First National Corporation

First National Corporation

FXNCยทNASDAQ

$27.52

-2.4%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

First National Corporation operates as the bank holding company for First Bank that provides various commercial banking services to small and medium-sized businesses, individuals, estates, local governmental entities, and non-profit organizations in Virginia. The company's deposit products include checking, savings, money market, and individual retirement accounts, as well as certificates of deposit and treasury management solutions. Its loan products comprise construction loans, including residential, land acquisition, and development loans; 1-4 family residential real estate loans; and commercial real estate loans that are secured by commercial real estate, including multi-family residential buildings, office and retail buildings, hotels, industrial buildings, and religious facilities. The company's loan products also include commercial and industrial loans that are secured by business assets, such as accounts receivable, equipment, and inventory; home equity loans; and secured and unsecured consumer loans, such as lines of credit, automobile loans, deposit account loans, and installment and demand loans. In addition, it provides wealth management services, including estate planning, investment management of assets, trustee under an agreement, trustee under a will, and estate settlement. Further, the company offers title insurance and investment services; and holds other real estate owned and office sites, as well as provides internet and mobile banking, remote deposit capture, and other traditional banking services. It serves customers through 20 bank branch offices, a loan production office, and a customer service center, as well as through a network of ATMs. The company was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Strasburg, Virginia.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$248.81M
EPS1.9700
P/E Ratio13.97
Earnings Date07/29/2026
fxnc

First National Corporation Street Expectations Map

FXNC ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that FXNC stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 21.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 21.00 to a high of 21.00.

Lowest Target
21.00
-23.69%
Consensus Target
21.00
-23.69%
Highest Target
21.00
-23.69%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 21.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 21.00 to a high of 21.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-23.7%

Significant downside risk. Stock trading well above analyst consensus suggests elevated valuation concerns and potential correction.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Risk-Reward Profile

1.00x

Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.

Analyst Conviction

Low

Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.

Market Sentiment Insight

Consensus overvaluation: Analysts agree the stock is richly valued with limited upside. Consider booking profits or defensive positioning unless you have contrarian conviction in unrecognized catalysts.

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First National Corporation Forward Estimates of Revenue

FXNC ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
112.20M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
91.70M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
91.70M - 91.70M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-18.3%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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First National Corporation Forward Estimates of Net Income

FXNC ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
17.70M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
16.38M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
16.38M - 16.38M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-7.5%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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First National Corporation Forward Estimates of EPS

FXNC ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
1.97
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$2.35
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$2.35 - $2.35
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+19.3%

Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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First National Corporation Forward Estimates of EBIT

FXNC ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
21.94M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
21.26M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
21.26M - 21.26M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-3.1%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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First National Corporation Forward Estimates of EBITDA

FXNC ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
21.94M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
23.89M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
23.89M - 23.89M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+8.8%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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First National Corporation Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

FXNC ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
42.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
32.20M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
32.20M - 32.20M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-23.3%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

fxnc

First National Corporation Insider Positioning

FXNC ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $68K worth of FXNC shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

1.0K

26.91K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+27K

+$27K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

2.0K

40.67K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+41K

+$41K

Top Buyers

1
SBE

Schwartz Brad E

Officer: Evp - Cfo

3.0K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$68K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $68K net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Insider Participation

High Buying

1 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Unanimous insider buying: Zero selling combined with active buying is rare and typically very bullish. Insiders appear to see significant upside with limited downside risk.