$72.43
+4.5%Blue Bird Corporation designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses and related parts in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Bus and Parts. The company offers Type C, Type D, and specialty buses; and alternative fuel applications through its propane powered, gasoline powered, compressed natural gas powered, and electric powered school buses. Blue Bird Corporation sells its products through a network of dealers, as well as directly to fleet operators, the United States government, and state governments; and maintains a parts distribution center. Blue Bird Corporation was formerly known as Hennessy Capital Acquisition Corp. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $281.9M | $451.0M | $721.5M | $1.2B | $1.8B | $3.0B | $4.7B | $7.6B | $12.1B | $19.4B |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$7.3M | -$11.7M | -$18.7M | -$30.0M | -$47.9M | -$76.7M | -$122.7M | -$196.3M | -$314.0M | -$502.4M |
| Owner Earnings | $274.6M | $439.3M | $702.8M | $1.1B | $1.8B | $2.9B | $4.6B | $7.4B | $11.8B | $18.9B |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | $254.3M | $376.6M | $557.9M | $826.5M | $1.2B | $1.8B | $2.7B | $4.0B | $5.9B | $8.7B |
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