The Andersons, Inc.

The Andersons, Inc.

ANDEยทNASDAQ

$72.91

+0.34%
Consumer DefensiveFood Distribution

The Andersons, Inc., an agriculture company, operates in trade, renewables, and plant nutrient sectors in the United States and internationally. The company's Trade segment operates grain elevators; stores commodities; and provides grain marketing, risk management, and origination services to its customers and affiliated ethanol facilities. This segment also engages in the commodity merchandising business, as well as offers logistics for physical commodities, such as whole grains, grain products, feed ingredients, domestic fuel products, and other agricultural commodities. Its Renewables segment produces, purchases, and sells ethanol, and co-products, as well as offers facility operations, risk management, and ethanol and coproducts marketing services to the ethanol plants it invests in and operates. The company's Plant Nutrient segment manufactures, distributes, and retails agricultural and related plant nutrients, corncob-based products, and pelleted lime and gypsum products; and crop nutrients, crop protection chemicals, and seed products, as well as provides application and agronomic services to commercial and family farmers. It also offers warehousing, packaging, and manufacturing services to nutrient producers and other distributors; and manufactures and distributes various industrial products, such as nitrogen reagents for air pollution control systems that are used in coal-fired power plants, and water treatment and dust abatement products. In addition, this segment produces corncob-based products for laboratory animal bedding and private-label cat litter, as well as absorbents, blast cleaners, carriers, and polishers; professional lawn care products for golf course and turf care markets; fertilizer and weed and pest control products; pelleted lime, gypsum, and value add soil amendments; and specialty ag liquids, seed starters, zinc, and industrial liquids. The Andersons, Inc. was founded in 1947 and is based in Maumee, Ohio.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$2.48B
EPS2.8100
P/E Ratio25.95
Earnings Date08/03/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 25.9).

Valuation inputs: P/E 25.9, earnings yield +3.9%, momentum +0.3%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +7.7%, ROIC +3.3%).

Profitability stack: net margin +0.9%, ROE +7.7%, ROIC +3.3%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +65.2%, momentum +0.3%, net margin +0.9%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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The Andersons, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

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Loading price and EPS data...

The Andersons, Inc.

The Andersons, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

ANDE ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that ANDE has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $72.91, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for The Andersons, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $72.91
3Y-28.0%
5Y+1122.0%
10Y+585.0%
3Y-36.0%
5Y+37.0%
10Y+180.0%
3Y-27.0%
5Y+1141.0%
10Y+726.0%
3Y-38.0%
5Y-338.0%
10Y+347.0%
3Y-138.0%
5Y-69.0%
10Y-55.0%
3Y-19.0%
5Y-13.0%
10Y+66.0%
The Andersons, Inc.

The Andersons, Inc. Profit Bridge

ANDE ยท NASDAQ
Revenue11.01B
Cost of Goods Sold (10.31B)
Gross Profit696.53M
Operating Expenses (603.36M)
Operating Income93.17M
Interest Expense (51.00M)
Other Income/Expense48.30M
Pretax Income141.47M
Income Tax (22.17M)
Net Income95.71M
Net Income
95.71M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

6.3%

Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.

Operating Margin

0.8%

Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.

Net Profit Margin

0.9%

Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

Effective Tax Rate

15.7%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

6.33%
Gross Profit Margin
4%
3Y+63.0%
5Y+27.0%
10Y-28.0%
0.85%
Operating Profit Margin
-49%
3Y-28.0%
5Y+172.0%
10Y+23.0%
0.87%
Net Profit Margin
-14%
3Y+15.0%
5Y+809.0%
10Y+194.0%
7.69%
Return on Equity
-8%
3Y-30.0%
5Y+859.0%
10Y+424.0%
2.58%
Return on Assets
-7%
3Y-9.0%
5Y+1328.0%
10Y+397.0%
3.32%
Return on Invested Capital
-46%
3Y-50.0%
5Y+524.0%
10Y+173.0%
ANDE

The Andersons, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

ANDE ยท NASDAQ
Net Income95.71M
Depreciation & Amortization133.32M
Stock-Based Compensation16.98M
Change in Working Capital-101.17M
Others38.16M
Capital Expenditures-233.12M
Free Cash Flow-56.12M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-58.6%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

131.7%

Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.

FCF Growth Trend

-130.8%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$101.17M

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.

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The Andersons, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

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Cash & Cash Equivalents72.40M
Net Receivables772.01M
Inventory1.40B
Other Current Assets314.01M
Total Current Assets3 B
Property, Plant & Equipment961.40M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets401.67M
Total Non-Current Assets1 B
Total Assets
3.92B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.37x

Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.99x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

686 M

Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.

Asset Composition

65% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

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The Andersons, Inc. Street Expectations Map

ANDE ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that ANDE stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 82.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 75.00 to a high of 90.00.

Lowest Target
75.00
2.87%
Consensus Target
82.50
13.15%
Highest Target
90.00
23.44%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 82.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 75.00 to a high of 90.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+13.2%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

18.2% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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The Andersons, Inc. Insider Positioning

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During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $8.86M worth of ANDE shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

107.9K

8.11M

Net Activity

-8.1M

-$8.11M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

10.4K

597.65K

Net Activity

-598K

-$598K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

3.0K

154.08K

Net Activity

-154K

-$154K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
BPE

Bowe Patrick E.

Director

96.5K sharesโ€ข10 transactions

$7.30M

2
WBK

Walz Brian K.

Officer: Vp & Treasurer

9.2K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$649K

3
SJTJ

Stout John T Jr

Director

10.1K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$588K

4
RAG

Rex Anne G

Officer: Vp, Strategy, Planning And Dev

5.6K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$325K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $8.86M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$8.11M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

4 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
ย 

ande Dividend History

ANDE
10Y CAGR +3%
Latest $0.2
Annual $0.985
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%