Outdoor Holding Company

Outdoor Holding Company

POWWยทNASDAQ

$2.01

-2.4%
IndustrialsAerospace & Defense

Outdoor Holding Company engages in online marketplace business. It owns and operates the GunBroker e-commerce marketplace, an auction site that supports the lawful sale of firearms, ammunition, and hunting/shooting accessories. The company is also involved in banner advertising campaign activities. Outdoor Holding Company was formerly known as AMMO, Inc. and changed its name to Outdoor Holding Company in April 2025. Outdoor Holding Company is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$235.75M
EPS-1.1400
P/E Ratio-1.76
Earnings Date06/15/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -1.8).

Valuation inputs: P/E -1.8, earnings yield N/A, momentum -2.4%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -58.9%, ROIC -25.3%).

Profitability stack: net margin -2.6%, ROE -58.9%, ROIC -25.3%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +25.3%, momentum -2.4%, net margin -2.6%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Outdoor Holding Company Market vs Earnings Trajectory

POWW ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Outdoor Holding Company

Outdoor Holding Company Fair Value Envelope

POWW ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that POWW has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $2.01, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Outdoor Holding Company.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $2.01
3Y-522.0%
5Y+256.0%
10Y+3185.0%
3Y-79.0%
5Y+234.0%
10Y-
3Y-606.0%
5Y+799.0%
10Y+653056.0%
3Y-672.0%
5Y+89.0%
10Y+664766.0%
3Y-23.0%
5Y+132.0%
10Y+888970.0%
3Y-28.0%
5Y+623.0%
10Y-
Outdoor Holding Company

Outdoor Holding Company Profit Bridge

POWW ยท NASDAQ
Revenue49.40M
Cost of Goods Sold (6.47M)
Gross Profit42.93M
Operating Expenses (102.65M)
Operating Income-59.71M
Interest Expense (82.17K)
Other Income/Expense778.12K
Pretax Income-58.94M
Income Tax (6.29M)
Net Income-130.83M
Net Income
-130.83M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

86.9%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

-120.9%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-264.8%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

86.91%
Gross Profit Margin
1%
3Y+135.0%
5Y-449.0%
10Y-
-120.87%
Operating Profit Margin
912%
3Y-1118.0%
5Y+29.0%
10Y-
-264.84%
Net Profit Margin
761%
3Y-2560.0%
5Y+169.0%
10Y-
-58.93%
Return on Equity
1172%
3Y-953.0%
5Y-22.0%
10Y-1038.0%
-44.00%
Return on Assets
969%
3Y-805.0%
5Y+24.0%
10Y-
-25.33%
Return on Invested Capital
1638%
3Y-465.0%
5Y-36.0%
10Y-970.0%
POWW

Outdoor Holding Company Cash Conversion Engine

POWW ยท NASDAQ
Net Income-65.22M
Depreciation & Amortization14.12M
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital36.52M
Others-35.90M
Capital Expenditures-3.41M
Free Cash Flow-13.51M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

20.7%

Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cashโ€”review working capital trends and capital intensity.

CapEx Intensity

-33.7%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-145.1%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

+$36.52M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.

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Outdoor Holding Company Funding & Solvency Profile

POWW ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents69.86M
Net Receivables9.17M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets83 M
Property, Plant & Equipment1.18M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets180.79M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets7.16M
Total Non-Current Assets8 M
Total Assets
271.65M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

4.00x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.14x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

62 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

30% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

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Outdoor Holding Company Street Expectations Map

POWW ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that POWW stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 2.25, with estimates ranging from a low of 2.25 to a high of 2.25.

Lowest Target
2.25
11.94%
Consensus Target
2.25
11.94%
Highest Target
2.25
11.94%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 2.25, with estimates ranging from a low of 2.25 to a high of 2.25.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+11.9%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Outdoor Holding Company Insider Positioning

POWW ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $19K worth of POWW shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

14.8K

18.99K

Net Activity

-19K

-$19K

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
KPJ

Kasowski Paul Joseph

Officer: Cfo

8.9K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$11K

2
CEA

Cross Elizabeth Ann

Officer: Coo, Gunbroker

4.8K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$6K

3
USF

Urvan Steven F.

Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

1.1K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $19K net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

3 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

0.38%
Dividend Yield
-13%
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

poww Dividend History

POWW
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%