Hillman Solutions Corp.

Hillman Solutions Corp.

HLMNยทNASDAQ

$7.20

-1.4%
IndustrialsManufacturing - Tools & Accessories

Hillman Solutions Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provides hardware-related products and related merchandising services in North America. It offers hardware products, including anchor shackles and eye bolts, door hinges and chains, garage doors, safety hasps, gate hooks and latches, magnets, hooks and storage, corner braces and mending plates, and springs; and fasteners, such as anchors, ball bearings, bolts, kits, nails, nuts, pins, rivets, screws, spacers, threaded inserts, tools/brushes, washers, wire hardware, and other accessories. The company also offers driveway markers/reflectors, numbers, letters, plaques, signs, stencils, survey and flagging tapes, and safety and caution products; threaded rods, aluminum tubes, and slotted and aluminum angles; wall hangings, including frame hardware, hooks, picture hanging, adhesives, mirrors, wires, and accessories, as well as picture hanging and tool-free mounting products; face masks, gloves, and glasses; keys and engravings; and electrical, plumbing, and automotive products and accessories. It offers its products under the DECK PLUS, GORILLA GRIP, HILLMAN, HARDWARE Essentials, minute key, POWERPRO, OOK, Fas.n.Tite, Distinctions, AWP, OZCO, The Steel Works, and Digz brand names. The company sells its products to hardware stores, home centers, mass merchants, pet supply stores, and other retail outlets, as well as industrial original equipment manufacturers. Hillman Solutions Corp. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$1.41B
EPS0.2000
P/E Ratio36.00
Earnings Date08/04/2026
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Hillman Solutions Corp. Street Expectations Map

HLMN ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that HLMN stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 14.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 14.00 to a high of 14.00.

Lowest Target
14.00
94.44%
Consensus Target
14.00
94.44%
Highest Target
14.00
94.44%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 14.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 14.00 to a high of 14.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+94.4%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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Hillman Solutions Corp. Forward Estimates of Revenue

HLMN ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
1.55B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
1.66B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
1.64B - 1.67B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+6.8%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Hillman Solutions Corp. Forward Estimates of Net Income

HLMN ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
40.30M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
115.82M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
113.95M - 117.70M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+187.4%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread3%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Hillman Solutions Corp. Forward Estimates of EPS

HLMN ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
0.20
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$0.58
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$0.57 - $0.59
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+191.4%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread3%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Hillman Solutions Corp. Forward Estimates of EBIT

HLMN ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
117.54M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
245.94M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
242.97M - 247.42M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+109.2%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Hillman Solutions Corp. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

HLMN ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
258.64M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
409.71M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
404.77M - 412.18M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+58.4%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Hillman Solutions Corp. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

HLMN ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
502.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
527.98M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
521.62M - 531.16M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+5.2%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Hillman Solutions Corp. Insider Positioning

HLMN ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $180K and sold $207K worth of HLMN shares, resulting in $26K of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

13.3K

109.88K

Net Activity

-110K

-$110K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

29.7K

180.08K

Sold

11.2K

96.64K

Net Activity

+83K

+$83K

Top Buyers

1
WP

Woodlief Philip

Director

29.7K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$180K

Top Sellers

1
KA

Kitzberger Amanda

Officer: Chief Leg. Offic. & Secretary

11.8K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$98K

2
MSK

Moore Scott Kelley

Officer: Div. Pres. - Robo. And Digital

8.2K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$64K

3
PAJ

Parker Aaron Jerrod

Officer: Chief People Offic.

4.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$45K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Slightly bearish with $26K net selling. Selling modestly exceeds buying, which could be routine diversification rather than concern.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.87:1

Moderately negative ratio. Selling is roughly double the buying, which may be routine or signal caution.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$110K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

3 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Balanced insider activity: Roughly equal buying and selling suggests normal portfolio management rather than strong directional signals. Look to other metrics for clearer investment insights.