PotlatchDeltic Corporation

PotlatchDeltic Corporation

PCHยทNASDAQ

$41.73

+0.0000%
Real EstateREIT - Specialty

PotlatchDeltic (NASDAQ:PCH) is a leading Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) that owns 1.8 million acres of timberlands in Alabama, Arkansas, Idaho, Louisiana, Minnesota and Mississippi. Through its taxable REIT subsidiary, the company also operates six sawmills, an industrial-grade plywood mill, a residential and commercial real estate development business and a rural timberland sales program. PotlatchDeltic, a leader in sustainable forest management, is committed to environmental and social responsibility and to responsible governance.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$3.23B
EPS0.2800
P/E Ratio149.04
Earnings Date04/27/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 149.0).

Valuation inputs: P/E 149.0, earnings yield +0.7%, momentum 0.0%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +1.1%, ROIC +1.0%).

Profitability stack: net margin +2.1%, ROE +1.1%, ROIC +1.0%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +38.4%, momentum 0.0%, net margin +2.1%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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PotlatchDeltic Corporation Market vs Earnings Trajectory

PCH ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

PotlatchDeltic Corporation

PotlatchDeltic Corporation Fair Value Envelope

PCH ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that PCH has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $41.73, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for PotlatchDeltic Corporation.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $41.73
3Y-96.0%
5Y-66.0%
10Y-64.0%
3Y-21.0%
5Y+28.0%
10Y+85.0%
3Y-95.0%
5Y-61.0%
10Y-31.0%
3Y-63.0%
5Y+36.0%
10Y+155.0%
3Y-84.0%
5Y-17.0%
10Y+117.0%
3Y+30.0%
5Y+48.0%
10Y+225.0%
PotlatchDeltic Corporation

PotlatchDeltic Corporation Profit Bridge

PCH ยท NASDAQ
Revenue1.06B
Cost of Goods Sold (945.67M)
Gross Profit116.40M
Operating Expenses (83.21M)
Operating Income33.19M
Interest Expense (28.92M)
Other Income/Expense-25.00M
Pretax Income8.19M
Income Tax (-13.69M)
Net Income21.88M
Net Income
21.88M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

11.0%

Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.

Operating Margin

3.1%

Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.

Net Profit Margin

2.1%

Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

Effective Tax Rate

-167.2%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

10.96%
Gross Profit Margin
-10%
3Y-76.0%
5Y-37.0%
10Y-40.0%
3.13%
Operating Profit Margin
-63%
3Y-92.0%
5Y-73.0%
10Y-69.0%
2.06%
Net Profit Margin
-66%
3Y-94.0%
5Y-69.0%
10Y-63.0%
1.07%
Return on Equity
-62%
3Y-96.0%
5Y-76.0%
10Y-93.0%
0.66%
Return on Assets
-63%
3Y-96.0%
5Y-73.0%
10Y-79.0%
1.04%
Return on Invested Capital
-60%
3Y-94.0%
5Y-76.0%
10Y-86.0%
PCH

PotlatchDeltic Corporation Cash Conversion Engine

PCH ยท NASDAQ
Net Income0.00
Depreciation & Amortization0.00
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-1.02M
Others189.50M
Capital Expenditures-121.00M
Free Cash Flow67.47M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

CapEx Intensity

64.2%

Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.

FCF Growth Trend

+79.9%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$1.02M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Capital-intensive growth: Heavy reinvestment limits current cash available but may drive future returns. Assess whether CapEx supports compelling growth opportunities with adequate ROI.

pch

PotlatchDeltic Corporation Funding & Solvency Profile

PCH ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents88.77M
Net Receivables34.72M
Inventory91.20M
Other Current Assets41.12M
Total Current Assets256 M
Property, Plant & Equipment396.51M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets12.57M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets2.51B
Total Non-Current Assets3 B
Total Assets
3.17B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.96x

Strong liquidity. The company has adequate resources to meet short-term liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.66x

Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.

Working Capital

126 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

8% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

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PotlatchDeltic Corporation Street Expectations Map

PCH ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that PCH stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 51.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 45.00 to a high of 57.00.

Lowest Target
45.00
7.84%
Consensus Target
51.00
22.21%
Highest Target
57.00
36.59%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 51.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 45.00 to a high of 57.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+22.2%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

23.5% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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PotlatchDeltic Corporation Insider Positioning

PCH ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $1.94M worth of PCH shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

49.4K

1.94M

Net Activity

-1.9M

-$1.94M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
CEJ

Cremers Eric J

Director, Officer: President And Ceo

24.4K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$961K

2
CAT

Cribb Ashlee Townsend

Officer: Vice President, Wood Products

4.8K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$190K

3
TM

Tyler Michele

Officer: Vp, General Counsel & Corp Sec

4.4K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$173K

4
BDR

Ball Darin Robert

Officer: Vice President, Timberlands

4.2K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$164K

5
SRL

Schwartz Robert L.

Officer: Vp, Human Resources

3.3K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$132K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $1.94M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

1.10%
Dividend Yield
-5%
3Y-9.0%
5Y+16.0%
10Y-11.0%
ย 

pch Dividend History

PCH
10Y CAGR +2%
Latest $0.45
Annual $2.25
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%