ORGN - NASDAQ

Origin Materials, Inc.

Origin Materials, Inc.

ORGNยทNASDAQ

$0.34

+1.7%
Basic MaterialsChemicals

Micromidas, Inc., doing business as Origin Materials, produces and commercializes plant-based PET plastic. It develops a platform for turning the carbon found in biomass into useful materials, while capturing carbon in the process. The company serves tire filler, carbon black, agriculture, and activated carbon markets. Micromidas, Inc. has a strategic alliance with Palantir Technologies Inc. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is based in West Sacramento, California with a facility in Sarnia, Canada.

StatementsValue Model

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$51.10M
EPS-0.5800
P/E Ratio-0.58
Earnings Date05/13/2026
Origin Materials, Inc.

Origin Materials, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

ORGN ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that ORGN has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $0.3381, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Origin Materials, Inc..

HIDDEN
Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $0.3381

Owner Earnings Valuation Tool

Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation

Historical Financial Data

Base year metrics used for projections

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Projection Settings

Forecast period and terminal assumptions

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DCF Valuation Summary

Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share

Present Value-$10.4B
+ Cash & Equivalents$56.3M
Firm Value-$10.3B
- Debt$9.7M
Equity Value-$10.3B
/ Shares Outstanding149,898,813B
DCF Value-$69
OVERVALUED BY 20455%

Owner Earnings Projections

Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings

Metric
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Operating Cash Flow
-$83.8M
-$138.3M
-$228.0M
-$376.1M
-$620.3M
-$1.0B
-$1.7B
-$2.8B
-$4.6B
-$7.6B
Maintenance CapEx
-$3.0M
-$4.9M
-$8.0M
-$13.2M
-$21.9M
-$36.0M
-$59.4M
-$98.0M
-$161.7M
-$266.6M
Owner Earnings
-$86.8M
-$143.1M
-$236.1M
-$389.3M
-$642.1M
-$1.1B
-$1.7B
-$2.9B
-$4.8B
-$7.8B
Discount Factor
0.926
0.857
0.794
0.735
0.681
0.630
0.583
0.540
0.500
0.463
Present Value
-$80.4M
-$122.7M
-$187.4M
-$286.2M
-$437.0M
-$667.4M
-$1.0B
-$1.6B
-$2.4B
-$3.6B
Terminal Value represents 0.0% of Enterprise Value
Negative Owner Earnings
This company generates negative free cash flow. Consider adjusting maintenance CapEx percentage or check the financial data.

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