FLY - NASDAQ
Firefly Aerospace Inc.
$39.78
-2.0%Firefly Aerospace Inc. operates as a space and defense technology company and provides mission solutions for national security, government, and commercial customers. It offers integrated launch and space services technology that is committed to enabling launch, transit, and operations in space. The company also provides Alpha, a responsive small launch service; Eclipse, a medium-lift launch vehicle; Blue Ghost, a lunar delivery and operation service; Elytra, which offers space maneuverability and servicing; and Ocula, a lunar imaging service. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Cedar Park, Texas.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotFirefly Aerospace Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that FLY stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 41.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 32.00 to a high of 60.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 41.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 32.00 to a high of 60.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.
Analyst Agreement
High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analysts—major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.
Risk-Reward Profile
Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.
Analyst Conviction
High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuation—proceed with caution and independent analysis.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
Firefly Aerospace Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
Key Insight
Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.
Firefly Aerospace Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.
Mixed signals—some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.
Key Insight
High forecast uncertainty: Wide estimate range indicates analysts struggling to predict outcomes—suggests elevated risk and potential volatility.
Firefly Aerospace Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.
Mixed signals—some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.
Key Insight
Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.
Firefly Aerospace Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT
Forward Growth Analysis
Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Mixed signals—some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.
Firefly Aerospace Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA
Forward Growth Analysis
Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Mixed signals—some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.
Firefly Aerospace Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
Key Insight
Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.
Firefly Aerospace Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $339K worth of FLY shares, with no buying activity reported.
3 Months
0
0.00
7.5K
339.49K
-339K
-$339K
3-6 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
6-9 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
9-12 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
Top Buyers
No buying activity
Top Sellers
Wheeler David Leigh
Officer: General Counsel
$339K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $339K net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
1 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Persistent selling pressure: Consistent insider selling with weak buy/sell ratio suggests insiders may be capitalizing on current valuation. Exercise caution and review recent earnings quality and management commentary.
Related Guides
Continue your FLY research with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.