Hanover Bancorp, Inc.

Hanover Bancorp, Inc.

HNVRยทNASDAQ

$22.91

+0.087%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

Hanover Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Hanover Community Bank that provides banking products and services for small and medium-sized businesses, municipalities, and individuals in the New York metro area. The company offers checking, savings, money market, NOW, and individual retirement accounts, as well as certificates of deposits and time deposits; cards; and residential and commercial real estate mortgages, commercial and industrial loans, lines of credit, and small business administration loans, as well as home equity, multi-family, business, bridge, and other personal purpose loans. It operates branch offices located in Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, and Nassau County, New York; and administrative office in Suffolk County, New York. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Mineola, New York.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$163.96M
EPS1.0000
P/E Ratio22.91
Earnings Date07/22/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 22.9).

Valuation inputs: P/E 22.9, earnings yield +4.4%, momentum +0.1%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +3.7%, ROIC +0.8%).

Profitability stack: net margin +5.2%, ROE +3.7%, ROIC +0.8%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +91.6%, momentum +0.1%, net margin +5.2%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

hnvr

Hanover Bancorp, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

HNVR ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Hanover Bancorp, Inc.

Hanover Bancorp, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

HNVR ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that HNVR has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $22.91, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Hanover Bancorp, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $22.91
3Y-73.0%
5Y-16.0%
10Y+33.0%
3Y+85.0%
5Y+245.0%
10Y+1408.0%
3Y-68.0%
5Y+51.0%
10Y+281.0%
3Y-48.0%
5Y+2206.0%
10Y-
3Y-45.0%
5Y-2576.0%
10Y-
3Y+30.0%
5Y+180.0%
10Y+558.0%
Hanover Bancorp, Inc.

Hanover Bancorp, Inc. Profit Bridge

HNVR ยท NASDAQ
Revenue143.32M
Cost of Goods Sold (80.38M)
Gross Profit62.94M
Operating Expenses (52.98M)
Operating Income9.95M
Interest Expense (70.00M)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income9.95M
Income Tax (2.47M)
Net Income7.49M
Net Income
7.49M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

43.9%

Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.

Operating Margin

6.9%

Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.

Net Profit Margin

5.2%

Moderate profitability with room for improvement. Monitor interest expenses and tax efficiency.

Effective Tax Rate

24.8%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

43.91%
Gross Profit Margin
3%
3Y-48.0%
5Y-33.0%
10Y-56.0%
6.95%
Operating Profit Margin
-37%
3Y-82.0%
5Y-54.0%
10Y-78.0%
5.22%
Net Profit Margin
-37%
3Y-83.0%
5Y-56.0%
10Y-75.0%
3.74%
Return on Equity
-40%
3Y-73.0%
5Y-41.0%
10Y-39.0%
0.31%
Return on Assets
-41%
3Y-75.0%
5Y-46.0%
10Y-42.0%
0.81%
Return on Invested Capital
-77%
3Y-93.0%
5Y-80.0%
10Y+50.0%
HNVR

Hanover Bancorp, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

HNVR ยท NASDAQ
Net Income7.49M
Depreciation & Amortization0.00
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-2.86M
Others8.42M
Capital Expenditures-869.00K
Free Cash Flow13.05M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

174.3%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

6.7%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+183.3%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$2.86M

Moderate working capital outflow. Typical for growing businesses, but ensure it's supporting revenue growth, not inefficiency.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

hnvr

Hanover Bancorp, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

HNVR ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents194.45M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets300 M
Property, Plant & Equipment30.92M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets19.17M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets31 M
Total Assets
350.33M

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.00x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

300 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

86% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

hnvr

Hanover Bancorp, Inc. Street Expectations Map

HNVR ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that HNVR stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 26.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 26.50 to a high of 26.50.

Lowest Target
26.50
15.67%
Consensus Target
26.50
15.67%
Highest Target
26.50
15.67%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 26.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 26.50 to a high of 26.50.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+15.7%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

hnvr

Hanover Bancorp, Inc. Insider Positioning

HNVR ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $287K worth of HNVR shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

6.1K

141.13K

Net Activity

-141K

-$141K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

1.2K

28.27K

Net Activity

-28K

-$28K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

5.0K

106.25K

Net Activity

-106K

-$106K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

540

11.24K

Net Activity

-11K

-$11K

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
GR

Golden Robert

Director

12.3K sharesโ€ข7 transactions

$276K

2
BLP

Burke Lance P

Officer: Evp & Chief Financial Officer

540 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$11K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $287K net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$141K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

2 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Persistent selling pressure: Consistent insider selling with weak buy/sell ratio suggests insiders may be capitalizing on current valuation. Exercise caution and review recent earnings quality and management commentary.

0.46%
Dividend Yield
5%
3Y-20.0%
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

hnvr Dividend History

HNVR
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0.1
Annual $0.4
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%