$7.50
+1.2%Arko Corp. operates convenience stores in the United States. It operates through three segments: Retail, Wholesale, and GPM Petroleum. The Retail segment engages in the sale of fuel and merchandise to retail consumers. The Wholesale segment supplies fuel to third-party dealers and consignment agents. The GPM Petroleum segment supplies fuel to independent dealers, and bulk and spot purchasers. It operates approximately 3,000 locations comprising approximately 1,400 company-operated stores and approximately 1,650 dealer sites. The company is based in Richmond, Virginia.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $116.4M | $70.3M | $42.5M | $25.7M | $15.5M | $9.4M | $5.7M | $3.4M | $2.1M | $1.2M |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$15.4M | -$9.3M | -$5.6M | -$3.4M | -$2.0M | -$1.2M | -$748.0K | -$451.9K | -$273.0K | -$165.0K |
| Owner Earnings | $101.0M | $61.0M | $36.9M | $22.3M | $13.5M | $8.1M | $4.9M | $3.0M | $1.8M | $1.1M |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | $93.5M | $52.3M | $29.3M | $16.4M | $9.2M | $5.1M | $2.9M | $1.6M | $896.7K | $501.6K |
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