
Gross Profit Margin
-2%
3Y-35.0%
5Y-20.0%
10Y-29.0%
24.24%
Operating Profit Margin
5%
3Y-44.0%
5Y-14.0%
10Y-27.0%
19.10%
Net Profit Margin
4%
3Y-44.0%
5Y-16.0%
10Y-16.0%
10.71%
Return on Equity
4%
3Y-27.0%
5Y-
10Y-9.0%
1.16%
Return on Assets
7%
3Y-21.0%
5Y+7.0%
10Y+10.0%
10.17%
Return on Invested Capital
31%
3Y-14.0%
5Y+31.0%
10Y+93.0%
SMBC

Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

SMBC ยท NASDAQ
Net Income58.58M
Depreciation & Amortization10.02M
Stock-Based Compensation1.67M
Change in Working Capital12.06M
Others-775.00K
Capital Expenditures-6.26M
Free Cash Flow75.29M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

128.5%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

7.7%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+23.0%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$12.06M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

SMBC ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents93.29M
Net Receivables4.27B
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets5 B
Property, Plant & Equipment93.37M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets71.33M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets93 M
Total Assets
5.14B

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

7.96x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

5 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

93% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

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Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. Street Expectations Map

SMBC ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that SMBC stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 73.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 71.00 to a high of 76.00.

Lowest Target
71.00
5.19%
Consensus Target
73.50
8.89%
Highest Target
76.00
12.59%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 73.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 71.00 to a high of 76.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+8.9%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

6.8% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. Insider Positioning

SMBC ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $501K and sold $865K worth of SMBC shares, resulting in $365K of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

2.6K

176.91K

Net Activity

-177K

-$177K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

580

37.12K

Net Activity

-37K

-$37K

6-9 Months

Bought

10.0K

500.50K

Sold

1.5K

80.80K

Net Activity

+420K

+$420K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

10.1K

570.32K

Net Activity

-570K

-$570K

Top Buyers

1
MDP

Mccoy Daniel Patrick

Director

5.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$250K

2
BKJ

Bower Kenneth J

Director

5.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$250K

Top Sellers

1
YWE

Young William E

Other: Retired Director

11.5K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$644K

2
WR

Windes Richard

Officer: Evp-Chief Lending Officer

2.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$137K

3
BD

Bagby Douglas

Director

580 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$40K

4
LCR

Love Charles R

Director

580 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$37K

5
DB

Dorton Brett

Officer: Evp-Chief Strategies Officer

130 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$7K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Slightly bearish with $365K net selling. Selling modestly exceeds buying, which could be routine diversification rather than concern.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.58:1

Moderately negative ratio. Selling is roughly double the buying, which may be routine or signal caution.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$177K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 2 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

0.39%
Dividend Yield
-8%
3Y-33.0%
5Y-4.0%
10Y+2.0%
ย 

smbc Dividend History

SMBC
10Y CAGR +11%
Latest $0.25
Annual $1.23
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%