$0.44
-2.2%XCF Global, Inc. is a pioneering sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) company dedicated to accelerating the aviation industry's transition to net-zero emissions. The company develops and operates state-of-the-art clean fuel SAF production facilities designed for high compliance, reliability, and quality. XCF is actively building partnerships across energy and transportation sectors to scale SAF adoption globally. Their New Rise Reno facility began commercial production in February 2025, with a capacity of 38 million gallons of neat SAF per year, and they are expanding production sites in Nevada, North Carolina, and Florida.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$8.9M | -$4.5M | -$2.2M | -$1.1M | -$558.1K | -$279.0K | -$139.5K | -$69.8K | -$34.9K | -$17.4K |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 |
| Owner Earnings | -$8.9M | -$4.5M | -$2.2M | -$1.1M | -$558.1K | -$279.0K | -$139.5K | -$69.8K | -$34.9K | -$17.4K |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | -$8.3M | -$3.8M | -$1.8M | -$820.4K | -$379.8K | -$175.8K | -$81.4K | -$37.7K | -$17.4K | -$8.1K |
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