Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.

ALRMยทNASDAQ

$44.99

-1.7%
TechnologySoftware - Application

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. provides cloud-based solutions for smart residential and commercial properties in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Alarm.com and Other. The company provides interactive security solutions to control and monitor their security systems, as well as connected security devices, including door locks, motion sensors, door locks, garage doors, Internet of Things, thermostats, and video cameras; and video monitoring solutions, such as video analytics, live streaming, video doorbell, video clips, video alerts, continuous high definition recording, and commercial video surveillance solutions. It also offers intelligent automation and energy management solutions comprising scenes button; smart thermostat schedules; responsive savings; precision comfort; energy usage monitoring; heating, ventilation, and air conditioning monitoring services; whole home water safety solutions; geo-services; and demand response programs. In addition, the company provides commercial solutions, such as daily safeguards, commercial grade video, energy savings, protection for valuables and inventory, temperature monitoring, multi-site management and access control, early identification, simple to use, professionally supported, and easy to maintain. Further, it offers service provider solutions, including a permission-based online portal that offers account management, sales, marketing, training, and support tools; sales, marketing, and training services; and home builder programs, as well as wellness solutions. The company serves residential and commercial subscribers. Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is based in Tysons, Virginia.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$2.23B
EPS2.6600
P/E Ratio16.91
Earnings Date08/06/2026
alrm

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. Street Expectations Map

ALRM ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that ALRM stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 55.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 55.00 to a high of 55.00.

Lowest Target
55.00
22.25%
Consensus Target
55.00
22.25%
Highest Target
55.00
22.25%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 55.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 55.00 to a high of 55.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+22.3%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

alrm

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

ALRM ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
1.01B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
1.07B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
1.06B - 1.07B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+5.4%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

alrm

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

ALRM ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
132.57M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
163.23M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
162.73M - 163.73M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+23.1%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

alrm

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

ALRM ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
2.66
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$2.77
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$2.76 - $2.78
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+4.2%

Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

alrm

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

ALRM ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
186.54M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
332.21M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
329.11M - 332.87M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+78.1%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

alrm

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

ALRM ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
232.74M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
371.04M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
367.57M - 371.77M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+59.4%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

alrm

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

ALRM ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
234.21M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
250.77M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
248.43M - 251.27M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+7.1%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread1%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

alrm

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. Insider Positioning

ALRM ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $5K and sold $5.53M worth of ALRM shares, resulting in $5.52M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

56.5K

2.56M

Net Activity

-2.6M

-$2.56M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

26.2K

1.36M

Net Activity

-1.4M

-$1.36M

6-9 Months

Bought

100

4.87K

Sold

30.0K

1.51M

Net Activity

-1.5M

-$1.50M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

1.8K

102.43K

Net Activity

-102K

-$102K

Top Buyers

1
TS

Trundle Stephen

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

100 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$5K

Top Sellers

1
KD

Kerzner Daniel

Officer: See Remarks

35.9K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$1.77M

2
NDG

Nevin Darius G

Director

36.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1.66M

3
BJA

Bedell Jeffrey A

Officer: See Remarks

25.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$1.30M

4
TS

Trundle Stephen

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

9.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$394K

5
RD

Ramos Daniel

Officer: See Remarks

4.1K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$179K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $5.52M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$2.56M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.