$57.15
-2.7%Ryanair Holdings plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides scheduled-passenger airline services in Ireland, the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Germany, and other European countries. It is also involved in the provision of various ancillary services, such as non-flight scheduled and Internet-related services; in-flight sale of beverages, food, duty-free, and merchandise; and marketing of car hire and accommodation services, and travel insurance through its website and mobile app. In addition, the company offers aircraft and passenger handling, ticketing, and maintenance and repair services; and markets car parking, fast-track, airport transfers, attractions, and activities on its website and mobile app, as well as sells gift vouchers. As of June 30, 2022, it had a principal fleet of approximately 483 Boeing 737 aircrafts and 29 Airbus A320 aircrafts; and offered approximately 3,000 short-haul flights per day serving approximately 225 airports. Ryanair Holdings plc was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Swords, Ireland.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $3.6B | $3.5B | $3.4B | $3.3B | $3.3B | $3.2B | $3.1B | $3.0B | $2.9B | $2.9B |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$371.1M | -$361.4M | -$352.0M | -$342.8M | -$333.8M | -$325.1M | -$316.7M | -$308.4M | -$300.4M | -$292.5M |
| Owner Earnings | $3.3B | $3.2B | $3.1B | $3.0B | $2.9B | $2.8B | $2.8B | $2.7B | $2.6B | $2.6B |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | $3.0B | $2.7B | $2.4B | $2.2B | $2.0B | $1.8B | $1.6B | $1.5B | $1.3B | $1.2B |
Continue your RYAAY research with focused valuation guides.
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.