Sunrun Inc.

Sunrun Inc.

RUNยทNASDAQ

$14.85

+0.79%
EnergySolar

Sunrun Inc. engages in the design, development, installation, sale, ownership, and maintenance of residential solar energy systems in the United States. It also sells solar energy systems and products, such as panels and racking; and solar leads generated to customers. In addition, the company offers battery storage along with solar energy systems. Its primary customers are residential homeowners. The company markets and sells its products through direct-to-consumer approach across online, retail, mass media, digital media, canvassing, field marketing, and referral channels, as well as its partner network. Sunrun Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$3.54B
EPS1.9600
P/E Ratio7.58
Earnings Date08/05/2026
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Sunrun Inc. Street Expectations Map

RUN ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that RUN stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 17.86, with estimates ranging from a low of 12.00 to a high of 23.00.

Lowest Target
12.00
-19.19%
Consensus Target
17.86
20.27%
Highest Target
23.00
54.88%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 17.86, with estimates ranging from a low of 12.00 to a high of 23.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+20.3%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

61.6% spread

High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analystsโ€”major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.

Risk-Reward Profile

2.86x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

Low

High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuationโ€”proceed with caution and independent analysis.

Market Sentiment Insight

High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.

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Sunrun Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

RUN ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
2.96B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
2.53B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
2.06B - 2.75B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-14.4%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage16 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread27%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Sunrun Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

RUN ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
449.95M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
146.03M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-733.19M - 584.07M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-67.5%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage16 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread902%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Declining estimates with wide disagreement: Analysts projecting contraction without consensus signals significant business uncertaintyโ€”exercise caution.

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Sunrun Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

RUN ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
1.96
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$0.19
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$-3.30 - $2.63
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-90.5%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage11 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread3180%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookCautious

Analyst skepticism evidentโ€”carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.

Key Insight

Declining estimates with wide disagreement: Analysts projecting contraction without consensus signals significant business uncertaintyโ€”exercise caution.

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Sunrun Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

RUN ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
1.23B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-1.51B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-1.64B - -1.23B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-222.4%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage16 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread27%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Sunrun Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

RUN ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
2.05B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-1.03B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-1.12B - -841.44M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-150.3%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage16 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread27%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Sunrun Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

RUN ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
987.30M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
1.25B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
1.02B - 1.36B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+27.0%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage16 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread27%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Well-supported growth expectations: Strong analyst coverage combined with positive growth projections provides confidence in forward outlook.

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Sunrun Inc. Insider Positioning

RUN ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $149K and sold $24.78M worth of RUN shares, resulting in $24.63M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

698.9K

9.41M

Net Activity

-9.4M

-$9.41M

3-6 Months

Bought

12.5K

149.03K

Sold

310.9K

5.96M

Net Activity

-5.8M

-$5.81M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

443.6K

8.43M

Net Activity

-8.4M

-$8.43M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

79.2K

983.18K

Net Activity

-983K

-$983K

Top Buyers

1
FA

Ferber Alan

Director

12.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$149K

Top Sellers

1
JLM

Jurich Lynn Michelle

Director

430.6K sharesโ€ข14 transactions

$7.46M

2
FEH

Fenster Edward Harris

Director

300.9K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$5.74M

3
PM

Powell Mary

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

238.0K sharesโ€ข9 transactions

$3.25M

4
DPS

Dickson Paul S.

Officer: Pres. & Chief Revenue Officer

196.5K sharesโ€ข10 transactions

$2.93M

5
SJ

Steele Jeanna

Officer: Chief Legal & People Officer

166.5K sharesโ€ข14 transactions

$2.65M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $24.63M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.01:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$9.41M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.