SERA - NASDAQ

Sera Prognostics, Inc.

Sera Prognostics, Inc.

SERAยทNASDAQ

$2.22

+8.3%
HealthcareMedical - Diagnostics & Research

Sera Prognostics, Inc., a women's health diagnostic company, discovers, develops, and commercializes biomarker tests for improving pregnancy outcomes. The company develops PreTRM test, a blood-based biomarker test to predict the risk of spontaneous preterm birth in asymptomatic singleton pregnancies. It is also developing a portfolio of product candidates for various pregnancy-related conditions, including preeclampsia, molecular time-to-birth, gestational diabetes mellitus, fetal growth restriction, stillbirth, and postpartum depression. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.

StatementsValue Model

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$84.78M
EPS-0.6700
P/E Ratio-3.31
Earnings Date08/05/2026
Sera Prognostics, Inc.

Sera Prognostics, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

SERA ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that SERA has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $2.22, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Sera Prognostics, Inc..

HIDDEN
Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $2.22

Owner Earnings Valuation Tool

Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation

Historical Financial Data

Base year metrics used for projections

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Projection Settings

Forecast period and terminal assumptions

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DCF Valuation Summary

Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share

Present Value-$22.2M
+ Cash & Equivalents$3.9M
Firm Value-$18.3M
- Debt$2.3M
Equity Value-$20.6M
/ Shares Outstanding37,094,109B
DCF Value-$1
OVERVALUED BY 125%

Owner Earnings Projections

Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings

Metric
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Operating Cash Flow
-$12.8M
-$6.4M
-$3.2M
-$1.6M
-$800.7K
-$400.4K
-$200.2K
-$100.1K
-$50.0K
-$25.0K
Maintenance CapEx
-$72.6K
-$36.3K
-$18.2K
-$9.1K
-$4.5K
-$2.3K
-$1.1K
-$567
-$284
-$142
Owner Earnings
-$12.9M
-$6.4M
-$3.2M
-$1.6M
-$805.3K
-$402.6K
-$201.3K
-$100.7K
-$50.3K
-$25.2K
Discount Factor
0.926
0.857
0.794
0.735
0.681
0.630
0.583
0.540
0.500
0.463
Present Value
-$11.9M
-$5.5M
-$2.6M
-$1.2M
-$548.0K
-$253.7K
-$117.5K
-$54.4K
-$25.2K
-$11.7K
Terminal Value represents 0.0% of Enterprise Value
Negative Owner Earnings
This company generates negative free cash flow. Consider adjusting maintenance CapEx percentage or check the financial data.

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