AGNC Investment Corp.

AGNC Investment Corp.

AGNCยทNASDAQ

$10.17

-0.29%
Real EstateREIT - Mortgage

AGNC Investment Corp. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. The company invests in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by the United States government-sponsored enterprise or by the United States government agency. It funds its investments primarily through collateralized borrowings structured as repurchase agreements. The company has elected to be taxed as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 and would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes, if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was formerly known as American Capital Agency Corp. and changed its name to AGNC Investment Corp. in September 2016. AGNC Investment Corp. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$11.67B
EPS1.4800
P/E Ratio6.87
Earnings Date07/20/2026
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AGNC Investment Corp. Street Expectations Map

AGNC ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that AGNC stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 11.13, with estimates ranging from a low of 10.00 to a high of 12.00.

Lowest Target
10.00
-1.67%
Consensus Target
11.13
9.44%
Highest Target
12.00
17.99%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 11.13, with estimates ranging from a low of 10.00 to a high of 12.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+9.4%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

18.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Risk-Reward Profile

10.76x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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AGNC Investment Corp. Forward Estimates of Revenue

AGNC ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
1.91B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
3.82B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
3.07B - 4.55B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+99.8%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread39%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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AGNC Investment Corp. Forward Estimates of Net Income

AGNC ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
1.67B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
1.23B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
1.20B - 1.27B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-26.1%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread6%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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AGNC Investment Corp. Forward Estimates of EPS

AGNC ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
1.48
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$1.56
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$1.52 - $1.62
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+5.7%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage8 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread6%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

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AGNC Investment Corp. Forward Estimates of EBIT

AGNC ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
4.52B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
0.00
FY 2026
Estimate Range
0.00 - 0.00
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-100.0%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

OutlookCautious

Analyst skepticism evidentโ€”carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.

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AGNC Investment Corp. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

AGNC ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
4.70B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
0.00
FY 2026
Estimate Range
0.00 - 0.00
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-100.0%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

OutlookCautious

Analyst skepticism evidentโ€”carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.

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AGNC Investment Corp. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

AGNC ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
87.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
21.98M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
17.64M - 26.19M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-74.7%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread39%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookCautious

Analyst skepticism evidentโ€”carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.

Key Insight

Declining estimates with wide disagreement: Analysts projecting contraction without consensus signals significant business uncertaintyโ€”exercise caution.

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AGNC Investment Corp. Insider Positioning

AGNC ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $14.57M worth of AGNC shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

232.0K

2.54M

Net Activity

-2.5M

-$2.54M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

825.4K

9.82M

Net Activity

-9.8M

-$9.82M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

157.4K

1.61M

Net Activity

-1.6M

-$1.61M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

62.8K

599.39K

Net Activity

-599K

-$599K

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
KGD

Kain Gary D

Director, Officer: Director, Executive Chair

700.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$8.34M

2
FPJ

Federico Peter J

Director, Officer: Director, President, Ceo, Cio

330.6K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$3.53M

3
BB

Bell Bernice

Officer: Evp, Cfo

136.9K sharesโ€ข7 transactions

$1.48M

4
PKL

Pollack Kenneth L.

Officer: Evp And General Counsel

50.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$606K

5
BD

Blank Donna

Director

22.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$237K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $14.57M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$2.54M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.