AerSale Corporation
$6.27
-2.5%AerSale Corporation provides aftermarket commercial aircraft, engines, and its parts to passenger and cargo airlines, leasing companies, original equipment manufacturers, and government and defense contractors, as well as maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) service providers worldwide. It operates in two segments, Asset Management Solutions and Technical Operations (TechOps). The Asset Management Solutions segment engages in the sale and lease of aircraft, engines, and airframes, as well as disassembly of these assets for component parts. The TechOps segment provides internal and third-party aviation services, including internally developed engineered solutions, heavy aircraft maintenance and modification, and component MRO, as well as end-of-life disassembly services. This segment also provides aircraft modifications, cargo and tanker conversions of aircraft, and aircraft storage; and MRO services for landing gear, thrust reversers, hydraulic systems, and other aircraft components. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Coral Gables, Florida.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is elevated (P/E 34.8).
Valuation inputs: P/E 34.8, earnings yield +2.9%, momentum -2.5%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE +2.0%, ROIC +2.2%).
Profitability stack: net margin +2.6%, ROE +2.0%, ROIC +2.2%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +33.7%, momentum -2.5%, net margin +2.6%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
AerSale Corporation Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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AerSale Corporation Fair Value Envelope
AerSale Corporation Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.
Operating Margin
Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.
Net Profit Margin
Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.
Effective Tax Rate
Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.
Profitability Insight
Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.
AerSale Corporation Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extension—monitor closely.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.
AerSale Corporation Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.
Financial Health Insight
Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.
AerSale Corporation Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that ASLE stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 13.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 8.00 to a high of 19.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 13.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 8.00 to a high of 19.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analysts—major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.
Analyst Conviction
High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuation—proceed with caution and independent analysis.
Market Sentiment Insight
High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.
AerSale Corporation Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $1.19M and sold $72K worth of ASLE shares, resulting in $1.11M of net buying activity.
3 Months
1.0K
6.46K
0
0.00
+6K
+$6K
3-6 Months
0
0.00
1.8K
13.47K
-13K
-$13K
6-9 Months
9.6K
57.63K
0
0.00
+58K
+$58K
9-12 Months
188.8K
1.12M
9.5K
58.97K
+1.1M
+$1.06M
Top Buyers
Jones Gary Edmund
Officer: See Remarks
$380K
Garmendia Martin
Officer: See Remarks
$342K
Wright Frederick Craig
Officer: See Remarks
$203K
Pizzi Enrique
Officer: Chief Information Officer
$178K
Finazzo Nicolas
Director, Officer: See Remarks
$58K
Top Sellers
Pizzi Enrique
Officer: Chief Information Officer
$20K
Jones Gary Edmund
Officer: See Remarks
$17K
Garmendia Martin
Officer: See Remarks
$13K
Wright Frederick Craig
Officer: See Remarks
$11K
Tschirhart Benjamin Thomas
Officer: See Remarks
$11K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bullish signal with $1.11M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs selling—one of the strongest possible insider signals.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.
Insider Participation
5 insider buyers and 5 sellers. Equal participation suggests mixed or neutral insider views.
Insider Activity Insight
Strong confluence of bullish signals: High buy/sell ratio, multiple insiders participating, and recent buying momentum all point to significant insider confidence. This level of coordinated buying often precedes positive developments.
No Dividend Yield Data
ASLE has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
asle Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on ASLE by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.