BancFirst Corporation

BancFirst Corporation

BANFยทNASDAQ

$107.18

-0.50%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

BancFirst Corporation operates as the bank holding company for BancFirst that provides a range of commercial banking services to retail customers, and small to medium-sized businesses. It operates through Metropolitan Banks, Community Banks, Pegasus Bank, and Other Financial Services segments. The company offers checking accounts, negotiable order of withdrawal accounts, savings accounts, money market accounts, sweep accounts, club accounts, individual retirement accounts, and certificates of deposit, as well as overdraft protection and auto draft services. It also provides commercial, financial, and other loans for working capital, facilities acquisition or expansion, purchase of equipment, and other needs; lending services that include private banking, energy, commercial and residential real estate, and commercial and industrial loans; and loans to finance purchases of consumer goods, such as automobiles, boats, household goods, vacations, and education. In addition, the company engages in the investment management and administration of trusts for individuals, corporations, and employee benefit plans, as well as bond trustee and paying agent business for various Oklahoma municipalities and governmental entities; and provision of item processing, research, and other correspondent banking services. Further, it is involved in real estate investment and insurance agency services; and providing funds transfer, collection, safe deposit box, cash management, and other services. The company serves customers in non-metropolitan trade centers and cities in the metropolitan statistical areas of Oklahoma. It operates through 108 banking locations in Oklahoma and 3 banking locations in Dallas, Texas. The company was formerly known as United Community Corporation and changed its name to BancFirst Corporation in November 1988. BancFirst Corporation was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$3.60B
EPS7.2200
P/E Ratio14.84
Earnings Date07/16/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 14.8).

Valuation inputs: P/E 14.8, earnings yield +6.7%, momentum -0.5%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +13.0%, ROIC +1.6%).

Profitability stack: net margin +29.2%, ROE +13.0%, ROIC +1.6%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +87.5%, momentum -0.5%, net margin +29.2%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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BancFirst Corporation Market vs Earnings Trajectory

BANF ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

BancFirst Corporation

BancFirst Corporation Fair Value Envelope

BANF ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that BANF has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $107.18, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for BancFirst Corporation.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $107.18
3Y+23.0%
5Y+137.0%
10Y+219.0%
3Y+37.0%
5Y+78.0%
10Y+153.0%
3Y+25.0%
5Y+142.0%
10Y+240.0%
3Y+26.0%
5Y+84.0%
10Y+215.0%
3Y+15.0%
5Y+168.0%
10Y+197.0%
3Y+20.0%
5Y+61.0%
10Y+112.0%
BancFirst Corporation

BancFirst Corporation Profit Bridge

BANF ยท NASDAQ
Revenue824.33M
Cost of Goods Sold (140.89M)
Gross Profit683.43M
Operating Expenses (379.84M)
Operating Income303.38M
Interest Expense (309.87M)
Other Income/Expense1.74M
Pretax Income305.12M
Income Tax (64.51M)
Net Income240.61M
Net Income
240.61M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

82.9%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

36.8%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

29.2%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

21.1%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

82.91%
Gross Profit Margin
21%
3Y-9.0%
5Y+1.0%
10Y-10.0%
36.80%
Operating Profit Margin
21%
3Y-6.0%
5Y+38.0%
10Y+11.0%
29.19%
Net Profit Margin
23%
3Y-9.0%
5Y+36.0%
10Y+34.0%
12.98%
Return on Equity
-3%
3Y-16.0%
5Y+39.0%
10Y+31.0%
1.62%
Return on Assets
1%
3Y+4.0%
5Y+50.0%
10Y+61.0%
1.61%
Return on Invested Capital
-86%
3Y-89.0%
5Y-82.0%
10Y-83.0%
BANF

BancFirst Corporation Cash Conversion Engine

BANF ยท NASDAQ
Net Income240.61M
Depreciation & Amortization22.54M
Stock-Based Compensation3.73M
Change in Working Capital2.05M
Others17.25M
Capital Expenditures-48.31M
Free Cash Flow236.97M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

98.5%

Strong cash conversion. Most reported earnings translate into actual cash flow, suggesting solid fundamentals.

CapEx Intensity

16.9%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+5.5%

Steady FCF growth indicates consistent cash generation improvement. On a positive trajectory.

Working Capital Impact

+$2.05M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

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BancFirst Corporation Funding & Solvency Profile

BANF ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents4.39B
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets4 B
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets0
Total Assets
13.85B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

290.99x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.79x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

4 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

32% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Mixed signals: Strong short-term liquidity provides comfort, but high overall leverage requires careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities and refinancing risk.

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BancFirst Corporation Street Expectations Map

BANF ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that BANF stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 95.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 95.00 to a high of 95.00.

Lowest Target
95.00
-11.36%
Consensus Target
95.00
-11.36%
Highest Target
95.00
-11.36%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 95.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 95.00 to a high of 95.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-11.4%

Downside risk. Current price above analyst targets indicates potential overvaluation. Exercise caution and review catalysts.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Risk-Reward Profile

1.00x

Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.

Analyst Conviction

Low

Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.

Market Sentiment Insight

Consensus overvaluation: Analysts agree the stock is richly valued with limited upside. Consider booking profits or defensive positioning unless you have contrarian conviction in unrecognized catalysts.

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BancFirst Corporation Insider Positioning

BANF ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $7.71M worth of BANF shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

58.2K

6.72M

Net Activity

-6.7M

-$6.72M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

3.0K

359.73K

Net Activity

-360K

-$360K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

5.0K

631.44K

Net Activity

-631K

-$631K

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
RDE

Rainbolt David E

Director, 10 Percent Owner:

58.2K sharesโ€ข7 transactions

$6.72M

2
DFF

Drummond F Ford

Director: Director

5.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$631K

3
FR

Foraker Randy

Officer: Executive Vice President

3.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$360K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $7.71M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$6.72M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

3 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
ย 

banf Dividend History

BANF
10Y CAGR +11%
Latest $0.49
Annual $2.42
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%