CAKE - NASDAQ
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
$64.88
-0.062%The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates restaurants. It operates two bakeries that produces cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. The company owns and operates 306 restaurants throughout the United States and Canada under brands, including 208 The Cheesecake Factory and 29 North Italia; and a collection of Fox Restaurant Concepts, as well as 29 The Cheesecake Factory restaurants under licensing agreements internationally. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotThe Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that CAKE stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 65.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 53.00 to a high of 75.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 65.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 53.00 to a high of 75.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.
Analyst Agreement
Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.
Risk-Reward Profile
Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.
Analyst Conviction
Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Forward Estimates of Revenue
Forward Growth Analysis
Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.
Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Forward Estimates of Net Income
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.
Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
Key Insight
Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Forward Estimates of EPS
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.
Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
Key Insight
Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Forward Estimates of EBIT
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
Key Insight
Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Forward Estimates of EBITDA
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
Key Insight
Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense
Forward Growth Analysis
Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.
Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $617K and sold $7.68M worth of CAKE shares, resulting in $7.07M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
109.2K
6.67M
-6.7M
-$6.67M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
15.4K
1.01M
-1.0M
-$1.01M
6-9 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
9-12 Months
13.4K
616.80K
0
0.00
+617K
+$617K
Top Buyers
Gordon David M
Officer: President
$617K
Top Sellers
Overton David
Director, Officer: Chairman And C.E.O.
$6.35M
Clark Matthew Eliot
Officer: Exec Vp, Cfo
$460K
May Scarlett
Officer: Evp, General Counsel
$328K
Alex Spero G
Officer: Evp Operations - Cfri
$316K
Hanscom Ashley W
Officer: Principal Accounting Officer
$194K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $7.07M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
Related Guides
Continue your CAKE research with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.