National CineMedia, Inc.

National CineMedia, Inc.

NCMIยทNASDAQ

$3.57

-1.4%
Communication ServicesAdvertising Agencies

National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. It engages in the sale of advertising to national, regional, and local businesses in Noovie, a cinema advertising and entertainment pre-show seen on movie screens; and sells advertising on its Lobby Entertainment Network, a series of strategically-placed screens located in movie theater lobbies, as well as other forms of advertising and promotions in theatre lobbies. The company is also engaged in the sale of online and mobile advertising through its Noovie Audience Accelerator product, as well as a suite of Noovie digital properties, such as Noovie Shuffle, Noovie Trivia, Name That Movie, and Noovie Arcade to reach entertainment audiences beyond the theater. It offers its services to third-party theater circuits under long-term network affiliate agreements. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Centennial, Colorado.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$334.80M
EPS-0.1100
P/E Ratio-32.45
Earnings Date08/04/2026
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National CineMedia, Inc. Street Expectations Map

NCMI ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that NCMI stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 7.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 7.00 to a high of 8.00.

Lowest Target
7.00
96.08%
Consensus Target
7.50
110.08%
Highest Target
8.00
124.09%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 7.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 7.00 to a high of 8.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+110.1%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

13.3% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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National CineMedia, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

NCMI ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
243.20M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
241.00M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
240.17M - 242.17M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-0.9%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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National CineMedia, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

NCMI ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
-10.60M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-20.20M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-21.27M - -19.12M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-90.5%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread11%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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National CineMedia, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

NCMI ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
-0.11
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$-0.21
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$-0.23 - $-0.20
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-93.2%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread11%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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National CineMedia, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

NCMI ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
-13.90M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
21.43M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
21.36M - 21.53M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+254.2%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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National CineMedia, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

NCMI ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
24.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
58.49M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
58.29M - 58.78M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+143.7%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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National CineMedia, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

NCMI ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
87.70M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
107.79M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
107.42M - 108.32M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+22.9%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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National CineMedia, Inc. Insider Positioning

NCMI ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $1.31M worth of NCMI shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

147.7K

464.79K

Net Activity

-465K

-$465K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

99.0K

374.48K

Net Activity

-374K

-$374K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

55.5K

243.61K

Net Activity

-244K

-$244K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

50.5K

231.82K

Net Activity

-232K

-$232K

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
LTF

Lesinski Thomas F.

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

221.2K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$838K

2
NRY

Ng Ronnie Y.

Officer: Chief Financial Officer

87.5K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$307K

3
WMV

Woods Maria Vg

Officer: Chief Legal Officer

29.2K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$104K

4
HJF

Hill Juliana F

Director

13.4K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$59K

5
SC

Sullivan Catherine

Officer: President - Sales & Marketing

1.5K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$6K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $1.31M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$465K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.