Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.

REFIยทNASDAQ

$11.26

-0.18%
Real EstateREIT - Mortgage

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a commercial real estate finance company in the United States. It originates, structures, and invests in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties. The company offers senior loans to state-licensed operators and property owners in the cannabis industry. It has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT) and would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$238.79M
EPS1.7100
P/E Ratio6.58
Earnings Date08/06/2026
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Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. Street Expectations Map

REFI ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that REFI stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 17.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 14.00 to a high of 20.00.

Lowest Target
14.00
24.33%
Consensus Target
17.00
50.98%
Highest Target
20.00
77.62%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 17.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 14.00 to a high of 20.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+51.0%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

35.3% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

REFI ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
63.10M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
58.46M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
53.72M - 63.18M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-7.4%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread16%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookCautious

Analyst skepticism evidentโ€”carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.

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Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

REFI ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
36.01M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
37.94M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
36.53M - 39.35M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+5.4%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread7%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

REFI ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
1.71
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$1.93
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$1.85 - $2.00
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+12.9%

Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread7%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

REFI ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
36.01M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
0.00
FY 2026
Estimate Range
0.00 - 0.00
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-100.0%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

OutlookCautious

Analyst skepticism evidentโ€”carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

REFI ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
36.01M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
0.00
FY 2026
Estimate Range
0.00 - 0.00
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-100.0%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

OutlookCautious

Analyst skepticism evidentโ€”carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

REFI ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
8.67M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
6.76M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
6.21M - 7.30M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-22.1%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread16%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookCautious

Analyst skepticism evidentโ€”carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. Insider Positioning

REFI ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $483K worth of REFI shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

38.6K

483.39K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+483K

+$483K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
MJ

Mazarakis John

Director, Officer: Executive Chairman

15.5K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$195K

2
SP

Sack Peter

Director, Officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer

8.2K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$101K

3
KB

Konigsberg Brandon

Director

7.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$86K

4
KD

Kite David

Officer: Chief Operating Officer

5.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$63K

5
PJD

Papastavrou Jason D

Director

3.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$38K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $483K net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Insider Participation

High Buying

5 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Compelling insider conviction: The combination of strong buy/sell ratio and multiple buyers suggests insiders see attractive risk/reward. Consider this alongside fundamental analysis for confirmation.