XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$0.44
-2.2%XCF Global, Inc. is a pioneering sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) company dedicated to accelerating the aviation industry's transition to net-zero emissions. The company develops and operates state-of-the-art clean fuel SAF production facilities designed for high compliance, reliability, and quality. XCF is actively building partnerships across energy and transportation sectors to scale SAF adoption globally. Their New Rise Reno facility began commercial production in February 2025, with a capacity of 38 million gallons of neat SAF per year, and they are expanding production sites in Nevada, North Carolina, and Florida.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E 0.8).
Valuation inputs: P/E 0.8, earnings yield +117.6%, momentum -2.2%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE +2.0%, ROIC -16.7%).
Profitability stack: net margin +3.6%, ROE +2.0%, ROIC -16.7%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +91.0%, momentum -2.2%, net margin +3.6%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock Fair Value Envelope
XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Negative gross margin indicates the company is losing money on each sale—unsustainable long-term.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.
Effective Tax Rate
Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.
Profitability Insight
Critical situation: Negative gross margins indicate fundamental business model issues. The company loses money on every sale—immediate strategic changes required.
XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.
XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.
Working Capital
Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assets—potential liquidity stress.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Financial Health Insight
Financial stress indicators: Both liquidity and leverage metrics raise concerns. The company may face challenges meeting obligations and should focus on strengthening its balance sheet.
XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock Street Expectations Map
No Target Data
No analyst price targets available for safx.
XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $6.06M worth of SAFX shares, with no buying activity reported.
3 Months
0
0.00
15.3M
5.79M
-5.8M
-$5.79M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
2.2M
271.48K
-271K
-$271K
6-9 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
9-12 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
Top Buyers
No buying activity
Top Sellers
Soule Randy
10 Percent Owner
$6.06M
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $6.06M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
1 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Persistent selling pressure: Consistent insider selling with weak buy/sell ratio suggests insiders may be capitalizing on current valuation. Exercise caution and review recent earnings quality and management commentary.
No Dividend Yield Data
SAFX has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
safx Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on SAFX by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.