$28.70
-3.3%Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Commercial Bank that provides a range of banking and financial services to individual and corporate customers in Kentucky, North Carolina, and Tennessee. It accepts various deposit products, including demand deposits accounts, interest-bearing products, savings accounts, and certificates of deposit products. The company also offers real estate, commercial, and consumer loans. The company was formerly known as Harrogate Corporation and changed its name to Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. in April 1989. The company was incorporated in 1975 and is based in Harrogate, Tennessee.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $36.7M | $36.3M | $35.8M | $35.4M | $35.0M | $34.6M | $34.2M | $33.8M | $33.5M | $33.1M |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$368.8K | -$364.6K | -$360.4K | -$356.3K | -$352.3K | -$348.3K | -$344.3K | -$340.4K | -$336.5K | -$332.7K |
| Owner Earnings | $36.3M | $35.9M | $35.5M | $35.1M | $34.7M | $34.3M | $33.9M | $33.5M | $33.1M | $32.8M |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | $33.6M | $30.8M | $28.2M | $25.8M | $23.6M | $21.6M | $19.8M | $18.1M | $16.6M | $15.2M |
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.