C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
$180.74
+1.2%C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation services and logistics solutions to companies in various industries worldwide. The company operates in two segments, North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding. It offers transportation and logistics services, such as truckload; less than truckload transportation brokerage services, which include the shipment of single or multiple pallets of freight; intermodal transportation that comprise the shipment service of freight in containers or trailers by a combination of truck and rail; and non-vessel ocean common carrier and freight forwarding services, as well as organizes air shipments and provides door-to-door services. The company also offers customs broker services; and other logistics services, such as fee-based managed, warehousing, small parcel, and other services. It has contractual relationships with approximately 85,000 transportation companies, including motor carriers, railroads, and air and ocean carriers. In addition, the company is involved in buying, selling, and/or marketing of fresh produce, including fresh fruits, vegetables, and other value-added perishable items under the Robinson Fresh name. Further, it provides transportation management services or managed TMS; and other surface transportation services. The company offers its fresh produce to grocery retailers, restaurants, produce wholesalers, and foodservice distributors through a network of independent produce growers and suppliers. C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is elevated (P/E 37.0).
Valuation inputs: P/E 37.0, earnings yield +2.7%, momentum +1.2%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is strong (ROE +31.8%, ROIC +19.6%).
Profitability stack: net margin +3.6%, ROE +31.8%, ROIC +19.6%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +63.5%, momentum +1.2%, net margin +3.6%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.
Operating Margin
Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.
Net Profit Margin
Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.
Effective Tax Rate
Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.
Profitability Insight
Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Strong liquidity. The company has adequate resources to meet short-term liabilities.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that CHRW stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 192.24, with estimates ranging from a low of 90.00 to a high of 230.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 192.24, with estimates ranging from a low of 90.00 to a high of 230.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.
Analyst Agreement
High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analystsโmajor valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.
Risk-Reward Profile
Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.
Analyst Conviction
High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuationโproceed with caution and independent analysis.
Market Sentiment Insight
Extreme uncertainty: Massive dispersion in price targets reflects fundamental disagreement on business trajectory. This could signal transformation, disruption, or complex valuationโrequires deep sector expertise and contrarian mindset.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $502K and sold $10.85M worth of CHRW shares, resulting in $10.35M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
3-6 Months
3.0K
501.57K
21.4K
4.16M
-3.7M
-$3.66M
6-9 Months
0
0.00
32.9K
4.98M
-5.0M
-$4.98M
9-12 Months
0
0.00
14.6K
1.71M
-1.7M
-$1.71M
Top Buyers
Bozeman David P
Director, Officer: President & Ceo
$200K
Rajan Arun
Officer: Chief Strat & Innov Officer
$101K
Lee Damon J.
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$101K
Castagnetto Michael D.
Officer: Pres, Nast
$100K
Top Sellers
Freeman Angela K.
Officer: Chro And Esg Officer
$4.06M
Castagnetto Michael D.
Officer: Pres, Nast
$3.47M
Short Michael John
Officer: President, Global Forwarding
$2.63M
Rajan Arun
Officer: Chief Strat & Innov Officer
$686K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $10.35M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Insider Participation
4 insider buyers and 4 sellers. Equal participation suggests mixed or neutral insider views.
chrw Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on CHRW by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.