Business First Bancshares, Inc.

Business First Bancshares, Inc.

BFSTยทNASDAQ

$27.73

-1.5%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

Business First Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for b1BANK that provides various banking products and services. It offers various deposit products and services, including checking, demand, money market, time, and savings accounts; and certificates of deposits, remote deposit capture, and direct deposit services. The company also provides commercial and industrial loans, such as commercial lines of credit, letters of credit, working capital, term, equipment financing, asset acquisition, expansion and development, borrowing base, and other loan products; construction and development loans; commercial real estate loans; residential real estate loans comprising first and second lien 1-4 family mortgage loans, and home equity lines of credit; and consumer loans, including secured and unsecured installment and term loans. In addition, it offers wealth management products, including mutual funds, annuities, individual retirement accounts, and other financial products, as well as other fiduciary services and private banking products and services. Further, the company provides a range of other financial services comprising debit and credit cards, treasury and cash management, merchant, automated clearing house, lock-box, receivables factoring, correspondent banking, and other treasury services, as well as employee and payroll benefits solutions; and drive-through banking facilities, automated teller machines, night depository, personalized checks, electronic funds transfer, domestic and foreign wire transfer, traveler's checks, vault, loan and deposit sweep accounts, online and mobile banking, e-statements, and bank-by-mail services. As of March 01, 2022, it operates approximately 48 full-service banking centers and three loan production offices across Louisiana, and in the Dallas and Houston markets. Business First Bancshares, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Baton Rouge, Louisiana.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$906.16M
EPS2.7900
P/E Ratio9.94
Earnings Date07/27/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 9.9).

Valuation inputs: P/E 9.9, earnings yield +10.1%, momentum -1.5%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +9.8%, ROIC +6.0%).

Profitability stack: net margin +17.2%, ROE +9.8%, ROIC +6.0%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +89.1%, momentum -1.5%, net margin +17.2%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Business First Bancshares, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

BFST ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Business First Bancshares, Inc.

Business First Bancshares, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

BFST ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that BFST has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $27.73, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Business First Bancshares, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $27.73
3Y+19.0%
5Y+69.0%
10Y+277.0%
3Y+94.0%
5Y+203.0%
10Y+948.0%
3Y+62.0%
5Y+193.0%
10Y+1619.0%
3Y+32.0%
5Y+214.0%
10Y+1030.0%
3Y+49.0%
5Y+249.0%
10Y+1262.0%
3Y+37.0%
5Y+97.0%
10Y+643.0%
Business First Bancshares, Inc.

Business First Bancshares, Inc. Profit Bridge

BFST ยท NASDAQ
Revenue511.93M
Cost of Goods Sold (200.07M)
Gross Profit311.86M
Operating Expenses (198.45M)
Operating Income113.41M
Interest Expense (191.85M)
Other Income/Expense-3.10M
Pretax Income110.31M
Income Tax (22.45M)
Net Income87.86M
Net Income
87.86M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

60.9%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

22.2%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

17.2%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

20.4%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

60.92%
Gross Profit Margin
7%
3Y-26.0%
5Y-24.0%
10Y-29.0%
22.15%
Operating Profit Margin
22%
3Y-15.0%
5Y+2.0%
10Y+61.0%
17.16%
Net Profit Margin
21%
3Y-16.0%
5Y-3.0%
10Y+64.0%
9.80%
Return on Equity
20%
3Y+5.0%
5Y+34.0%
10Y+118.0%
1.07%
Return on Assets
29%
3Y+18.0%
5Y+48.0%
10Y+131.0%
5.97%
Return on Invested Capital
23%
3Y+29.0%
5Y+8.0%
10Y+101.0%
BFST

Business First Bancshares, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

BFST ยท NASDAQ
Net Income87.86M
Depreciation & Amortization5.68M
Stock-Based Compensation5.82M
Change in Working Capital-8.57M
Others93.00K
Capital Expenditures-66.00K
Free Cash Flow92.08M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

104.8%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

0.1%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+53.9%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$8.57M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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Business First Bancshares, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

BFST ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents589.80M
Net Receivables38.18M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets628 M
Property, Plant & Equipment88.42M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets162.97M
Long-Term Investments7.85B
Other Non-Current Assets157.62M
Total Non-Current Assets8 B
Total Assets
8.91B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

29.08x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

7.99x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

606 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

7% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Mixed signals: Strong short-term liquidity provides comfort, but high overall leverage requires careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities and refinancing risk.

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Business First Bancshares, Inc. Street Expectations Map

BFST ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that BFST stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 32.33, with estimates ranging from a low of 31.00 to a high of 33.00.

Lowest Target
31.00
11.79%
Consensus Target
32.33
16.59%
Highest Target
33.00
19.00%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 32.33, with estimates ranging from a low of 31.00 to a high of 33.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+16.6%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

6.2% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Business First Bancshares, Inc. Insider Positioning

BFST ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $136K and sold $2.36M worth of BFST shares, resulting in $2.22M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

21.6K

603.63K

Net Activity

-604K

-$604K

3-6 Months

Bought

1.6K

44.87K

Sold

54.8K

1.54M

Net Activity

-1.5M

-$1.49M

6-9 Months

Bought

1.6K

38.74K

Sold

1.4K

36.97K

Net Activity

+2K

+$2K

9-12 Months

Bought

2.2K

52.55K

Sold

7.5K

179.16K

Net Activity

-127K

-$127K

Top Buyers

1
DRD

Day Rick D.

Director

3.1K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$80K

2
DJP

Ducrest John P.

Director

2.2K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$53K

3
MRHJ

Mccollister Rolfe H. Jr.

Director

120 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$4K

Top Sellers

1
CGWI

Cummings George W. Iii

Director

62.6K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$1.74M

2
FMP

Folse Mark P.

Director

10.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$296K

3
BJJI

Buquet James J. Iii

Director

5.2K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$119K

4
CDC

Carter Donald Chad

Officer: Evp, Correspondent Banking

3.8K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$103K

5
SS

Strong Saundra

Officer: Evp & General Counsel

2.4K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$60K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $2.22M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.06:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$604K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

Moderate Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 3 buyers. More insiders selling than buying suggests cautious or negative sentiment.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.55%
Dividend Yield
-26%
3Y-46.0%
5Y+33.0%
10Y+180.0%
ย 

bfst Dividend History

BFST
10Y CAGR +12%
Latest $0.15
Annual $0.73
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%