CareDx, Inc

CareDx, Inc

CDNAยทNASDAQ

$22.31

+1.1%
HealthcareMedical - Diagnostics & Research

CareDx, Inc. discovers, develops, and commercializes diagnostic solutions for transplant patients and caregivers worldwide. It provides AlloSure Kidney, a donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) solution for kidney transplant patients; AlloMap Heart, a gene expression solution for heart transplant patients; AlloSure Heart, a dd-cfDNA solution for heart transplant patients; and AlloSure Lung, a dd-cfDNA solution for lung transplant patients. The company also offers TruSight HLA, a next generation sequencing (NGS) based high resolution typing solution; Olerup SSP, which is used to type human leukocyte antigen (HLA) alleles based on sequence specific primer technology; QTYPE that enables precision in HLA typing; and Ottr, a transplant patient management software. In addition, it provides AlloSeq Tx, a high-resolution HLA typing solution; AlloSeq cfDNA, a surveillance solution to measure dd-cfDNA in blood; AlloSeq HCT, a solution for chimerism testing for stem cell transplant recipients; and XynQAPI transplant quality tracking and waitlist management solutions, as well as AlloCare, a mobile app that offers a patient-centric resource for transplant recipients. The company offers its products directly to customers, as well as through third-party distributors and sub-distributors. It has a license agreement with Illumina, Inc. for the distribution, development, and commercialization of NGS products and technologies; and Cibiltech SAS to commercialize iBox, a software for the predictive analysis of post-transplantation kidney allograft loss. The company was formerly known as XDx, Inc. and changed its name to CareDx, Inc. in March 2014. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$1.15B
EPS-0.4000
P/E Ratio-55.77
Earnings Date08/05/2026
cdna

CareDx, Inc Street Expectations Map

CDNA ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that CDNA stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 24.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 18.00 to a high of 28.00.

Lowest Target
18.00
-19.32%
Consensus Target
24.00
7.58%
Highest Target
28.00
25.50%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 24.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 18.00 to a high of 28.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+7.6%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

41.7% spread

Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.

Risk-Reward Profile

1.32x

Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

cdna

CareDx, Inc Forward Estimates of Revenue

CDNA ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
379.81M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
417.10M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
407.95M - 428.97M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+9.8%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread5%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

cdna

CareDx, Inc Forward Estimates of Net Income

CDNA ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
-21.35M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-1.60M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-1.63M - -1.58M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+92.5%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread3%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

cdna

CareDx, Inc Forward Estimates of EPS

CDNA ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
-0.40
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$-0.03
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$-0.03 - $-0.03
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+92.9%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread3%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

cdna

CareDx, Inc Forward Estimates of EBIT

CDNA ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
-21.08M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-80.68M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-82.98M - -78.91M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-282.7%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread5%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

cdna

CareDx, Inc Forward Estimates of EBITDA

CDNA ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
-667.00K
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-58.21M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-59.86M - -56.93M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-8626.5%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread5%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

cdna

CareDx, Inc Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

CDNA ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
210.21M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
249.55M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
244.08M - 256.65M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+18.7%

Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread5%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

cdna

CareDx, Inc Insider Positioning

CDNA ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $1.46M worth of CDNA shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

23.5K

487.41K

Net Activity

-487K

-$487K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

34.1K

717.31K

Net Activity

-717K

-$717K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

14.7K

250.60K

Net Activity

-251K

-$251K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
HJWJ

Hanna John Walter Jr

Director, Officer: President And Ceo

39.9K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$843K

2
NJA

Novack Jeffrey Adam

Officer: Secretary And General Counsel

21.8K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$397K

3
TAA

Torres Arthur A

Director

10.6K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$215K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $1.46M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$487K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

3 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.