Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

GOยทNASDAQ

$8.47

+0.98%
Consumer DefensiveGrocery Stores

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. owns and operates a network of independently operated stores in the United States. The company's stores offer products in various categories, such as dairy and deli, produce, floral, and fresh meat and seafood products, as well as grocery, general merchandise, health and beauty care, frozen foods, and beer and wine. As of August 09, 2022, it had 425 stores in eight states. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$837.88M
EPS-2.3000
P/E Ratio-4.43
Earnings Date08/04/2026
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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Street Expectations Map

GO ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that GO stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 11.08, with estimates ranging from a low of 9.00 to a high of 15.00.

Lowest Target
9.00
6.26%
Consensus Target
11.08
30.81%
Highest Target
15.00
77.10%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 11.08, with estimates ranging from a low of 9.00 to a high of 15.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+30.8%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

54.2% spread

Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.

Analyst Conviction

Low

Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.

Market Sentiment Insight

High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.

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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Forward Estimates of Revenue

GO ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
4.69B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
4.70B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
4.69B - 4.72B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+0.2%

Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Forward Estimates of Net Income

GO ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
-224.91M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
77.61M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
75.85M - 79.37M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+134.5%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread5%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Forward Estimates of EPS

GO ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
-2.30
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$0.78
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$0.77 - $0.81
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+134.1%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage10 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread5%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Forward Estimates of EBIT

GO ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
-215.73M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
58.57M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
58.45M - 58.82M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+127.2%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

GO ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
-85.34M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
171.00M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
170.63M - 171.72M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+300.4%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

GO ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
1.33B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
1.32B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
1.32B - 1.33B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-0.8%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Insider Positioning

GO ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $6.55M and sold $907K worth of GO shares, resulting in $5.64M of net buying activity.

3 Months

Bought

1.0M

6.24M

Sold

100.7K

593.78K

Net Activity

+5.6M

+$5.64M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

18.5K

309.72K

Sold

25.0K

313.25K

Net Activity

-4K

-$4K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
RED

Ragatz Erik D.

Director

450.0K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$2.82M

2
PJJN

Potter Jason J. N.

Director, Officer: President And Ceo

398.9K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$2.41M

3
YJ

York Jeffrey

Director

118.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$687K

4
KFM

Kerr Frank Michael

Officer: See Remarks

18.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$310K

5
JCF

Jaros Carey F.

Director

40.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$250K

Top Sellers

1
PJJN

Potter Jason J. N.

Director, Officer: President And Ceo

67.4K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$394K

2
WSK

Wilson Steven K.

Officer: Evp, Chief Purchasing Officer

34.9K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$372K

3
BAR

Bortner Andrea Renee

Officer: See Remarks

11.2K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$69K

4
TLD

Thompson Luke D

Officer: Evp, Gc And Secretary

7.2K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$43K

5
MCM

Miller Christopher M

Officer: Evp, Chief Financial Officer

5.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$29K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $5.64M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

7.22:1

Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs sellingโ€”one of the strongest possible insider signals.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$5.64M

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

Balanced

5 insider buyers and 5 sellers. Equal participation suggests mixed or neutral insider views.

Insider Activity Insight

Strong confluence of bullish signals: High buy/sell ratio, multiple insiders participating, and recent buying momentum all point to significant insider confidence. This level of coordinated buying often precedes positive developments.