The Andersons, Inc.

The Andersons, Inc.

ANDE·NASDAQ

$72.91

+0.34%
Consumer DefensiveFood Distribution

The Andersons, Inc., an agriculture company, operates in trade, renewables, and plant nutrient sectors in the United States and internationally. The company's Trade segment operates grain elevators; stores commodities; and provides grain marketing, risk management, and origination services to its customers and affiliated ethanol facilities. This segment also engages in the commodity merchandising business, as well as offers logistics for physical commodities, such as whole grains, grain products, feed ingredients, domestic fuel products, and other agricultural commodities. Its Renewables segment produces, purchases, and sells ethanol, and co-products, as well as offers facility operations, risk management, and ethanol and coproducts marketing services to the ethanol plants it invests in and operates. The company's Plant Nutrient segment manufactures, distributes, and retails agricultural and related plant nutrients, corncob-based products, and pelleted lime and gypsum products; and crop nutrients, crop protection chemicals, and seed products, as well as provides application and agronomic services to commercial and family farmers. It also offers warehousing, packaging, and manufacturing services to nutrient producers and other distributors; and manufactures and distributes various industrial products, such as nitrogen reagents for air pollution control systems that are used in coal-fired power plants, and water treatment and dust abatement products. In addition, this segment produces corncob-based products for laboratory animal bedding and private-label cat litter, as well as absorbents, blast cleaners, carriers, and polishers; professional lawn care products for golf course and turf care markets; fertilizer and weed and pest control products; pelleted lime, gypsum, and value add soil amendments; and specialty ag liquids, seed starters, zinc, and industrial liquids. The Andersons, Inc. was founded in 1947 and is based in Maumee, Ohio.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$2.48B
EPS2.8100
P/E Ratio25.95
Earnings Date08/03/2026

Earnings Call Transcript

ANDE • 2025 • Q3

Operator
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to The Andersons 2025 Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call. My name is Joe, and I will be your coordinator for today. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. I will now hand the presentation to your host for today, Mr. Mike Hoelter, Vice President, Corporate Controller and Investor Relations. Please proceed.
Michael Hoelter
Thanks, Joe. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for The Andersons Third Quarter earnings call. We have provided a slide presentation that will enhance today's discussion. This webcast is being recorded, and the recording and the supporting slides will be made available on the Investors page of our website shortly. Please direct your attention to the disclosure statement on Slide 2 as well as the disclaimers in the press release related to forward-looking statements. Certain information discussed today constitutes forward-looking statements that reflect the company's current views with respect to future events, financial performance and industry conditions. These forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially as a result of many factors, which are described in the company's reports on file with the SEC. We encourage you to review these factors. This presentation and today's prepared remarks contain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of the GAAP to non-GAAP measures are included within the appendix of this presentation. On the call with me today are Bill Krueger, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Brian Valentine, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. After our prepared remarks, we will be happy to take your questions. I will now turn the call over to Bill.
William Krueger
Thanks, Mike, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining this call to discuss our third quarter results and outlook for the remainder of 2025. This quarter represents the first reporting period since we completed the purchase of the minority share in our ethanol plants at the end of July, supporting strategic growth in renewable fuels. In the third quarter, we recognized income for 45
Brian Valentine
Thanks, Bill, and good morning, everyone. We're now turning to our third quarter results on Slide #5. In the third quarter of 2025, the company reported net income attributable to The Andersons of $20 million or $0.59 per diluted share and adjusted net income of $29 million or $0.84 per diluted share. This compares to adjusted net income of $25 million or $0.72 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2024. Revenues increased slightly with the addition of Skyland despite overall lower commodity prices. Gross profit declined due to challenging ag fundamentals, combined with higher input costs in renewables. Expenses also increased with the majority relating to the addition of Skyland. Adjusted pretax earnings were $31 million for the quarter compared to $35 million in 2024, with the decline coming from agribusiness. This was partially offset by the net company impact of 45
William Krueger
Thanks, Brian. In our Renewables segment, fourth quarter demand has remained consistent with 2025 exports expected to reach record volumes. The recent rally in corn futures has reduced board crush. However, corn basis has retreated to harvest values, and we are filling our space. With the fall maintenance shutdown safely behind us, our plants are set up well for strong fourth quarter production. We have approved additional capital focused on further increasing yields for both ethanol and corn oil. We will continue to invest in these well-maintained assets, looking for incremental opportunities to improve efficiency, increase capacity and lower the carbon intensity of our ethanol. Our expected Q4 production should enable us to generate additional 45
Operator
[Operator Instructions] And our first question here will come from Pooran Sharma with Stephens.
Pooran Sharma
Congrats on posting the strong results. Just wanted to maybe focus on 45
William Krueger
Both are -- all 3 of those are really good questions. Let's start with Q4. As I mentioned in the script, we are expecting a $10 million to $15 million EBITDA benefit from 45
Pooran Sharma
Great. I appreciate you pointing that out there for me. Maybe just shift into agribusiness and understand that with the policy kind of clarity, trade policy clarity, you can maybe start to see a little more improvement. And just wondering if you do get that and if you do get China to kind of actually start to purchase on that 12 million metric tons this year, even just the 25 million metric tons annually, do you think that -- how quickly do you think you can get back to a more normalized earnings kind of environment for agribusiness if you do get those kind of 2 pieces for that business? And then how quickly can that change in the China trade policy have an impact on the sorghum market? And sorry, just lastly, just wanted to also understand how Skyland is faring if you could confirm your EBITDA contribution expectations for that business?
William Krueger
I will take the first 2. So for The Andersons, we will benefit more from China purchasing sorghum than soybeans. The opportunity exists as soon as they buy U.S. sorghum and soybeans, we're unable to provide guidance until we actually see them come into the market and purchase product. As we read the summaries of the meeting, the metric tons of soybeans need to be purchased by the end of the year, but don't need to ship by the end of the year. So we'll need to see clarity around those purchases. On sorghum, it would likely be a strong uplift pretty immediately for us. We -- our asset in Houston, our Western grain assets have seen very robust sorghum harvest. So we look forward to the opportunity to see any export business for sorghum. On the Skyland specific question, I'll let Brian handle that one.
Brian Valentine
Yes, sure. I mean, Pooran, when we originally talked about Skyland, our original EBITDA estimate was a run rate of about $30 million to $40 million a year. With the headwinds that we've seen this year, we probably will be closer to about half of that number for 2025. But to your point, and just following on Bill's comments, depending on what happens with sorghum exports, we should be able to get back to that run rate if things normalize from that perspective.
Operator
And our next question will come from Ben Mayhew with BMO Capital Markets.
Benjamin Mayhew
First of all, congratulations on the really strong quarter. So my first question has to do with ethanol demand. And just kind of thinking about as we head deeper into fourth quarter, board crush is coming off from third quarter. How are you thinking about just kind of the run rate of margins, the outlook now that we have E15 approval in California, I mean what's the impact of that? Do we -- maybe do we expect lighter export volumes? Or do you expect export volumes to remain strong? And just trying to get a sense of how we exit the year with ethanol margins, which seem to be overall in a lot better place than historically.
William Krueger
Yes, Ben, good questions. The start -- the first part of -- or I'm going to take the second part first. The approval in California is just that. It's approval, and they have to still work through some minor details with CARB that we think will be completed by year-end. So we do look at the E15 as a very positive move in California. Today, we believe that there's plenty of production capacity to handle the additional California barrels that will be consumed in 2026. We also think that as the U.S. is priced today, that we expect demand in 2026 to be relatively flat on both exports and domestic with the potential of a slight uptick in California once the CARB regulations are finalized. In terms of the board crush coming off, that's -- you are correct, it has fallen off. But the corn basis levels have come down substantially as we're entering into the final parts of this 2025 harvest. So if you look at a net effect, I'm not so sure that you can just make the broad assumption that overall ethanol margins are down. You should likely want to take into play the various regions and the reduction of corn basis driving the corn values down lower.
Benjamin Mayhew
Got it. That makes sense. My second question has to do with your comments on your financial position and just kind of getting back into the M&A search, if you will. So it sounds like you think this environment is to the point where things are -- fundamentals are poor enough in certain areas where assets will likely come to sale. So I'm just wondering like what are some examples of these asset types that we could think about? And maybe you can't answer this, maybe this is an Investor Day thing, but when you think about the sheer amount of cash flow you're just going to get from these 45
William Krueger
Yes. You are correct. That is the plan for the Investor Day in just a little over a month. But the one thing I do want to remind everyone is over the last several years, we've been very disciplined with our capital allocation. So we don't plan to deviate from that mindset. We think it's rewarded our shareholders well. And we do believe there will be opportunities. I don't feel that it's appropriate to be commenting on what we're going to be spending the money on today. As I did state in my script, though, we like our core area of operations, and we're going to continue to be focused on our core strengths as a company and looking for opportunities to deploy capital in those areas.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Our next question will come from Jaeson Schmidt with Lake Street.
Jaeson Schmidt
Just given the current backdrop, do you think the agribusiness margins have troughed here in Q3?
William Krueger
That's an excellent question. As we look towards Q4 with the size of the wheat harvest that got completed and the corn crop that we're finishing up right now, I think it's fair to assume knowing what we know today that Q4 '25 results should be trending back closer to a Q4 2024 results, obviously, stating that we still have a ways to go to get through Q4, but we do feel like the market dynamics are set up as long as we have clarity on trade policy that 2026 should provide more opportunities than 2025. And Jaeson, back to the comment that I made in the script is our assumptions come from increased agribusiness results. Our fertilizer business is going to have a decent 2025. We need to focus on the grains and grains products side of that business, and that's kind of where we're looking at 2026 today.
Jaeson Schmidt
Got you. That's really helpful. And then can you remind us what the remaining CapEx requirements are for the 2 large construction projects?
Brian Valentine
Yes. I would say, look, we expect our full year CapEx this year, we expect to be in the range of $200 million, probably 60%-ish of that is growth capital. And so I would say with regard to those projects, there's probably another $30 million to $50 million.
Jaeson Schmidt
Okay. Perfect. And then just the last one for me, and I'll jump back into queue. Just going off some of the previous questions, I know you mentioned sort of your discipline with your capital allocation strategy. But just kind of reconciling that with this excess cash flow that will be coming into the tax credits, does that change sort of the size and scope of things you'd look at in the future?
William Krueger
That's a fair question. And I think if you look back, Jaeson, over the last 2 years, our size and scope have altered with the $425 million capital deployment for the ethanol plants, the $75 million for Houston. I really do think that we've looked -- we've started to look at larger opportunities that maybe have more scale. Simultaneously, if we see an easy bolt-on that fits right down the fairway for us, we're likely going to continue to look at those. But I do think that you make a good observation that our expected cash flows in the future will allow us to look at larger M&A projects.
Operator
And our next question will be a follow-up from Ben Mayhew with BMO Capital Markets.
Benjamin Mayhew
I'm back for one more. Just a question on the fertilizer business. And you noted in third quarter, which is typically a weaker quarter for this business, volumes and margins were up. So like what does that indicate to you ahead of the next planting season? And I guess attached to that question is an update on the U.S. farmer. Now versus maybe a month or 2 ago, what are you hearing from the farmers in terms of level of optimism and willingness to kind of spend on inputs for the next marketing year?
William Krueger
I will start with the sentiment portion of that. I don't know that you could have had a much lower farmer sentiment 60 days ago, we have had a nice rally in soybeans, I think, don't quote me on this, but somewhere around 15 month highs. So with the recent rallies in the futures market, the optimism that there will be funds coming out of Washington, D.C. once the government reopens, I think has raised the sentiment of the U.S. producer. And so in comparing -- in looking at our fertilizer business in a silo, comparing Q4 or excuse me, Q3 of 2025 to Q3 of 2024 is where the uptick was coming. I do think that the producer is going to be cautious. They're making a lot of their fall application decisions as we speak. And you could see, as I mentioned in the script, is if there's uncertainty, they could delay those decisions until the spring. And that's what we are -- we plan to figure out over the next 30 days, just to be quite honest with you.
Operator
And with that, we will conclude our question-and-answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Mike Hoelter for any closing remarks.
Michael Hoelter
Thanks, Joe. We want to thank you all for joining us this morning. Our next earnings conference call is scheduled for Wednesday, February 18, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time when we will review our fourth quarter results. As always, thank you for your interest in The Andersons, and we look forward to speaking with you again soon.
Transcript from November 5, 2025

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