Airbnb, Inc.
$133.59
-0.57%Airbnb, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a platform that enables hosts to offer stays and experiences to guests worldwide. The company's marketplace model connects hosts and guests online or through mobile devices to book spaces and experiences. It primarily offers private rooms, primary homes, or vacation homes. The company was formerly known as AirBed & Breakfast, Inc. and changed its name to Airbnb, Inc. in November 2010. Airbnb, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is elevated (P/E 32.6).
Valuation inputs: P/E 32.6, earnings yield +3.1%, momentum -0.6%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is strong (ROE +30.6%, ROIC +19.2%).
Profitability stack: net margin +20.5%, ROE +30.6%, ROIC +19.2%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +63.1%, momentum -0.6%, net margin +20.5%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Airbnb, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Airbnb, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Airbnb, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.
Operating Margin
Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.
Net Profit Margin
Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.
Effective Tax Rate
Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.
Profitability Insight
Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.
Airbnb, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.
FCF Growth Trend
Flat FCF growth. Stable but not expanding—monitor for signs of business maturity or temporary headwinds.
Working Capital Impact
Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.
Airbnb, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.
Airbnb, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that ABNB stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 153.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 107.00 to a high of 185.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 153.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 107.00 to a high of 185.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.
Analyst Agreement
Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.
Risk-Reward Profile
Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.
Analyst Conviction
Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
Airbnb, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $176.79M worth of ABNB shares, with no buying activity reported.
3 Months
0
0.00
85.6K
12.12M
-12.1M
-$12.12M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
281.2K
35.89M
-35.9M
-$35.89M
6-9 Months
0
0.00
500.0K
60.37M
-60.4M
-$60.37M
9-12 Months
0
0.00
524.8K
68.41M
-68.4M
-$68.41M
Top Buyers
No buying activity
Top Sellers
Gebbia Joseph
Director, 10 Percent Owner:
$119.27M
Blecharczyk Nathan
Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Chief Strategy Officer
$35.04M
Mertz Elinor
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$9.28M
Balogh Aristotle N
Officer: Chief Technology Officer
$6.40M
Chesky Brian
Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Ceo And Chairman
$4.69M
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $176.79M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
No Dividend Yield Data
ABNB has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
abnb Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on ABNB by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.