ABNB - NASDAQ

Good afternoon, and thank you for joining Airbnb's earnings conference call for the second quarter of 2025. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded and will be available for replay from the Investor Relations section of Airbnb's website following this call. I will now hand the call over to Angela Yang, Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Good afternoon, and welcome to Airbnb's Second Quarter of 2025 Earnings Call. Thank you for joining us today. On the call today, we have Airbnb's Co-Founder and CEO, Brian Chesky; and our Chief Financial Officer, Ellie Mertz. Earlier today, we issued a shareholder letter with our financial results and commentary for our second quarter of 2025. These items were also posted on the Investor Relations section of Airbnb's website. During the call, we'll make brief opening remarks and then spend the remainder of time on Q&A. Before I turn it over to Brian, I would like to remind everyone that we will be making forward-looking statements on the call that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward- looking statements due to a variety of factors. These factors are described under forward-looking statements in our shareholder letter and in our most recent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We urge you to consider these factors and remind you that we undertake no obligation to update the information contained on this call to reflect subsequent events or circumstances. You should be aware that these statements should be considered estimates only and are not a guarantee of future performance. Also during this call, we will discuss some non-GAAP financial measures. We provided reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures in the shareholder letter posted to our Investor Relations website. These non-GAAP measures are not intended to be a substitute for our GAAP results. With that, I'll pass the call to Brian.

All right. Thanks, Angela, and good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for joining. Airbnb had a strong Q2. We exceeded expectations across key metrics, including bookings, revenue and margin. And while the quarter started with some global economic uncertainty, travel demand picked up and nights booked in Airbnb accelerated from April to July. We also made meaningful progress across our 3 strategic priorities. First, we continue to perfect our core service. In Q2, we made improvements to checkout, messaging, merchandising and more flexible payment options, all of which helped us increase revenue. We also expanded our new AI customer service agent in the U.S., reducing the percentage of hosting guests who need to contact a human agent by 15% Second, we accelerated growth in global markets. Nights booked on an origin basis in our expansion markets have now grown at twice the rate of our core markets for 6 consecutive quarters. And what this shows is that we're achieving product market fit, increasing brand awareness and driving traffic in key countries outside the United States. So take Japan, for example. Late last year, we launched a brand campaign to raise awareness among Japanese travelers who might want to take a trip within Japan. And the early results are really encouraging. In Q2, Japanese travelers booked more nights on Airbnb than they did in Q1, driven by more domestic travel and a 15% year-over-year increase in first-time bookers. We also announced several major partnerships to help accelerate growth in key markets, including a 3-year partnership with the Tour de France, a global live partnership -- music partnership with Lollapalooza and our continued partnership with the IOC for the upcoming Winter Olympics in Milan. And we just announced a 3-year partnership with FIFA and the World Cup, which is the largest event in the world. Large events have been a part of Airbnb's story from the very beginning. They help us build brand awareness and grow supply in key markets. And while many of these partnerships are high profile, the events themselves are often very local, and that's what makes them so powerful. They highlight our ability to disperse travel beyond popular city centers and help strengthen relationships with local governments and communities. Finally, our third strategic priority is to expand our business beyond stays. And in Q2, we did that in a big way. As part of our 2025 summer release in May, we launched Airbnb services and completely reimagined Airbnb experiences. We also introduced an all-new app, making easier to book homes, services and experiences all in one place. Now this was our biggest launch to date, and it generated more than 13,000 press stories and nearly 660 million social media impressions. After the launch, I traveled around the world to amplify the news in key markets. And over the next 3 weeks, I visited 6 countries and met with over 600 members of the press, policymakers, Airbnb partners and Airbnb host. And so far, the response to our summer release has been great. Guests say it's easier to discover new list -- offerings on our homepage and find they're looking for. And when they book a servicer experience, the feedback has been incredibly positive. The average guest rating for service and experience since launch is 4.93 stars out of 5 stars. Now for context, this outperforms the already impressive 4.8 average rating for homes during the same period. And we're also seeing strong interest from potential hosts. Since launch, over 60,000 people have submitted applications to host a service or experience. We are really excited by the momentum. It's still early, but we believe that service and experiences could become sizable businesses for Airbnb. Now with that, I'll turn it over to Ellie for a financial update.

Thanks, Brian, and good afternoon, everyone. I'll start with a review of our Q2 financial results, and then I'll walk through our outlook for Q3. As Brian mentioned, Q2 marked another strong quarter for us. We had 134 million nights and seats booked, up 7% year-over- year. We also saw an acceleration in year-over-year nights and seats booked with growth rates for May and June both outpacing Q1. Looking at the growth rates by region, Latin America grew in the high teens. Asia Pacific grew in the mid-teens, EMEA in the middle single digits and North America in the low single digits. It is worth highlighting that nights and seats booked is a new metric that now includes the number of nights booked for stays as well as the total number of seats booked for both services and experiences. Now turning to our Q2 financials. Revenue for the quarter was $3.1 billion, up 13% year-over-year. In terms of profitability, we generated $1 billion of adjusted EBITDA, representing a 34% margin, up from 32.5% last year. And finally, net income of $642 million and EPS of $1.03 grew 16% and 20%, respectively. Next, I'll turn to our balance sheet and cash flow. We continue to generate significant cash in Q2, delivering $1 billion of free cash flow. Over the past 12 months, we've generated $4.3 billion, representing a free cash flow margin of 37%. At the end of Q2, we had $11.4 billion of corporate cash and investments as well as $11.1 billion of funds held on behalf of guests. Our strong balance sheet allowed us to repurchase $1 billion of our common stock during the quarter, and we ended Q2 with $1.5 billion remaining on our repurchase authorization. And today, we're announcing a new share repurchase program with authorization to purchase up to an additional $6 billion of our Class A common stock. Now since introducing our share repurchase program in 2022, we've reduced our fully diluted share count by 8%. Now let me shift to our Q3 and full year 2025 outlook. As we look to Q3, we're encouraged by current demand trends, specifically the acceleration of nights booked from April through July. We've seen this momentum globally with especially strong growth in the U.S. That said, we do expect year-over-year comparisons to get tougher towards the end of the quarter and that this dynamic will continue into Q4, putting pressure on growth rates later in the year. Specifically for Q3, we expect to generate $4.02 billion to $4.1 billion, representing year-over-year growth of 8% to 10%. This includes minimal impact for foreign exchange after factoring in our hedges. We expect nights and seats booked to grow at a similar rate to Q2 2025 and for ADR to increase modestly year-over-year, primarily driven by FX. On profitability, we expect adjusted EBITDA in Q3 to exceed $2 billion, and we anticipate that adjusted EBITDA margin will be lower than in Q3 2024, primarily due to investments in new growth and policy initiatives. And we expect a similar year-over-year decline of adjusted EBITDA margin in Q4 '25 due to growth investments and a tougher year-over-year top line comparison. For the full year, we continue to expect an adjusted EBITDA margin of at least 34.5%. This includes approximately $200 million of investment towards new businesses in 2025. While we don't expect meaningful revenue from our new businesses in the near term, we expect -- excuse me, we believe the opportunity is significant and are building with a multiyear view. To wrap up, our Q2 results reflect strong execution across our strategic priorities, perfecting the core, accelerating growth in global markets and expanding beyond the core. We are acting with urgency and focus to drive growth of our core business and to scale services and experiences. And with our strong financial position, we are well equipped to invest in the future in order to create long-term value for our investors. With that, I will open it up to Q&A.

[Operator Instructions] Our first question will come from the line of Mark Mahaney with Evercore ISI.

I think I'll just like to ask about Airbnb Experiences. And Brian, what have you seen so far? What do you think would be success in terms of, I don't know, an attach rate? Like what's the -- what do you -- are there proxies or bogeys out there that you've seen in other companies or in other industries with kind of the attach rate to a core offering that you think, yes, that's where Airbnb should be. It seems to me like it's a natural cross-sell or add-on, but what's the goal? And how long do you think it will take to get there?

Mark, maybe I'll just zoom out and just talk about experiences and what we've seen so far. We're very, very impressed and satisfied first of all, with the awareness of Airbnb experiences. The biggest problem we've had historically, even with attach rates, people didn't know even had Airbnb experiences. The launch generated over 13,000 articles, 660 million social media impressions. We've also seen increased visibility of our product through our newly redesigned homepage and guests really love Airbnb experiences. We talked about, obviously, that they're significantly rated more highly than homes on Airbnb. There's a few things. I mean, attach rate, we're absolutely looking at. We don't have any numbers to share as far as what we see for potential attach rate. But we think that attach rate could be significantly higher for the completely reimaginary Airbnb experiences fans the prior iteration of the product. And the way we're going to do that is, number one, we need to make sure that we have resident supply, supply that people really, really like. So we're making sure that we have great listings. This includes Airbnb originals that are the very best experience on Airbnb. The next thing we want to do is make sure we have significantly greater entry points for the product. So we've really integrated experiences into the core flow. And the third thing is we're raising awareness of Airbnb Experiences, and we think this not only sells experiences but sells more bookings. A couple of other things I'll just share about Airbnb Experiences. We've had a huge amount of people wanting to list experiences on Airbnb submit applications. And the other thing I'll just point out Airbnb Originals. 40% of bookings for Airbnb Originals are from locals or people in the kind of local area where the booking occurs. So what we're seeing with Airbnb Experiences is even though they're designed for travelers, we also do expect to start to see more local demand. So I think what we're going to see is over the next year, you're going to see us really focusing on honing in on attach rate in key cities. Right now, like one of the cities we're really focused on is Paris. It's a really popular corridor for the United States. And we're really trying to see what we can do on attach rate in Paris and a few other cities like that. Once we get that attach rate up, that will give us a better indication of what's possible globally, but I'm very, very bullish. I think a large percent of travelers on Airbnb would love to use Airbnb experiences.

Our next question comes from the line of Richard Clarke with Bernstein.

Just want to unpick maybe a little bit of the guidance. What is the size of the headwind you're expecting in Q3 maybe from the events, the Paris Olympics. And you talked about that maybe continuing to Q4. So should we expect Q4 to be slower than Q3? And maybe in addition to that, you've called out 3 of your growth markets are now alive and kicking, sort of Brazil, Japan and Germany. Any thoughts what you think the sort of right midterm growth rate is now for Airbnb given this sort of success in these newer geographies?

Sure, Richard. Let me talk a little bit about the trends for both Q3 and Q4, and then we can turn to Global Markets. Just to remind you, the comps that we're referring to from last year, you'll probably recall that at this time last year, we and others were seeing quite depressed bookings in July. And so right now, we're kind of comping a softer period from 2024. But over the course of Q3 last year, we saw a nice acceleration and exited Q3 at a much stronger rate than we entered. And so that's the pattern that we are comping directly right now. It was a couple of point acceleration over the course of the quarter. What I'll also call your attention to is the acceleration that we saw beyond Q3 through the end of Q4. So for our business last year, in Q3, we grew approximately 8% in terms of nights booked. That accelerated over 4 points to over 12% in Q4. And so that's the acceleration that we're referring to in terms of the hard year-over-year comp. So when we look at kind of the history of our data and seasonality on the platform, what we're seeing right now is that 2023 is a bit more of a normalized comp for '25. And so when we look at that year over 2-year comp specifically to '23, what it implies is that the hard comp that we will face on a year-over-year basis in Q4 could result in a bit of decel from Q3 to Q4 on a year-over-year basis, and we just wanted to highlight that heading into the back half of the year. Your second question was around expansion markets. Obviously, we called out the real success we're having in Brazil, in Japan, in Germany, other places that I would call out that we didn't note in the letter. India is doing quite well. Rest of Latin America also doing quite well. What we've called out for some time with regard to expansion market strategy is that the composition of our business historically has been so concentrated in the core markets that it will take a period of aggregated business mix shift for the elevated level of growth in the expansion markets to be a meaningful contributor to the overall consolidated totals. I think the good news is that the success that we have had in these expansion markets has already started to move the needle in terms of diversifying our global business away from North America. I would say just if you look on a year-over-year basis, the acceleration or the strength of growth that we've seen in Latin America has allowed Latin America to take about 200 basis points of business share within Airbnb from North America and therefore, contribute more meaningfully to growth. So the intent of our strategy is to continue to invest in these markets, continue to gain market share in them. And as they grow as a percent of our overall business, the contribution to growth will commensurately grow as well.

Our next question will come from the line of Eric Sheridan with Goldman Sachs.

I'm curious about from a marketing perspective, as you continue to sort of reposition or position Airbnb as a brand globally and move into these areas, such as services and experience as a new growth market. What are some of the key learnings about the intensity of marketing spend that's needed to put these dynamics into the market and grow and scale them? And how might sort of the channels of those marketing investments continue to evolve when you think about looking out just beyond 2025 and more of a medium- to longer- term view about how you bring the platform closer to consumers.

Yes, Eric, I can start. We think that probably going forward, the best way to market services and experiences is to actually market the entire offering of Airbnb. So immediately upon the launch, we did launch some Airbnb experiences, specific ads. But this fall, we're going to be launching ads that market home services and experiences, the bundled offering. And we think this is a really, really key principle that only Airbnb offers all of this in one app. And so we don't think that the marketing intensity per se has to increase because we think we get a lot more for our dollar by marketing all of our offerings. And it makes more sense, right? Airbnb and Ascent is -- these aren't disparate offerings. If you book a home, you're very likely to want a service or experience, so we can market all 3. The second thing is channel. So that's just the strategy. We think that the channels for services experiences and homes is increasing in the shift to social. Now why is this going to be the case? Well, one of the things we're noticing, obviously, in the whole world seeing is that a lot of travel is switching from desktop to mobile and from Google search to social media. And so increasingly, people are spending time on social media and social media is gradually taking over as the #1 place for travel search from Google and travel is becoming more of an inspiration base than a high-intent search- based destination platform. So Airbnb, we think, is really primed for social media. We are probably the most relevant brand for young American travelers that is the kind of heart and soul of kind of the social media audience. And I think that you're going to see a lot more of social media native advertising. So we're shifting a lot of our advertising from TV to social. And we are -- and the great thing about social is we can target. We know a lot more about the customers. We know if they're Airbnb customers. We can actually when they watch an ad, we can link it to inventory and get them to go directly to the app. So it's actually, we think, very, very performative. So this is what we're going to be doing with marketing.

And Brian, if I could just add one comment to that. In terms of overall marketing intensity, the $200 million that we have highlighted in terms of investments behind experiences and services for 2025, it is not an increase in programmatic marketing. Our overall programmatic marketing for the year is relatively stable from a percent of revenue basis. Instead, the increase in sales and marketing that you see associated with services and experiences is focused, in particular, on our field operations, our go-to-market activities and supply acquisition. It is not spending more to effectively advertise multiple brands. Instead, to Brian's point, we are spending behind a single brand.

Our next question comes from the line of John Colantuoni with Jefferies.

I wanted to ask one about experiences. I'm curious to get your perspective on the approach you're taking to building inventory and experiences. There's a lot of variability in the quality across the experiences industry. So I'm curious how you're approaching balancing building supply that's consistent with the differentiation of Airbnb's accommodations offering versus building more commoditized supply that's maybe easier to build, scale around.

Yes, John, actually, we actually are managing the quality of experiences even more than managing the quality of homes. And I think the evidence of that is 2 things. The input is that we actually vet every single experience on Airbnb where it comes on the platform. We do not vet every home the way we vet every experience on Airbnb. The result of that is that the average home has got a 4.8 rating. The average experience has a greater than 4.93 rating. So we think this is working. Now as far as scale, we actually think we can do this quite effectively. We are working with a lot of third-party vendors. We built a fairly sophisticated operation to do vetting. We vet through -- the first thing we do is we vet their profile, make sure everyone's got a verified identity. We vet their credentials. There's a number of third-party sites we can use for that. And we also make sure they have right certifications and licenses, which I think is really, really important for all these nascent different industries. But we think we can be very, very efficient with this vetting approach. And we ultimately think that this could actually make the market more effective because quality is critical to customer satisfaction and building trust and people really trying something new on Airbnb.

Our next question comes from the line of Jed Kelly with Oppenheimer.

Just on overall company strategy, how do you think about potentially implementing a strategy or acquiring a company that potentially could reaccelerate or reaccelerate your revenue or accelerate your nights versus building organically?

Jed, we're always open to buying companies. We purchased a few companies in the past. Our hotel tonight has been a successful application that we acquired a number of years ago before the pandemic. We've historically primarily focused on building organically, but we absolutely are open to acquisitions, and we are going to be looking at it. And I think that we are now in a better place to consider acquisitions now that we've rebuilt our tech platform from the ground up, and we have this new expanded strategy where we're focused not just on all aspects of traveling, but also living and so I think there's absolutely acquisitions on the table that we could be looking at. We always want to make sure that if we do an acquisition, it is one of the most perishable opportunities that the integration costs don't outweigh the benefit of the revenue that we get. But we are absolutely opportunistic when it comes to acquisitions. I think we're more prepared to do them now than before.

The next question comes from the line of Colin Sebastian with Baird.

Brian, you touched on this a little bit, but curious if you have any more color on the impact or observations on the way homes or nights are booked from the app following the redesign. And just one point of clarification from the release, it sounds like booking lead times are now back to a normal level versus what you were seeing earlier in the quarter, if you can just confirm that.

Colin, what we're seeing with homes is some pretty exciting patterns. We're seeing a giant uptick in the number of people that are booking a home from the homepage on Airbnb. So this has been a major behavioral change from basically the last 17 years of Airbnb's history. So if you go to most apps, especially OTAs, you open the app and every single person goes essentially to the search box. they type in something in the search box and they enter dates and then they get a bunch of search results. And this is how everyone search for travel over the last 20, 25 years. The holy grail is to get more and more people to be in browse and discovery mode, almost like on Netflix or say DoorDash. DoorDash was very search-driven. They're now more of a browse and discovery application. And it's been a really hard not to crack within travel, but we think we've done it because what we've seen is that increasingly more and more guests are engaging not just the service experience from a homepage, but with homes. Now this is very strategic. Why is this strategic for us? The reason why is if people can engage with our homepage rather than typing in a destination, then we can divert travel more broadly to where we have available supply, thereby increasing conversion rate of our traffic, if this makes sense. So the more intent-based our traffic is, people have a very specific destination, very specific dates. And if they're only going based on high intent, you're going to lose people that are either lower intent or people where you might have a home, but it's a little bit outside their search radius or a little bit outside their date that they're looking for. So this is one of the things that we've seen. We've also seen a lot more people engage with the new Trip tab. Our Trip tab is essentially our itinerary. And we're seeing a lot more engagement on itinerary. And this itinerary is really important because this is the application that you use when you're on your trip. This is critical because if we can get people to use the application on Trip and we can get co- travelers to use it on Trip, then what we're really saying is we have this point of sale during the trip to cross-sell other things. So for example, one of the things we've seen with experiences and services is a lot of people like to book service experiences last minute, including people often like to book service experiences when they're on a trip. And so if we can get more people to open our app during a trip and go to the homepage and browse Discover, then this goes to one of the kind of questions I asked earlier about how we cross-sell for Mark and get more people to book services experiences. So there's been many other things that I could call out about the launch, but that would be the key thing. People are engaged on their app while on trip and they're engaged with their homepage. This is really, really critical to booking more homes, but also to cross-selling services experiences. And I just want to wrap by saying these are 2 things I don't think OTAs have cracked. I don't think OTAs have cracked how to get anyone to scroll on their homepage. I don't think OTAs have cracked how to get people to use their app during the trip. So I think that these are distinctly things that Airbnb has started to open the door for.

Our next question comes...

I think there was a question for Ellie.

Colin, just your second question was about lead times? The question having normalized compared to earlier in Q2? The answer is yes. As you'll recall, back in April, lead times were heavily compressed, they were down about 7% year-over-year. over the course of the quarter as booking confidence rose, bookings accelerated, we saw lead times normalize and then heading into Q3, they've actually lengthened a little bit compared to last year, which is a great sign in terms of booking confidence in overall guest demand.

Our next question will come from the line of Justin Post with BofA.

Great. A couple of questions. Brian, I'm sure you would say there's still a lot of room to grow in the U.S. So maybe help us understand why the growth rate is in the single digits, how supply is growing and how you might be able to accelerate that. And then on events and experiences, any thoughts on what the -- what you're hoping for or targeting for long-term attach rates on a per-trip basis?

Yes, Ellie, do you want to take this?

Brian, take the acceleration. Yes. So when we think about the U.S., it is our largest market, but it actually has, we believe, a huge amount of room to grow. In particular, when we look at the U.S., it remains a heavily hotel-dominated market. So when we referenced that 1 in 10 nights that are stayed outside the home are in an Airbnb, that is actually directionally true for the U.S. and is actually a lower percentage penetration in terms of short-term rentals than we see in other markets. So I think structurally, the U.S. has a huge area to grow. How are we going to drive incremental growth in the U.S. is really consistent with the strategies that we've laid out, in particular, around perfecting the core. We know that there are some user gaps in terms of converting more hotel users to Airbnb guests, and those are the gaps that we're working to close. I think one is obviously pricing affordability. We've made some, I would say, great progress there in terms of total price display, better pricing tips, but there's, I would say, a lot more work to do to make sure that we are always the greatest value and are attracting a wide variety of U.S. demographics. Second, another strategy that we've talked about for some time that we are seeing good results from is targeting specific demos that we are underpenetrated in. The 2 that we've called out and have made progress against are: one, the U.S. Hispanic population; and second, what we call the Heartland states, states in the middle of the country that we have historically had lower levels of penetration. And then I would say, more broadly, there's a series of things coming in terms of increasing usability, exploring more diversity of payment options that we think will be also incrementally accretive to the U.S.

Yes. Maybe I can just add on a little bit. We think we're just scratching -- just to kind of follow up on what Ellie said, I think we're just completely scratching the surface of the scale of home sharing in Airbnb. Why do I think this is the case? Well, let's look at supply and let's look at demand. On the supply side, we have around 10 million homes. I think we can have tens of millions more on Airbnb. When you ask people, why don't you put your home in Airbnb, the 2 most common reasons are it's too much work and like, aka, I don't have the time or I don't want people I don't know in my home. Regarding it's too much work, we found a lot of success with co- hosting. Co-hosting just to remind you, is a marketplace where we connect the best host on Airbnb with people who have homes that have time to host. We now have 100,000 listings managed by co-host and they've hosted 10 million nights. I think this could lead to millions and millions more homes on Airbnb. It's a very, very successful program, and we are prepared to scale this in the coming years. So this should unlock a lot more supply. Regarding people just being nervous about guests being in their home, we're the only company that has a $3 million guarantee called AirCover that protects you against theft and property damage. But we're also investing a lot more in trust and safety. We have more than 200 million verified identities on Airbnb, more than almost any other platform of any kind on the Internet, and we're going to be investing a lot more on Airbnb. I think on a lot of other platforms, you don't really know who the guests are. Oftentimes, they don't even have accounts. On our platform, they're going to have rich profiles. They're going to know a lot more about them. So I think if we do these 2 things, and then to Ellie's point, if we focus on getting more homes in our top markets where we're supply constrained, we focus on quality, reliability and continue to make progress on affordability, then I think we're going to look back and say that we're just scratching the surface of the growth of our core business in the U.S. I think the other thing I'll just say on growth generally is the following. We are looking to reaccelerate the growth of Airbnb. We are not satisfied with the company growing approximately 10% year-over-year. We want the company to reaccelerate. We think we have a great plan to reaccelerate. The strategic priorities we have perfecting our core, expanding global markets and these new products and services they're all essentially starting from a small base, but they're going to be scaling and they're going to all pay off in different times, but we're -- we have a lot of bets that are growing. We have services, we have experiences. We have hotels in Airbnb that are starting to scale. We've got about 8 countries globally that -- obviously, Brazil has been a huge success story, but also Japan, we called that in the letter. We started marketing Japan late in December -- November, December. We're starting to see real big growth in Japan. So we're going to see a lot of these areas really pay off, I think, around the same time. And this is why I feel very confident this company can reaccelerate. And I do not think we're coming close to reaching any type of saturation in any market around home sharing. There's a huge amount of homes that aren't listed that could be if you make hosting easier and safer. And I think that 1 in 9 people stay -- or 1 in 10 people staying in Airbnb, if that was 2 in 10, that would double our business.

Our next question comes from the line of Doug Anmuth with JPMorgan.

Brian, I have 2. There's been a lot of discussion on experiences. I was just hoping you could talk a little bit about the launch of services and just where you're most focused there across supply and building demand or just overall product. And then you talked about the opportunities in partnerships around major events. How do these help in terms of incremental bookings, but then also on brand and product awareness?

Yes. I mean on services, services are earlier than experiences, obviously, because experiences existed. We launched in 2016, and we basically reimagined it. Services is essentially 10 different businesses. I mean every category of services is kind of like a different business. Photography is different than chefs, it's different than masseuses. So we essentially launched 10 categories, 10 different businesses of services. We launched them around the world. What we're really focused on doing right now is trying to crack it in a few key markets. Los Angeles, for example, is a market that we've been spending a lot of time on. We think it's a really great market to test services in. And what we're really trying to do is build out the catalog of these services and really increase the attach rate. One of the things I'm really excited about with services is about 10% of bookings for services are actually from locals or people that are nearby. Essentially locals or people booking them in their own city. And I think there could be a huge opportunity for demand of locals booking services. Think about all the people that would let a chef come to their home that aren't traveling. So people that want a massage to come to their home. they aren't traveling. So I think there's a huge opportunity here. So we're going to be looking at attach rate in key markets and also the amount of locals that are booking as well. What we are seeing is that the satisfaction rate of services is similar to the satisfaction rate of homes from guests and it's higher than -- sorry, similar to experience is higher than homes. So it's around 4.93 for services versus 4.8 for homes. So we're seeing a lot of promising traction, but it's incredibly early, and it's earlier for services than experiences. So we expect this bet to play out over a longer time horizon. I do think that services is probably a significantly larger opportunity than experiences because the 10 categories we launched are just the beginning. There are dozens and dozens of categories of experience you can book. Imagine getting to Airbnb and there's a catalog of services, anything you can imagine. I think this could be where we can take this product. But we're going to focus on getting these 10 to work in a few markets.

Our next question comes from the line of Trevor Young with...

Sorry, I did not answer the question about events. Can I just do that real quick?

Please go ahead.

So yes, sorry about that. With regard to the second part of the question about events, first of all, large events have been part of our history. We launched for -- during a design conference in 2007, then we launched a Democratic National Convention in 2008. And what we've seen with events is a couple of things. Number one, it's a great way to build supply in Airbnb. We had more than a 50% increase in the amount of homes in Paris on Airbnb because we hosted for the Olympics. We were a sponsor for the Olympics, and they need housing for events. So we think this is really, really strategic to getting supply in cities. And a lot of people that have no intention to become long-term host become host just once for an event. And what we've seen is events are a great hook, to get people that have no intention to becoming long-term host to try it. And then a bunch of people actually continue hosting because they said, actually, that was a great experience. So events are kind of like a low commitment, high urgency way to get people to try hosting. And we found a number of people continue to host. In fact, this is the entire premise of how the company got started. So that's the first thing. It is a great way to build supply. The second thing is a great way to build relationships with policymakers, regulators and increase trust in the brand. For example, Italy is a very strategic market for Airbnb. We certainly had some regulatory challenges in the past to Italy. But Italy, Milan is hosting, Cortina are hosting the Olympics next year. We were able to make a lot of progress with Italian policymakers because we're partnering with them on the Olympics. We're a title sponsor. We're providing housing in Milan. They don't have enough housing. They certainly don't have enough housing in Cortina. So we're able to support them. FIFA World Cup. It's going to be the probably one of the largest, if not the largest event in human history. If you think about it, the World Cup is the largest event in the world. This might be the largest World Cup ever. And where are all these people going to stay. So we're now working with cities all over the United States, U.S., Canada, Mexico. And this, I think, has been a gateway to open relations with regulators. The final thing is I think it just increases our trust in our brand by associating with the Olympics, the Tour de France, World Cup, Lollapalooza. We're connecting Airbnb with some of the most beloved brands and some of the most passionate fan bases and passionate interest. And I think Airbnb is such a perfect partner for these events because many of the events couldn't happen in the same scale without Airbnb. Tour de France, for example, there aren't very many hotels along the route, but there are homes. So I think events are just a great part of our strategy, and we're going to continue to do a lot more of them. And they're really part of our roots. So the key question is how do we industrialize this strategy, and this is something that we're going to be continuing to focus on. And maybe the only other thing I'll just say is now that we have homes, services and experiences, the partnerships are more efficient because we have more things to cross-promote.

Our next question comes from the line of Trevor Young with Barclays.

Great. First one on the $200 million investment baked into the full year EBITDA guide. Was there a change in expected spend there? I think last quarter, you said it was $200 million to $250 million for the new 25 business launches. And now you're saying $200 million just for services and experiences. So just wondering, should we interpret that to mean there are no other launches this year? Or is there $50 million earmarked for something maybe to be announced? And then second question, just on the change in definition on nights and seats booked, can you just level set how much of that today is actually like experiences and seats versus stays? Is it 1%? Is it essentially 0? Investors always ask what's kind of the breakout of that mix?

Yes. So let me comment on the $200 million investment. So at the beginning of the year, we gave a range of $200 million to $250 million for our new businesses. We have launched those new businesses. It was the reimagined experiences and services. We're obviously more than halfway through the year. And so we've just refined the estimate in terms of the total investment. There's no change to strategy or an incremental business that is truly focused on experiences and services. We wanted to give you an updated number now that we have more visibility. In terms of nights and seats booked, we have not historically broken out nights booked versus experiences booked we were not going to do that today. What I can tell you is that the seeds book today are indeed immaterial, the intent, obviously, with the launch, and our investments here is to scale those businesses such as they are a material contributor to the total.

Our next question will come from the line of Brian Nowak with Morgan Stanley.

I wanted to come back to the U.S. room night growth, and also up to [indiscernible] little bit. So I guess if we look at the U.S. growth on room nights, excluding services and experiences, Brian, can you just sort of talk us through the 1 or 2 key priorities in your mind to sort of accelerate that growth into '26? And the same question on EMEA. I think you're growing slower than even your more scaled competitor in EMEA at this point. How do you think about sort of the keys to driving faster growth in EMEA as you go into 2026?

All right. So sorry, the question was -- the first question was about U.S. or core market?

That's right. Yes.

Yes. I think that there's like really a few pillars. The one that we've seen a lot of traction on is making Airbnb easier to use. We've made hundreds of improvements. We highlighted a bunch of them on the most recent release, and that has led to hundreds of millions of dollars of incremental revenue. So we've made a lot of traction, a lot of progress around making it easier to use. I think pricing and affordability is the next one. We are seeing a huge opportunity around increasing competitiveness of pricing on Airbnb. You might notice that we moved to total price display. That's been very successful. We're now exploring different ways to present pricing, moving towards a host-only fee. We're doing a lot around giving hosts more tools to make their listings more competitive. We announced a new calendar on the May launch that has better price suggestions. We're seeing hosts adopt that. When hosts adopt that, they have more competitiveness and they are more competitive, they earn more money. That's accretive to our business. So I think pricing is going to be a huge opportunity for us. And then I think increasing supply. And the way we're going to increase supply is we're not going to be looking at just the overall top line supply globally. We're focusing on our most supply-constrained markets and really targeting adding supply in those markets. Additionally, people looking for homes, if we don't get that home, we want to be able to have a place for them to stay. So we're also going to be increasing the onboarding of hotels, especially in supply-constrained top markets as well. So I think these are some of the things you're going to see that are going to absolutely be able to help accelerate growth in the United States.

Our next question comes from the line of Justin Patterson with KeyBanc.

Great. Going back to some of the $200 million investment you were talking about, some of that sounded like people costs for this year. As we head into 2026, how should we think about that costs potentially scaling up? Do you feel like you have the right number of people in place right now to keep doing experiences in services? Or is that something that's going to kind of keep adding to bring on more supply? And then just from the marketing standpoint, I would love to hear about how you're thinking about using performance marketing a bit more perhaps search to augment some of the broader brand campaigns for the overall business?

Yes. So Justin, on that $200 million, yes, indeed, it is -- a good portion of it is headcount split across both product development as well as our field operations team as well as some investments in terms of vendors helping us curate and onboard the new supply. When we think about scaling the investment over time, I'm not going to give a particular figure for next year. But what you should assume is that we will continue to invest in '26 behind these businesses in order to scale them. And some of the investments this year will carry into next year as fixed headcount that we brought on to support these businesses. In terms of the second question, Brian, let me know if you want to jump in here. We continue to use performance marketing as a, I would say, surgical topper to the majority of our spend being in brand. We've talked about this quite a bit over time. Our strategy in terms of the marketing channel mix is obviously quite a bit different from others in that we're able to benefit from our -- the strength of our brand and the singularity of our brand to put money in a larger allocation of our marketing spend behind brand versus performance. That being said, we do continue to use performance surgically across the world to get good returns on those incremental nights. And I would say the overall intensity as compared to competitors remains relatively low in that -- the metric that we've shared over the years, 90% of our traffic coming from direct and unpaid sources continues to be the state of the business, which allows us, obviously, to spend a lot less on performance marketing than others.

Our next question comes from the line of Ron Josey with Citi.

I wanted to follow back up on the experiences side, Brian, and ask about the merchandising, given Airbnb knows who's traveling, when you're traveling, the age of the people traveling, et cetera. You talked a little bit about the test and learn of experiences in cities like Paris. So help us understand as you see just applications continue to balloon for experiences, how you can scale the learnings in Paris to better merchandise overall? And then just as a follow-up, we've been talking about loyalty programs for some time and how the goal is for Airbnb to launch one that's differentiated, not just a points program. Any updated thoughts on this would be helpful.

Yes, absolutely. With experiences, we are doing a lot around testing carousels. If you open the app right now, you go to the Experiences tab, you'll see that we merchandise totally differently with the smaller cards with different carousels and the carousels are going to get more and more personalized. So as we know more about you, we might know where you're coming from, what kind of price homes you're searching for, which experience we recently viewed. And the basic idea is to show you a high-density amount of experiences that you're very, very interested in potentially booking. And I think also increasing the touch points. So we're going to have the home page. We're going to open right to the homepage if you're on Trip, or post booking on homes. We're going to have other entry points through the Trips tab where we're merchandising, highlighting. And we're really just -- we're going to be doing a lot around making sure that we can continue to pull hooks in to get people to see the right type of experiences on Airbnb. And we're obviously -- if we figure something out in one city, we can immediately roll it out to every city globally that we have the product in. So we think we can do quite a rapid iteration. We have a team in Paris right now. I sent up a team of product development leaders, designers, engineers into the city to really do really, really tight feedback loop and to figure out the kind of supply that people really want. And we're really doing a lot with testing ranking to figure out how to make sure that the right people see the right supply and book it. I think that was the first question. The second question was, I think, around loyalty. I think a loyalty or membership program is a very, very compelling thing for Airbnb. I mean, number one, one of the great things about our business is we have loyal customers. The vast majority of customers come back direct to Airbnb. Hence, why 90% of our traffic is direct or unpaid is because the majority of our bookings come from repeat bookers, we don't have to pay them to come back. So the best loyalty, of course, is to have a product people love. That being said, I do think we're sometimes at a competitive disadvantage vis-a-vis OTAs and hotels because they have a lot of programs we don't. So I think there's a lot of upside if we were to have a program. If we were to do something, I don't think it would be a traditional points program. I think it would be something much more interesting and novel. But I absolutely think you should see something from us in the future, not imminently, but in the future.

Our next question comes from the line of Stephen Ju with UBS.

So Brian, I wanted to follow up on your commentary on the Trips tap because, I mean, from a design perspective, since it is an itinerary, the optimist in me wants to believe that Airbnb will be and should be taking a greater role in the aggregated door-to-door travel experience. So are we wrong to think that the expanded travel agent opportunity here? I mean I realize that you just launched experiences, so asking you what's next probably sounds a little bit demanding, but sort of the bigger picture of what the itinerary can evolve into will be interesting. And secondarily, there was a commentary in the letter regarding the new payment methods in Brazil. Do you think the experience that you've picked up from doing this initial batch of expansion countries will help you speed up the product development and the cadence of updates for what must surely be the next batch of new markets?

Yes. I mean I think I can answer both. And maybe I'll start with the second because it's kind of tactical. We are massively ramping up development of product development pace at Airbnb. We do these typically biannual releases, but we are now iterating very, very quick even between these releases. So you're going to see -- and I think the Brazil installment has been a huge example of something that's been really powerful. Pay

Our next question will come from the line of Kevin Kopelman with TD Cowen.

I wanted to ask, could you give us your first thinking on the -- and this is a bit of a follow-up perhaps on the 1 to 2 major product launches that you're thinking about for 2026, key focus areas. Is the AI travel search you just mentioned one of those major product launches? And how are you planning to manage overall company margins next year?

This is the operator...

We've had has some audio issues. Sorry.

Sorry. Yes, we just got dropped on the call. So I don't think I was able to finish my answer, but should we just go right to the next question?

Sure.

Okay. Sorry. So can you ask the question again? We're really sorry, we both got dropped.

Yes. No worries. Can you hear me okay?

Yes.

Now we can.

Yes. So I wanted to ask and maybe a follow-up to what you were just talking about. But your first thinking on the 1 to 2 major product launches for 2026, key focus areas, is the AI travel search you just mentioned one of those major product launches? And how are you planning to manage overall company margins next year, taking into account the new launches and also the continued investment in experiences and services?

Well, generally, we don't talk about or preview what we're going to launch when. So -- but we are bringing AI more into the app next year so we can confirm that, but we're not going to be able to preview what we'll be and what's launched. So I'll let Ellie talk about the second part.

Yes. On margins, I'm not going to guide right now to '26. What you can assume is that we are, one, continue to invest in our new businesses; and two, continuing to drive efficiencies across the core business. We'll give you color in upcoming quarters in terms of how that nets out with regard to sequential margins.

Okay. Understood. And maybe just a quick follow-up. When you talked about accelerated development pace, is the new tech stack that you rolled in May -- out in May, playing a part in that? And are you seeing also benefits to customer conversion rates from what this new tech stack has enabled.

I would say, yes, absolutely, the new tech stack, we are seeing benefits from that. I would say more broadly, the investments we've made across our infrastructure over the last couple of has really improved the development environment for our team, allowing them to do more and to do more quickly. Obviously, that is increasingly aided by AI as well. And so we hope to see an increased velocity across our product development road map in coming quarters.

Our next question comes from the line of Ken Gawrelski with Wells Fargo.

Two, if I may, please. And you build on some of the other questions. First, Brian, on the AI side, do you anticipate -- there's -- it seems like there's going to need to be a choice made whether to be open to agents and kind of agent agentic traffic and who will own that relationship versus being more of a closed platform. And given that you have much of your traffic today is direct and that you have a lot of exclusive supply, you probably have your choice in the matter. So I'd love if you could talk a little bit about that. And then second, maybe, again, bigger picture on strategy. You're operating against a $90 billion booking space -- and it seems to me that as you go into things like experiences and services, it's tough to move the needle. I can understand the ancillary benefits, but it's tough to move the needle. I guess the question is why you don't go really double down on accommodations in the hotel space at least in your core 5 markets where 70% or so of your bookings are?

Yes, I don't think it's either/or. We are doing that. And we're going to be going significantly more aggressively into hotels. We've spent a lot of time looking at hotels as a business. We think it's really compelling, and we think that there's going to be a lot more to do with hotels on Airbnb. Our take rate is very, very competitive. We've spoken with hotels around the world, especially independent boutiques in bed and breakfast, a huge percent of hotels in Europe are independents. And one of the things they said is they really want incremental travelers. They know that they have another booking channel. They would love to have high-income American young travelers. We're probably the biggest travel brand in the United States. So I think we're really, really compelling. And when we have -- I think homes and accommodations homes will be the heart and soul of Airbnb. But that being said, in our top markets, top markets, especially during high season, people often don't find a home. We think hotels would be a great supplement. And so I think there's a huge amount of growth there. Long-term stays, a large percent of our nights booked are for stays of longer than 30 days. We think there's a huge market there as well. Guarding back to service experiences, I think each of these could easily be a multibillion-dollar business. And then the holy grail for services is if we could tap into local demand. If we can tap into local demand, then it's not an ancillary service. It's a stand-alone service. And there is no Amazon for services. Not to say we will become that, but there's a lot of opportunity there. So it's an and, not an or. What we're trying to do is build a platform, a platform that has homes, services, experiences, hotels, of course, and much more. And we're going to try to be expanding this platform and continue to launching new businesses over and over again. I think the other question was -- sorry, what was the other question?

So my question was on AI, whether...

Yes, I think we're still kind of feeling out the space. I -- the thing I want to caution is I don't think that AI agents -- I don't think we should think of chatbots like Google. I don't think we should think of them as the new Google yet. And the reason why is like ChatGPT is an incredibly compelling product. But we also have to remember that the model powering ChatGPT is not proprietary. It's not exclusive to ChatGPT. We, Airbnb can also use the API, and there are other models that we can use. So as I said, in the coming years, you're going to have a situation where these large AI models can take more and more, a lot more and more things will start there and people won't often go to one chatbot to do more and more things. At the same time, you're going to also have start-ups that are going to be custom-built to do a specific application, and you're going to have incumbents that make a shift to AI. one of the things we've noticed is it's not enough to just have like the best model. You have to be able to tune the model and build a custom interface for the right application. And I think that's the key. And the models are not proprietary. I mean very few -- every company that makes a model is selling the model or open sourcing the model in addition to using it themselves. And so I think that the key thing is going to be for us to lead and become the first place for people to book travel on Airbnb. As far as whether or not we integrate with AI agents, I think that's something that we're certainly open to. Remember that to book an Airbnb, you need to have an account, you need to have a verified identity. Almost everyone who books uses our messaging platform. So I don't think that we're going to be the kind of thing where you just have an agent or operator book your Airbnb for you because we're not a commodity. But I do think it could potentially be a very interesting lead generation for Airbnb. So I think it could be really interesting, but I don't think it's like a commodity like booking a flight. I think that's it. I think we're over time.

Yes. I'll turn it back to you, Brian, for closing remarks.