First Financial Bankshares, Inc.

First Financial Bankshares, Inc.

FFINยทNASDAQ

$31.71

-1.4%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

First Financial Bankshares, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides commercial banking products and services in Texas. The company accepts checking, savings and money market accounts, and time deposits; commercial and industrial, municipal, agricultural, construction and development, farm, non-owner occupied and owner-occupied commercial real estate, residential, and consumer auto and non-auto loans to businesses, professional individuals, and farm and ranch operations. It also provides drive-in and night deposit, remote deposit capture, internet and mobile banking, payroll cards, transmitting funds, and other customary commercial banking services, as well as automated teller machines and safe deposit facilities. In addition, the company offers personal trust services, including wealth management, administration of estates, testamentary trusts, revocable and irrevocable trusts, and agency accounts; and securities brokerage services, as well as administer retirements and employee benefits accounts, such as 401(k) profit-sharing plans and IRAs. Further, the company provides asset management and technology services. As of December 31, 2021, it had 78 financial centers across Texas. First Financial Bankshares, Inc. was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Abilene, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$4.54B
EPS1.7800
P/E Ratio17.81
Earnings Date07/16/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 17.8).

Valuation inputs: P/E 17.8, earnings yield +5.6%, momentum -1.4%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is acceptable (ROE +13.2%, ROIC +13.1%).

Profitability stack: net margin +30.7%, ROE +13.2%, ROIC +13.1%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +87.6%, momentum -1.4%, net margin +30.7%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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First Financial Bankshares, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

FFIN ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

First Financial Bankshares, Inc.

First Financial Bankshares, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

FFIN ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that FFIN has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $31.71, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for First Financial Bankshares, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $31.71
3Y+9.0%
5Y+25.0%
10Y+122.0%
3Y+50.0%
5Y+68.0%
10Y+167.0%
3Y+8.0%
5Y+26.0%
10Y+142.0%
3Y-1.0%
5Y+52.0%
10Y+99.0%
3Y-
5Y+58.0%
10Y+119.0%
3Y+19.0%
5Y+42.0%
10Y+127.0%
First Financial Bankshares, Inc.

First Financial Bankshares, Inc. Profit Bridge

FFIN ยท NASDAQ
Revenue825.80M
Cost of Goods Sold (232.69M)
Gross Profit593.11M
Operating Expenses (283.50M)
Operating Income309.61M
Interest Expense (201.59M)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income309.61M
Income Tax (56.02M)
Net Income253.59M
Net Income
253.59M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

71.8%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

37.5%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

30.7%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

18.1%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

71.82%
Gross Profit Margin
1%
3Y-21.0%
5Y-23.0%
10Y-24.0%
37.49%
Operating Profit Margin
2%
3Y-26.0%
5Y-24.0%
10Y-15.0%
30.71%
Net Profit Margin
2%
3Y-28.0%
5Y-25.0%
10Y-9.0%
13.23%
Return on Equity
-5%
3Y-29.0%
5Y+10.0%
10Y+6.0%
1.64%
Return on Assets
3%
3Y-9.0%
5Y-11.0%
10Y+7.0%
13.08%
Return on Invested Capital
10%
3Y+10.0%
5Y+43.0%
10Y+66.0%
FFIN

First Financial Bankshares, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

FFIN ยท NASDAQ
Net Income253.58M
Depreciation & Amortization0.00
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-20.13M
Others87.13M
Capital Expenditures-13.44M
Free Cash Flow307.14M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

121.1%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

4.2%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+4.9%

Flat FCF growth. Stable but not expandingโ€”monitor for signs of business maturity or temporary headwinds.

Working Capital Impact

-$20.13M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

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First Financial Bankshares, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

FFIN ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents264.85M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets265 M
Property, Plant & Equipment150.99M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets313.61M
Long-Term Investments14.34B
Other Non-Current Assets314.98M
Total Non-Current Assets15 B
Total Assets
15.39B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

3.90x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.00x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

197 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

2% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

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First Financial Bankshares, Inc. Street Expectations Map

FFIN ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that FFIN stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 39.25, with estimates ranging from a low of 39.00 to a high of 40.00.

Lowest Target
39.00
22.99%
Consensus Target
39.25
23.78%
Highest Target
40.00
26.14%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 39.25, with estimates ranging from a low of 39.00 to a high of 40.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+23.8%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

2.5% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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First Financial Bankshares, Inc. Insider Positioning

FFIN ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $1.22M worth of FFIN shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

14.2K

423.21K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+423K

+$423K

3-6 Months

Bought

12.9K

425.93K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+426K

+$426K

6-9 Months

Bought

5.4K

166.43K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+166K

+$166K

9-12 Months

Bought

5.5K

200.32K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+200K

+$200K

Top Buyers

1
HG

Haney Geoff

Director

11.7K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$382K

2
DMB

Denny Michael B.

Director

5.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$180K

3
DSP

Davis Sally Pope

Director

5.1K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$155K

4
TJ

Trotter Johnny

Director

5.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$149K

5
GBD

Goodrich Brian D.

Officer: Evp - General Counsel

3.2K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$97K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $1.22M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$423K

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

High Buying

5 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Strong confluence of bullish signals: High buy/sell ratio, multiple insiders participating, and recent buying momentum all point to significant insider confidence. This level of coordinated buying often precedes positive developments.

0.65%
Dividend Yield
1%
3Y+21.0%
5Y+132.0%
10Y+32.0%
ย 

ffin Dividend History

FFIN
10Y CAGR +9%
Latest $0.22
Annual $0.98
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +16%