Arch Capital Group Ltd.

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGLยทNASDAQ

$87.89

-0.96%
Financial ServicesInsurance - Diversified

Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products worldwide. The company's Insurance segment offers primary and excess casualty coverages; loss sensitive primary casualty insurance programs; collateral protection, debt cancellation, and service contract reimbursement products; directors' and officers' liability, errors and omissions liability, employment practices and fiduciary liability, crime, professional indemnity, and other financial related coverages; medical professional and general liability insurance coverages; and workers' compensation and umbrella liability, as well as commercial automobile and inland marine products. It also provides property, energy, marine, and aviation insurance; travel insurance; accident, disability, and medical plan insurance coverages; captive insurance programs; employer's liability; and contract and commercial surety coverages. This segment markets its products through a group of licensed independent retail and wholesale brokers. Its Reinsurance segment provides casualty reinsurance for third party liability and workers' compensation exposures; marine and aviation; surety, accident and health, workers' compensation catastrophe, agriculture, trade credit, and political risk products; reinsurance protection for catastrophic losses, and personal lines and commercial property exposures; life reinsurance; casualty clash; and risk management solutions. This segment markets its reinsurance products through brokers. The company's Mortgage segment offers direct mortgage insurance and mortgage reinsurance. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Pembroke, Bermuda.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$30.71B
EPS11.8400
P/E Ratio7.42
Earnings Date07/28/2026
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Arch Capital Group Ltd. Street Expectations Map

ACGL ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that ACGL stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 102.57, with estimates ranging from a low of 93.00 to a high of 114.00.

Lowest Target
93.00
5.81%
Consensus Target
102.57
16.70%
Highest Target
114.00
29.71%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 102.57, with estimates ranging from a low of 93.00 to a high of 114.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+16.7%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

20.5% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

acgl

Arch Capital Group Ltd. Forward Estimates of Revenue

ACGL ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
19.93B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
17.07B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
16.75B - 17.35B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-14.3%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread4%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

acgl

Arch Capital Group Ltd. Forward Estimates of Net Income

ACGL ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
4.40B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
3.44B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
3.35B - 3.59B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-21.9%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread7%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

acgl

Arch Capital Group Ltd. Forward Estimates of EPS

ACGL ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
11.84
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$9.29
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$8.92 - $9.55
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-21.6%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage12 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread7%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

acgl

Arch Capital Group Ltd. Forward Estimates of EBIT

ACGL ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
5.16B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
4.12B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
4.04B - 4.19B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-20.1%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread4%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

acgl

Arch Capital Group Ltd. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

ACGL ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
5.35B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
4.29B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
4.21B - 4.36B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-19.8%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread4%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

acgl

Arch Capital Group Ltd. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

ACGL ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
0.00
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
416.94M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
409.15M - 423.81M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Analyst Coverage6 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread4%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

acgl

Arch Capital Group Ltd. Insider Positioning

ACGL ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $499K and sold $10.03M worth of ACGL shares, resulting in $9.54M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

5.3K

498.65K

Sold

32.8K

2.77M

Net Activity

-2.3M

-$2.27M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

76.3K

7.27M

Net Activity

-7.3M

-$7.27M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
HDJ

Houston Daniel Joseph

Director

5.3K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$499K

Top Sellers

1
RM

Rajeh Maamoun

Officer: President, Arch Capital Group

47.4K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$4.56M

2
PJM

Pasquesi John M

Director, Other: Chair

28.9K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$2.71M

3
PN

Papadopoulo Nicolas

Director, Officer: Ceo

21.9K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$2.11M

4
GD

Gansberg David

Officer: President, Arch Capital Group

5.9K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$569K

5
PBS

Posner Brian S

Director

5.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$86K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $9.54M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.05:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$2.27M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.