AAON - NASDAQ
AAON, Inc.
$148.25
+3.3%AAON, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, marketing, and selling air conditioning and heating equipment in the United States and Canada. The company operates through three segments: AAON Oklahoma, AAON Coil Products, and BasX. It offers rooftop units, data center cooling solutions, cleanroom systems, chillers, packaged outdoor mechanical rooms, air handling units, makeup air units, energy recovery units, condensing units, geothermal/water-source heat pumps, coils, and controls. The company markets and sells its products to retail, manufacturing, educational, lodging, supermarket, data centers, medical and pharmaceutical, and other commercial industries. It sells its products through a network of independent manufacturer representative organizations and internal sales force. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotAAON, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that AAON stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 119.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 118.00 to a high of 120.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 119.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 118.00 to a high of 120.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Significant downside risk. Stock trading well above analyst consensus suggests elevated valuation concerns and potential correction.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Risk-Reward Profile
Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.
Analyst Conviction
Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.
Market Sentiment Insight
Consensus overvaluation: Analysts agree the stock is richly valued with limited upside. Consider booking profits or defensive positioning unless you have contrarian conviction in unrecognized catalysts.
AAON, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue
Forward Growth Analysis
Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.
AAON, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
Key Insight
Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.
AAON, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
Key Insight
Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.
AAON, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
Key Insight
Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.
AAON, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
Key Insight
Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.
AAON, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense
Forward Growth Analysis
Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Mixed signals—some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.
Key Insight
Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.
AAON, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $356K and sold $19.12M worth of AAON shares, resulting in $18.76M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
142.8K
18.31M
-18.3M
-$18.31M
3-6 Months
4.1K
321.30K
0
0.00
+321K
+$321K
6-9 Months
428
34.97K
6.5K
687.70K
-653K
-$653K
9-12 Months
0
0.00
1.4K
117.02K
-117K
-$117K
Top Buyers
Wakefield Stephen E
Officer: Executive Vice President
$321K
Shaub Matthew
Officer: Executive Vice President
$35K
Top Sellers
Fields Gary D
Director
$12.44M
Thompson Rebecca
Officer: Chief Accounting Officer
$4.53M
Tobolski Matthew Joseph
Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$1.08M
Kidwell Casey
Officer: Chief Administration Officer
$544K
Wichman Gordon Douglas
Officer: Executive Vice President
$421K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $18.76M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 2 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
Related Guides
Continue your AAON research with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.