Home Bancorp, Inc.

Home Bancorp, Inc.

HBCPยทNASDAQ

$63.39

-2.2%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

Home Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Home Bank, National Association that provides various banking products and services in Louisiana and Mississippi. It offers deposit products, including interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing checking, money market, savings, NOW, and certificates of deposit accounts. The company also provides various loan products, such as one-to four-family first mortgage loans, home equity loans and lines, commercial real estate loans, construction and land loans, multi-family residential loans, commercial and industrial loans, and consumer loans. In addition, it invests in securities; and offers credit cards and online banking services. The company operates through a network of 19 banking offices in the Acadiana, four banking offices in Baton Rouge, six banking offices in the Greater New Orleans area, six banking offices in the Northshore region, and three banking offices in Natchez. Home Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in Lafayette, Louisiana.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$497.14M
EPS5.9300
P/E Ratio10.69
Earnings Date07/20/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 10.7).

Valuation inputs: P/E 10.7, earnings yield +9.4%, momentum -2.2%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +10.6%, ROIC -3.6%).

Profitability stack: net margin +22.0%, ROE +10.6%, ROIC -3.6%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +87.5%, momentum -2.2%, net margin +22.0%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

hbcp

Home Bancorp, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

HBCP ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Home Bancorp, Inc.

Home Bancorp, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

HBCP ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that HBCP has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $63.39, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Home Bancorp, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $63.39
3Y+42.0%
5Y+107.0%
10Y+153.0%
3Y+50.0%
5Y+77.0%
10Y+165.0%
3Y+35.0%
5Y+86.0%
10Y+188.0%
3Y+6.0%
5Y+11.0%
10Y+166.0%
3Y-9.0%
5Y-5.0%
10Y+171.0%
3Y+8.0%
5Y+35.0%
10Y+124.0%
Home Bancorp, Inc.

Home Bancorp, Inc. Profit Bridge

HBCP ยท NASDAQ
Revenue209.23M
Cost of Goods Sold (61.65M)
Gross Profit147.58M
Operating Expenses (89.56M)
Operating Income58.02M
Interest Expense (60.52M)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income58.02M
Income Tax (11.96M)
Net Income46.06M
Net Income
46.06M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

70.5%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

27.7%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

22.0%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

20.6%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

70.53%
Gross Profit Margin
6%
3Y-21.0%
5Y-11.0%
10Y-21.0%
27.73%
Operating Profit Margin
22%
3Y-9.0%
5Y+7.0%
10Y-7.0%
22.01%
Net Profit Margin
21%
3Y-10.0%
5Y+5.0%
10Y+8.0%
10.59%
Return on Equity
15%
3Y+3.0%
5Y+38.0%
10Y+19.0%
1.32%
Return on Assets
25%
3Y+25.0%
5Y+38.0%
10Y+28.0%
-3.56%
Return on Invested Capital
-165%
3Y-159.0%
5Y-151.0%
10Y-166.0%
HBCP

Home Bancorp, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

HBCP ยท NASDAQ
Net Income46.06M
Depreciation & Amortization5.71M
Stock-Based Compensation3.38M
Change in Working Capital1.39M
Others-1.90M
Capital Expenditures-10.17M
Free Cash Flow44.34M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

96.3%

Strong cash conversion. Most reported earnings translate into actual cash flow, suggesting solid fundamentals.

CapEx Intensity

18.7%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-0.7%

Flat FCF growth. Stable but not expandingโ€”monitor for signs of business maturity or temporary headwinds.

Working Capital Impact

+$1.39M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

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Home Bancorp, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

HBCP ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents223.48M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets609 M
Property, Plant & Equipment50.50M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets83.72M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets51 M
Total Assets
3.55B

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

7.00x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

609 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

17% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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Home Bancorp, Inc. Street Expectations Map

HBCP ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that HBCP stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 50.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 50.00 to a high of 50.00.

Lowest Target
50.00
-21.12%
Consensus Target
50.00
-21.12%
Highest Target
50.00
-21.12%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 50.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 50.00 to a high of 50.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-21.1%

Significant downside risk. Stock trading well above analyst consensus suggests elevated valuation concerns and potential correction.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Risk-Reward Profile

1.00x

Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.

Analyst Conviction

Low

Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.

Market Sentiment Insight

Consensus overvaluation: Analysts agree the stock is richly valued with limited upside. Consider booking profits or defensive positioning unless you have contrarian conviction in unrecognized catalysts.

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Home Bancorp, Inc. Insider Positioning

HBCP ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $57K and sold $359K worth of HBCP shares, resulting in $303K of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

5.7K

359.06K

Net Activity

-359K

-$359K

3-6 Months

Bought

500

29.75K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+30K

+$30K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

1.0K

26.81K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+27K

+$27K

Top Buyers

1
RCP

Rader Chris P

Director

500 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$30K

2
LNB

Lemoine Natalie B.

Officer: Sevp, Chief Admin. Officer

1.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$27K

Top Sellers

1
GDG

Guidry Daniel G

Director

2.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$130K

2
GDE

Guidry Darren E.

Officer: Sevp & Chief Risk Officer

1.6K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$100K

3
ZJJI

Zollinger John J. Iv

Officer: Sevp, Chief Banking Officer

1.2K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$74K

4
KDT

Kirkley David T.

Officer: Sevp & Chief Financial Officer

875 sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$55K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $303K net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.16:1

Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buyingโ€”monitor for potential fundamental concerns.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$359K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

Moderate Selling

4 insider sellers vs. 2 buyers. More insiders selling than buying suggests cautious or negative sentiment.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.51%
Dividend Yield
-6%
3Y-34.0%
5Y-19.0%
10Y+32.0%
ย 

hbcp Dividend History

HBCP
10Y CAGR +12%
Latest $0.31
Annual $1.49
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%