NI Holdings, Inc.

NI Holdings, Inc.

NODKยทNASDAQ

$14.36

-0.86%
Financial ServicesInsurance - Property & Casualty

NI Holdings, Inc. underwrites property and casualty insurance products in the United States. The company's products include private passenger auto, non-standard automobile, homeowners, farm owners, crop hail and multi-peril crop, and liability insurance policies. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Fargo, North Dakota. NI Holdings, Inc. is a subsidiary of Nodak Mutual Group, Inc.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$294.11M
EPS-0.5000
P/E Ratio-28.72
Earnings Date08/07/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -28.7).

Valuation inputs: P/E -28.7, earnings yield N/A, momentum -0.9%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -4.3%, ROIC +2.6%).

Profitability stack: net margin -3.6%, ROE -4.3%, ROIC +2.6%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +0.2%, momentum -0.9%, net margin -3.6%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

nodk

NI Holdings, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

NODK ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

NI Holdings, Inc.

NI Holdings, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

NODK ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that NODK has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $14.36, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for NI Holdings, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $14.36
3Y-80.0%
5Y-127.0%
10Y-350.0%
3Y+6.0%
5Y-7.0%
10Y+73.0%
3Y-80.0%
5Y-126.0%
10Y-329.0%
3Y-107.0%
5Y-96.0%
10Y-73.0%
3Y-51.0%
5Y-131.0%
10Y-329.0%
3Y-61.0%
5Y-61.0%
10Y-14.0%
NI Holdings, Inc.

NI Holdings, Inc. Profit Bridge

NODK ยท NASDAQ
Revenue285.05M
Cost of Goods Sold (200.79M)
Gross Profit84.26M
Operating Expenses (96.59M)
Operating Income-12.33M
Interest Expense (0.00)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income-12.33M
Income Tax (-1.92M)
Net Income-10.41M
Net Income
-10.41M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

29.6%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

-4.3%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-3.7%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

29.56%
Gross Profit Margin
107%
3Y-387.0%
5Y+5.0%
10Y-70.0%
-4.33%
Operating Profit Margin
-239%
3Y-78.0%
5Y-125.0%
10Y-216.0%
-3.65%
Net Profit Margin
96%
3Y-82.0%
5Y-128.0%
10Y-232.0%
-4.33%
Return on Equity
75%
3Y-80.0%
5Y-137.0%
10Y-242.0%
-4.33%
Return on Assets
276%
3Y-50.0%
5Y-166.0%
10Y-365.0%
259.55%
Return on Invested Capital
10253%
3Y-3477.0%
5Y-
10Y+25047.0%
NODK

NI Holdings, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

NODK ยท NASDAQ
Net Income-10.41M
Depreciation & Amortization0.00
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-11.17M
Others23.59M
Capital Expenditures-217.00K
Free Cash Flow-15.49M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

148.7%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

10.8%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-141.3%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$11.17M

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.

nodk

NI Holdings, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

NODK ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents57.72M
Net Receivables40.21M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets98 M
Property, Plant & Equipment6.62M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets7 M
Total Assets
492.11M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

10.95x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.97x

Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.

Working Capital

89 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

20% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

nodk

NI Holdings, Inc. Street Expectations Map

NODK ยท NASDAQ

No Target Data

No analyst price targets available for nodk.

nodk

NI Holdings, Inc. Insider Positioning

NODK ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for NODK.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Neutral

No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.

Insider Participation

No Activity

No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

nodk Dividend History

NODK
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%