Novavax, Inc.

Novavax, Inc.

NVAXยทNASDAQ

$10.57

+3.6%
HealthcareBiotechnology

Novavax, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of vaccines to prevent serious infectious diseases and address health needs. The company's vaccine candidates include NVX-CoV2373, a coronavirus vaccine candidate that is in two Phase III trials, one Phase IIb trial, and one Phase I/II trial; NanoFlu, a nanoparticle seasonal quadrivalent influenza vaccine candidate that is in Phase 3 clinical trial; and ResVax, a respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) fusion (F) protein nanoparticle vaccine candidate. It is also developing RSV F vaccine that is in Phase II clinical trial for older adults (60 years and older), as well as that is in Phase I clinical trial for pediatrics. It has a collaboration agreement with Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited for the development, manufacturing, and commercialization of NVX-CoV2373, a COVID-19 vaccine candidate. Novavax, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$1.74B
EPS2.7200
P/E Ratio3.89
Earnings Date08/05/2026
nvax

Novavax, Inc. Street Expectations Map

NVAX ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that NVAX stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 18.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 11.00 to a high of 25.00.

Lowest Target
11.00
4.07%
Consensus Target
18.00
70.29%
Highest Target
25.00
136.52%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 18.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 11.00 to a high of 25.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+70.3%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

77.8% spread

High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analystsโ€”major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.

Analyst Conviction

Low

High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuationโ€”proceed with caution and independent analysis.

Market Sentiment Insight

High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.

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Novavax, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

NVAX ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
1.12B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
441.99M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
411.13M - 488.21M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-60.7%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage7 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread17%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

nvax

Novavax, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

NVAX ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
440.30M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
2.80M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-3.90M - 9.51M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-99.4%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage7 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread479%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookCautious

Analyst skepticism evidentโ€”carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.

Key Insight

Declining estimates with wide disagreement: Analysts projecting contraction without consensus signals significant business uncertaintyโ€”exercise caution.

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Novavax, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

NVAX ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
2.72
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$0.02
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$-0.03 - $0.06
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-99.1%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage7 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread362%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookCautious

Analyst skepticism evidentโ€”carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.

Key Insight

Declining estimates with wide disagreement: Analysts projecting contraction without consensus signals significant business uncertaintyโ€”exercise caution.

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Novavax, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

NVAX ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
464.71M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-316.10M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-349.16M - -294.04M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-168.0%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage7 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread17%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

nvax

Novavax, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

NVAX ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
492.33M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-301.66M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-333.21M - -280.60M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-161.3%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage7 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread17%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

nvax

Novavax, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

NVAX ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
150.35M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
852.37M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
792.86M - 941.50M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+466.9%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage7 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread17%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

nvax

Novavax, Inc. Insider Positioning

NVAX ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for NVAX.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Neutral

No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.

Insider Participation

No Activity

No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.