Prairie Operating Co.
$1.20
+1.7%Prairie Operating Co. engages in developing energy to meet growing demand, while protecting the environment. The company was formerly known as Creek Road Miners, Inc. and changed its name to Prairie Operating Co. in May 2023. Prairie Operating Co. is based in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E 2.4).
Valuation inputs: P/E 2.4, earnings yield +41.8%, momentum +1.7%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is acceptable (ROE +24.6%, ROIC +5.0%).
Profitability stack: net margin +13.3%, ROE +24.6%, ROIC +5.0%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +86.2%, momentum +1.7%, net margin +13.3%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Prairie Operating Co. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
Performance Analysis
EPS Growth
Strong earnings growth indicates robust business expansion and improving profitability.
Price-EPS Relationship
Earnings are growing but price is falling—potential undervaluation opportunity if growth continues.
Stock Price Change
Over the 1Y period, stock price has decreased by 68.9%.
P/E Ratio (TTM)
Relatively low P/E may indicate undervaluation or lower growth expectations.
Key Insight
Strong earnings growth (+23.8%) is outpacing price appreciation (+-68.9%), potentially indicating an attractive entry point as the market may not have fully recognized the improving fundamentals.
Prairie Operating Co. Fair Value Envelope
Prairie Operating Co. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.
Operating Margin
Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.
Net Profit Margin
Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.
Effective Tax Rate
Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.
Profitability Insight
Room for improvement: Moderate profitability with opportunities to enhance margins through better cost management or pricing strategy.
Prairie Operating Co. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
CapEx Intensity
Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.
FCF Growth Trend
Declining FCF warrants attention. Investigate whether due to temporary factors or fundamental deterioration.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.
Prairie Operating Co. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.
Working Capital
Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assets—potential liquidity stress.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Financial Health Insight
Financial stress indicators: Both liquidity and leverage metrics raise concerns. The company may face challenges meeting obligations and should focus on strengthening its balance sheet.
Prairie Operating Co. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that PROP stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 3.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 3.50 to a high of 3.50.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 3.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 3.50 to a high of 3.50.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.
Market Sentiment Insight
Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.
Prairie Operating Co. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $3.28M and sold $18K worth of PROP shares, resulting in $3.26M of net buying activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
3-6 Months
1.2M
1.93M
0
0.00
+1.9M
+$1.93M
6-9 Months
190.8K
322.99K
9.6K
18.30K
+305K
+$305K
9-12 Months
468.5K
1.03M
0
0.00
+1.0M
+$1.03M
Top Buyers
Narrogal Nominees Pty Ltd Atf Gregory K O'Neill Family Trust
10 Percent Owner
$2.25M
Gray Jonathan H.
Director
$906K
Frommer Richard N.
Director
$41K
Patton Gregory Scott
Officer: Evp And Cfo
$27K
Kovalik Edward
Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$22K
Top Sellers
Patton Gregory Scott
Officer: Evp And Cfo
$18K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bullish signal with $3.26M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs selling—one of the strongest possible insider signals.
Insider Participation
5 insider buyers vs. 1 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.
Insider Activity Insight
Compelling insider conviction: The combination of strong buy/sell ratio and multiple buyers suggests insiders see attractive risk/reward. Consider this alongside fundamental analysis for confirmation.
No Dividend Yield Data
PROP has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
prop Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on PROP by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.