MESA - NASDAQ

Mesa Air Group, Inc.

Mesa Air Group, Inc.

MESAยทNASDAQ

$1.57

-6.0%
IndustrialsAirlines, Airports & Air Services

Mesa Air Group, Inc. operates as the holding company for Mesa Airlines, Inc. that provides regional air carrier services under capacity purchase agreements with the American Airlines and the United Airlines. It also engages in leasing aircrafts to third parties. As of September 30, 2021, the company operated a fleet of 167 aircraft, which include 153 owned aircrafts and 14 leased aircrafts with approximately 507 daily departures to 129 cities in the United States and Mexico. Mesa Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.

StatementsValue Model

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$65.75M
EPS-2.2100
P/E Ratio-0.71
Earnings Date12/23/2025
Mesa Air Group, Inc.

Mesa Air Group, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

MESA ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that MESA has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $1.57, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Mesa Air Group, Inc..

HIDDEN
Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $1.57

Owner Earnings Valuation Tool

Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation

Historical Financial Data

Base year metrics used for projections

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Projection Settings

Forecast period and terminal assumptions

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DCF Valuation Summary

Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share

Present Value$274.4B
+ Cash & Equivalents$15.6M
Firm Value$274.4B
- Debt$319.9M
Equity Value$274.1B
/ Shares Outstanding41,867,000B
DCF Value$6.5K
UNDERVALUED BY 416919%

Owner Earnings Projections

Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings

Metric
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Operating Cash Flow
$68.5M
$137.0M
$274.0M
$547.9M
$1.1B
$2.2B
$4.4B
$8.8B
$17.5B
$35.1B
Maintenance CapEx
-$8.1M
-$16.3M
-$32.5M
-$65.0M
-$130.0M
-$260.0M
-$520.0M
-$1.0B
-$2.1B
-$4.2B
Owner Earnings
$60.4M
$120.7M
$241.5M
$482.9M
$965.8M
$1.9B
$3.9B
$7.7B
$15.5B
$30.9B
Discount Factor
0.926
0.857
0.794
0.735
0.681
0.630
0.583
0.540
0.500
0.463
Present Value
$55.9M
$103.5M
$191.7M
$354.9M
$657.3M
$1.2B
$2.3B
$4.2B
$7.7B
$14.3B
Terminal Value represents 88.7% of Enterprise Value

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