AXT, Inc.

AXT, Inc.

AXTIยทNASDAQ

$106.70

-0.58%
TechnologySemiconductors

AXT, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes compound and single element semiconductor substrates. It produces semiconductor substrates using its proprietary vertical gradient freeze technology. The company offers indium phosphide for use in data center connectivity using light/lasers, 5G communications, fiber optic lasers and detectors, passive optical networks, silicon photonics, photonic integrated circuits, terrestrial solar cells, RF amplifier and switching, infrared light-emitting diode (LEDS) motion control, lidar for robotics and autonomous vehicles, and infrared thermal imaging. It also provides semi-insulating gallium arsenide (GaAs) substrates for use in Wi-Fi and IoT devices, transistors, direct broadcast television, power amplifiers, satellite communications, and solar cells; and semi-conducting GaAs substrates that are used in LED, screen displays, printer head lasers and LEDs, 3-D sensing using VCSELs, data center communication using VCSELs, sensors for industrial robotics/near-infrared sensors, optical couplers, solar cells, night vision goggles, lidar for robotics and autonomous vehicles, and other lasers, as well as laser machining, cutting, and drilling. In addition, the company offers germanium substrates for use in multi-junction solar cells for satellites, optical sensors and detectors, terrestrial concentrated photo voltaic cells, infrared detectors, and carrier wafer for LED. Further, it provides 6N+ and 7N+ purified gallium, boron trioxide, gallium-magnesium alloy, pyrolytic boron nitride (pBN) crucibles, and pBN insulating parts. AXT, Inc. sells its products through direct salesforce in the United States, China, and Europe, as well as through independent sales representatives and distributors in Japan, Taiwan, Korea, and internationally. The company was formerly known as American Xtal Technology, Inc. and changed its name to AXT, Inc. in July 2000. AXT, Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$4.95B
EPS-0.4900
P/E Ratio-217.76
Earnings Date07/30/2026
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AXT, Inc. Street Expectations Map

AXTI ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that AXTI stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 59.40, with estimates ranging from a low of 18.00 to a high of 125.00.

Lowest Target
18.00
-83.13%
Consensus Target
59.40
-44.33%
Highest Target
125.00
17.15%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 59.40, with estimates ranging from a low of 18.00 to a high of 125.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-44.3%

Significant downside risk. Stock trading well above analyst consensus suggests elevated valuation concerns and potential correction.

Analyst Agreement

180.1% spread

High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analystsโ€”major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.

Risk-Reward Profile

0.21x

Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.

Analyst Conviction

Low

High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuationโ€”proceed with caution and independent analysis.

Market Sentiment Insight

Extreme uncertainty: Massive dispersion in price targets reflects fundamental disagreement on business trajectory. This could signal transformation, disruption, or complex valuationโ€”requires deep sector expertise and contrarian mindset.

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AXT, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

AXTI ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
88.33M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
124.47M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
119.44M - 128.30M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+40.9%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread7%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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AXT, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

AXTI ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
-21.26M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-1.87M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-3.02M - 5.61M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+91.2%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread462%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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AXT, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

AXTI ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
-0.49
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$0.00
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$-0.07 - $0.13
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+100.4%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread10000%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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AXT, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

AXTI ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
-21.98M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
966.47K
FY 2026
Estimate Range
927.44K - 996.22K
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+104.4%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread7%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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AXT, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

AXTI ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
-12.87M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
9.93M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
9.53M - 10.23M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+177.1%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread7%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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AXT, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

AXTI ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
24.17M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
27.45M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
26.34M - 28.29M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+13.6%

Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread7%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

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AXT, Inc. Insider Positioning

AXTI ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $22K and sold $49.00M worth of AXTI shares, resulting in $48.98M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

369.5K

16.29M

Net Activity

-16.3M

-$16.29M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

709.2K

27.81M

Net Activity

-27.8M

-$27.81M

6-9 Months

Bought

10.3K

22.41K

Sold

506.0K

4.89M

Net Activity

-4.9M

-$4.87M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
FGL

Fischer Gary L

Officer: Cfo

10.3K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$22K

Top Sellers

1
FGL

Fischer Gary L

Officer: Cfo

698.5K sharesโ€ข7 transactions

$23.24M

2
YMS

Young Morris S

Director, Officer: Ceo

547.8K sharesโ€ข9 transactions

$17.10M

3
CJ

Chen Jesse

Director

99.8K sharesโ€ข10 transactions

$4.33M

4
CDC

Chang David C

Director

235.0K sharesโ€ข7 transactions

$4.30M

5
LLJ

Leblanc Leonard J

Director

3.6K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$31K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $48.98M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$16.29M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.